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Campaigns can’t afford guesswork. 🎯
Change Research delivers:
✅ Fast, reliable polling
✅ Hard-to-reach voices
✅ Tools from custom polls to AI modeling
230+ campaigns in 43 states trusted us in 2024. Yours could be next. 👇
📩 changeresearch.com/methodolo…
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Last Tuesday was a historic night, and a big one for the candidates and organizations we worked with this cycle.
Here’s a look at what they won, and how our research held up. 🧵
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Accuracy at every level of the ballot, too. Our late-April poll in Los Angeles’s 11th City Council District landed within half a point of the June result.
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Congratulations to every winner, and thank you to the teams who trusted us with their research.
Read more: changeresearch.com/research/…
Deeper data. Better decisions.
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For 20 months, our Compass Poll tracked how Americans felt about the Trump administration.
Looking back, November 3 didn’t come out of nowhere. Here’s what voters were telling us. 🧵
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Prices were the sore spot. On cost of living, just 30% approved of the administration’s handling in October. 67% disapproved.
And by June, corruption had become the top issue for voters, named by 48%.
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Then came November 3. Democrats flipped the House and the Senate.
Compass keeps running every month. Get every wave first in our Data Portal: changeresearch.com/contact?t…
Deeper data. Better decisions.
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52% of voters say they or someone in their household skipped or delayed medical care in the past year due to cost.
changeresearch.com/research/…
Change Research tied for 3rd of 32 national pollsters for accuracy in the 2026 midterms, according to AtlasIntel’s ranking. Read the Axios story: axios.com/2026/11/04/polling…
Deeper data. Better decisions. changeresearch.com
POLLSTER ACCURACY
🇺🇸 2026 MIDTERMS
National Generic Ballot
AtlasIntel was the most accurate pollster of the 2026 Midterms.
Please note: the ranking is unlikely to change but exact errors depend on the final vote count. An updated table will reflect the final data.
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Among voters most motivated to show up, our Compass Poll had Democrats up 13 in September and 13 in October. The national count is heading toward roughly 13.
Congratulations to Mark Pinsley on his election to Pennsylvania Senate District 16. Proud to have worked with his campaign.
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