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Missed "Capital Intel" last night?
With Election Day one week away, @Mark_Penn joined @MarkHalperin on @2WAYTVAPP for an exclusive look at our latest Harvard / HarrisX polling on what’s driving American voters into the midterms.
Watch the full interview here: youtube.com/live/kRD8DjtYxjY…
HarrisX retweeted
Eye-catching, but perhaps not Iowa… The 2026 ad wars are getting nasty, but are they moving voters?
Tim Phillips, @JoeCunninghamSC, and @KR_Bledsoe joined me on “2WAY Tonight” to break down the campaigns and the forces shaping next week’s elections.
Plus, an EXCLUSIVE new poll from @Mark_Penn on the mood of the country, the midterms, and foreign policy.
Powered by @2WAYTVAPP x @HarrisXdata
youtube.com/watch?v=kRD8DjtY…
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
2028 Republican Primary:
JD Vance keeps his lead as the next GOP candidate, while Marco Rubio gains 4 points to tie with Don Trump Jr.
🔴 Vance: 40%
🔴 Trump Jr.: 21% (-3)
🔴 Rubio: 21% (+4)
🔴 RFK Jr.: 8%
(+/- change vs September)
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
Read the full October Harvard / HarrisX Poll Findings: harvardharrispoll.com/key-re…
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
2028 Democratic Primary:
Kamala Harris drops 5 points but maintains her lead as the Democratic frontrunner, with Newsom closing in at 20%.
🔵 Harris: 34% (-5)
🔵 Newsom: 20%
🔵 Ocasio-Cortez: 11%
🔵 Buttigieg: 10%
(+/- change vs September)
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
Read the full October Harvard / HarrisX Poll Findings: harvardharrispoll.com/key-re…
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
Most have heard about the protests in France, with high immigration levels, poor integration, and economic issues most to blame.
• High levels of immigration and failed integration: 28%
• Economic problems and government debt: 26%
• Rising cost of living: 22%
• Distrust of political elites: 20%
• Poor educational policies: 4%
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
Read the full October Harvard / HarrisX Poll Findings: harvardharrispoll.com/key-re…
Of those protests, 7 in 10 believe they have become violent, and a small majority say the violence is the result of student unrest.
Have the protests become violent?
• Have become violent: 69%
• Mainly peaceful: 31%
• Where is the violence mostly coming from?
• Students unhappy with education and cost of living: 55%
• Ultra-left agitators and other groups: 45%
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
A quarter of voters have used an AI chatbot to search for information about the midterms, rising to nearly half for those under 25.
Used AI for midterm information, by age:
• 18–24: 48%
• 25–34: 43%
• 35–44: 31%
• 45–54: 22%
• 55–64: 17%
• 65+: 8%
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
Democrats now lead Republicans on trust to manage the economy, flipping a 2-point GOP edge in September.
Who do you trust more to deal with the economy?
🟦 Democrats in Congress: 53% (+4)
🟥 Trump and Republicans in Congress: 47% (-4)
Independents:
🟦 Democrats in Congress: 58% (+4)
🟥 Trump and Republicans in Congress: 42% (-4)
(+/- change vs September)
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
Read the full October Harvard / HarrisX Poll Findings: harvardharrispoll.com/key-re…
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
Overall, many Trump policies remain very popular, especially lowering drug prices, easing fuel taxes, deporting criminal illegal immigrants, and providing $5,000 payments.
Most Popular:
• Lowering prescription drug prices: 84%
• Temporarily easing diesel fuel taxes for farmers and truckers: 77%
• Deporting immigrants who are here illegally and have committed crimes: 76%
• Requiring proof of citizenship and photo ID to vote: 72%
• Providing $5,000 payments to every American adult: 69%
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
54% say the U.S economy is worse today than under Biden.
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
7 in 10 voters are confident the 2026 midterms will be conducted fairly and accurately.
• Very confident: 27%
• Somewhat confident: 43%
• Not very confident: 21%
• Not at all confident: 9%
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
Just over half of voters say Democrats winning at least one chamber would be better for the country.
Which outcome would be better for the country?
• Democrats win at least one chamber: 56%
• Republicans keep control of both the House and Senate: 44%
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
Vote splitters skew female, independent and less affluent. They are more likely to identify as conservative than liberal.
• Female: 55%
• Independent: 55%
• Income less than $50K: 42%
Political ideology:
• Strong conservative: 11%
• Lean conservative: 21%
• Moderate: 54%
• Lean liberal: 8%
• Strong liberal: 5%
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
Just under half of voters plan to vote early, either in person or by mail, while 42% plan to vote in person on Election Day.
• Absentee or mail-in ballot: 20%
• Early in person: 25%
• In Person On Election Day: 42%
• Not sure yet: 8%
• Do not plan to vote: 6%
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
HarrisX retweeted
We’re LIVE tonight!
With Election Day just one week away, @Mark_Penn joins me for a special edition of “Capital Intel” to reveal EXCLUSIVE new @HarrisXdata polling on what’s driving American voters into the midterms.
Join us to hear the findings, then stick around LIVE to ask your questions about the poll, the races, and what comes next.
Powered by @2WAYTVAPP x @HarrisXdata
Register now: 2way.tv/shows/capital-intel
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
Almost 4 in 5 registered voters now plan to vote in the upcoming midterms, and 87% say this election is important to them.
• Definitely or probably voting: 78% (+4)
• Midterm is important to them: 87% (+4)
• Extremely important: 57%
• Somewhat important: 29%
(+/- change vs September)
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
One week out, Democrats widen their lead to 4 points in the generic congressional ballot.
Among Likely Voters:
🟦 Democrats: 52% [+1]
🟥 Republicans: 48% [-1]
(+/- change vs September)
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | LV
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
Heading into the midterms, inflation and affordability increases 7 points to 51% as voters’ top personal concern.
Next closest issues:
Restoring merit and competence: 10%
Immigration: 9%
Crime: 8%
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
