Andy Hadfield

Alright, Coalition Formers. These are the scenarios if ActionSA and the DA do not form coalitions in Gauteng. CITY OF JOHANNESBURG 270 seats (136 needed for a majority) 🔹THE DA 🔹 DA + ANC = 154 But if the region refuses a DA coalition, as it did in 2024, and neither ActionSA nor the ANC is available, and it is unwilling to change position on the EFF, MK etc.. DA (91) + FF Plus (5) + IFP (7) + Rise Mzansi (5) + ACDP (2) + Al Jama-ah (3) = 113 Below the majority threshold by 23 seats. The DA would need either the ANC or ActionSA to reach a majority in Johannesburg. This leaves it in quite a weak bargaining position. 🟩ACTIONSA🟩 ActionSA + ANC = 106 Below the majority threshold. ActionSA appears to only have reservations with a DA coalition. MK (15) is another possible partner, but let's leave it out for now. I am not sure it is a partner ActionSA would choose. ActionSA (43) + ANC (63) + EFF (17) + SACP (2) + PA (5) + ATM (3) + Rise Mzansi (5) + IFP (7) = 145 A viable majority without the DA or MK. It would, of course, be an ANC-led coalition. Deputy mayor, perhaps? 🟡THE ANC⬛️ DA + ANC = 154 But if the region says no to a DA coalition, the ANC has another route: ANC (63) + ActionSA (43) + EFF (17) + SACP (2) + PA (5) + ATM (3) + Rise Mzansi (5) + IFP (7) = 145 ANC-led coalition, with a 9-seat majority cushion without the DA and without MK. IN CONCLUSION: The ANC and ActionSA have a viable route to a majority without the DA, and without needing MK. The DA's alternative route, using the parties listed above, falls 23 seats short. It would need to bring in additional smaller parties, which would mean possibly changing tack on the EFF. The thing here not simply the numbers. It's who is willing to form coalitions with whom, and who is not. Tshwane later.

The anc support base stayed at home(disillusioned) . They wud rather not vote then vote for other parties.

This is interesting. Give it a try: I spent my R100 on five parties. How would you spend yours? fivevotes.com/ #Election2026

JUST IN: Johannesburg, South Africa, is reportedly on the brink of a "total collapse" of its water system as worsening shortages leave residents without running water for weeks.

Someone has created a vulnerable PHP website, loaded it with a Bitcoin wallet, and challenged the Internet to hack into it and they can keep the Bitcoin. It has a running timer to show if the PHP exploitability was over-hyped. stealmybitcoin.com/

PRESIDENCY WEBSITE TEMPORARILY UNAVAILABLE Please be advised that The Presidency website is temporarily unavailable as a precautionary measure in response to a global cybersecurity event. We apologise for any inconvenience caused and appreciate your patience and understanding while this work is being completed. The Presidency of the Republic of South Africa

There is nothing to worry about. Nothing important is run on PHP or old software—except the water & electrical grid, a few government services like our missile defense systems and a handful of electrified fences at the zoo (for the lions, tigers and cobras).

Everyone in tech is panicking about security right now. But outside of it, almost nobody knows anything is wrong. I wrote this so you don’t have to be the one explaining it to your family. Just send them this.

If the rough average of the polls is right, it means that 2026 will essentially reproduce 2024 voting patterns exactly but just with some turnout tweaks. I.e. nothing has changed. Somewhat amusing.

Initially did my tax returns through TaxTim, then thought I might as well get @Muse to redo it through SARS eFiling for free. It did, and I even got me a tax refund.