Forecasting at @QuotientHQ | Created @theWIPmeetup | Prev @Cent @Gemini @Samsung | @maxosirisart PFP | Gazer #196
PDX
Joined March 2015
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
✅ Q caught the edge early before settling on Kalshi
WNBA Finals Game 5: Dream at Valkyries
Q: Valkyries 55¢
Kalshi: near a coin flip
Final: Valkyries 64, Dream 55
There were real risks, though. Atlanta won Game 2 on the road behind 24 points off turnovers, but home court and a regular-season sweep tipped it Q's way
If you want to receive more sports signals like this early, subscribe at app.quotient.social
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
We revamped Signals and relaunched the app yesterday. 🥳
I wrote about what we learned from Q’s record, how to read a Signal and how people are already using Q in different ways.
Would love for you to check it out and let me know what you think.
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
I'm not just a sports trader (lol) and Q isn’t just a sports forecaster.
Q (@QuotientHQ's AI forecaster) forecasts macro events, politics, business, culture, and events affecting oil and shipping.
So a team following an election or planning around a Fed decision could use Q's forecasts without ever placing or even thinking about a trade.
So yeah, this is bigger than sports. You don’t have to trade prediction markets to find Q’s research useful.
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
We looked back at Q’s record and changed how we choose which forecasts become Signals.
The ones where Q’s side was priced under 50¢ were 24% of positions and 76% of the paper profit.
Today's newsletter covers what we learned, how to get started and how people are already using Q.
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
AI + Crypto is the next frontier
@a16zfrontier am I right?
ALT mandate.markets
New on Mandate: Polymarket categories.
Turn off the categories you don't want traded, and see every call by category on Polymarket , or by market on Hyperliquid, after fees. Statistics are now open to every account.
Congrats @QuotientHQ on today's new Signals app launch.
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
so much is happening with forecasting + prediction markets. and @amphib0ly is building something special with Quotient.
Before your next prediction market trade,
see what Q thinks.
Our AI forecaster covers politics, sports, culture and business. Signals highlight markets where Q thinks the price is wrong.
The new Quotient Signals app is live: app.quotient.social
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
been playing around with this because it’s always better than the predictions i can figure out myself, excited to see it public!!
check out: app.quotient.social
Before your next prediction market trade,
see what Q thinks.
Our AI forecaster covers politics, sports, culture and business. Signals highlight markets where Q thinks the price is wrong.
The new Quotient Signals app is live: app.quotient.social
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
I had a chance to check out the new app from @QuotientHQ and I love what they’re building. The app is clean and intuitive.
Kalshi and Polymarket did over 70B in volume in September. That number will grow.
Q gives ppl an edge in trading. What’s that worth??? Accumulating $QUOTIENT
Before your next prediction market trade,
see what Q thinks.
Our AI forecaster covers politics, sports, culture and business. Signals highlight markets where Q thinks the price is wrong.
The new Quotient Signals app is live: app.quotient.social
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
The "Writes a good S*bst*ck" to "Superior data analysis service" pipeline
Excited to see this launch!
Before your next prediction market trade,
see what Q thinks.
Our AI forecaster covers politics, sports, culture and business. Signals highlight markets where Q thinks the price is wrong.
The new Quotient Signals app is live: app.quotient.social
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
The new Quotient UX is based on feedback from dozens of users who all wanted three things:
- Sports
- Personalized trade signal fees
- Portfolio alerts
But mostly sports
If you want an invite code to give Q a try, hit me up
Before your next prediction market trade,
see what Q thinks.
Our AI forecaster covers politics, sports, culture and business. Signals highlight markets where Q thinks the price is wrong.
The new Quotient Signals app is live: app.quotient.social
Q just got a major upgrade in the latest @QuotientHQ update live now
Check in with Q before your next trade on Polymarket, Kalshi, Novig, HL Outcome, Limitless or any other prediction market
Before your next prediction market trade,
see what Q thinks.
Our AI forecaster covers politics, sports, culture and business. Signals highlight markets where Q thinks the price is wrong.
The new Quotient Signals app is live: app.quotient.social
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Before your next prediction market trade,
see what Q thinks.
Our AI forecaster covers politics, sports, culture and business. Signals highlight markets where Q thinks the price is wrong.
The new Quotient Signals app is live: app.quotient.social
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Q called it early 🔮
Pelicans at Jazz, Oct 23
Q: Jazz at 64¢
Polymarket: had the Jazz closer to a coin flip at 49¢
Final: Jazz 120, Pelicans 119
NOLA had won 8 straight in the series, and Utah was without Nurkic, but home court and NOLA's road-trip fatigue tipped it in Q's favor
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Just tried out the new @QuotientHQ Signals app. Had some wins and a few losses.
Love the feed function, which shows edge for upcoming bets in your categories so you don't miss any. Definitely better to recoup losses—keep clicking!
Also, loved the updated Explore page. The redesigned layout is much better than the old one, offering better info and showing odds for live matches too!
Still clicking for the Edge, way to go @QuotientHQ!
Q called it 🎯
Nearly every forecaster missed this one. But @QuotientHQ saw the edge for Lula back in September
Q's forecasting 63¢ YES on Lula winning Brazil's 2026 presidential election
Polymarket's at 41¢ YES, favoring Bolsonaro's camp at 60%
Lula leads first-round polling and holds a narrow runoff edge on strength with lower-income voters. But it's tighter than the spread suggests. Other polls show the runoff tied, and his rejection numbers stay high
Settles Oct 5, 2026
If you want to receive Quotient signals like this early, hold 10M $QUOTIENT and visit signal.quotient.social
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
A week of @QuotientHQ's outlooks, executed by @MandateMarkets across my own Hyperliquid and Polymarket accounts: +18.00% mandate.markets/s/period?c=1…
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Q is giving an edge to the Bulls to WIN at 56¢
HL Outcome only has the Bulls at 47¢ against the Wizards tomorrow (10/24)
The market leans Washington. Q sees an edge in the Bulls 5 straight wins in the series, and a thin Wizards rotation on the second night of a back-to-back
If you want to receive sports signals like this early, hold 10M $QUOTIENT and visit app.quotient.social