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$BTC jumped to $83,470 on Tuesday alongside the biggest wave of short liquidations since 2 October, and has since given back most of the move to $82,085. If ETF inflows broaden over the rest of the week, the next push higher would have spot buyers behind it.
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IBIT has taken in $66.2bn net since launch, more than the $57.5bn that has gone into all US spot $BTC ETFs combined. GBTC is the reason, with almost $28bn of outflows since it became an ETF in January 2024, while every other fund is net positive.
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Bitfinex retweeted
Live from The Future of Capital Markets in Lugano xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1aJbdEaRD…
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$BTC is at $82,085, just below the $82,200 to $83,200 band where about 145,000 BTC changed hands this week. A close back above $82,200 would show this week’s buyers holding their ground. Above that, the next big cluster is close to 900,000 BTC around $84,100.
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Backstage at The Future of Capital Markets with @RichardByworth, @AlexandreLaizet, @ColeMacro, @RaphaZagury, @macrocrunch and @knutsonjesse.
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Gm, Lugano. 🇨🇭
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The Future of Capital Markets starts now!
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Buyers keep defending $81,300, and the next leg depends on whether ETF demand can carry $BTC past $84,333. xitter.cf/BitfinexReplies/status…
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The market has reduced some leveraged $ETH exposure. Open interest is down about 26% from late September to $11.8bn, nearly twice the fall in price. Leverage is back to mid-August levels with ETH about $400 higher, so if price steadies, the next move starts from a cleaner base.
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ETF buyers are back, with $526.7 million of inflows on Monday, and $BTC is holding its range. The ceiling is $84,333, the average ETF cost. Our latest Intelligence Update looks at what carries price through it before the Fed meets. go.bitfinex.com/Alphaintel43
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Bitfinex retweeted
You can replicate a call by trading its delta in the perpetual. Replication has two advantages: 1. It can outperform the option if vol realizes low 2. It's a nice way for perp maxis to experience options How can you try replication: • Run a dfollow bot on thalex • Trading fees are only 1 bps • You can track any option we list Caveats: 1. Chop increases replication cost b/c you're short vol 2. There is no clear max loss like a long option has 3. Best avoid short maturities, too much gamma How to think about it: Replication is short the volatility risk premium relative to owning the option. You win when that premium compresses and the path is not too mean-reverting. What if you're an option maxi? It can make sense to run a replicator. The example we show here is a nice one. Long-dated call 10 months out so delta does not swing wildly, upward slope in term structure, IV was rich at 50% (which re-rated to <40% later). Nothing prevents you btw from selling a call and replicating a lower strike, thereby creating a dynamic delta covered call.
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On Bitfinex, a margin position can become a spot holding. Repay what you borrowed and the asset is yours outright, with no leverage and no liquidation risk. Zero trading fees either way. blog.bitfinex.com/products/t…
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Which panel are you most looking forward to? The full agenda for The Future of Capital Markets is now live. Take a look and secure your place. Spaces are limited. thefutureofcapitalmarkets.co…
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Nobody timed the $BTC bottom perfectly this year. With Recurring Buy on the Bitfinex App, you didn't have to. Choose how much and how often, and every purchase carries zero trading fees. blog.bitfinex.com/products/m…
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Every ETF buyer is underwater right now. $84,358 is the level that puts them back in profit and brings the flows back with it. Two weeks of outflows say that matters. xitter.cf/BitfinexReplies/status…
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$BTC keeps closing back above $81,300, but rebounds are weakening. Spot ETFs recorded two straight weeks of net outflows as leverage rebuilds. Read why $84,400 matters for a recovery in this week’s Bitfinex Alpha. go.bitfinex.com/Alpha227
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Since mid-September, $BTC rode the upper half of its daily Keltner Channel on Bitfinex. About two weeks ago it slipped below a flattening midline. A move back into the upper half, with the midline turning up again, could signal renewed bullish momentum. go.bitfinex.com/chartkeltner
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Bitfinex is hiring a Transaction Monitoring Analyst. Your blockchain analysis skills translate directly into stopping financial crime at one of crypto’s longest-running exchanges. Fully remote. APAC or LATAM timezone preferred. careers.bitfinex.com/o/trans…
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Large holders who picked up their $BTC in the past five months now hold a third of all whale capital, nearly double July’s share. The rest of the market hasn’t followed yet, with 30-day demand still negative. If it does, the recovery gets a broader base.
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Daily interest. While you sleep.
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