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Joined September 2025
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✅ 689 of 726 affected wallets have been refunded in full. The remaining 37 are being paid as each is verified.
We're also going further. Traders who lost money during our trading pause, or whose positions were taken, are covered too: $1.19M to 5.5K wallets, starting today.
In total, we’re returning $3.9M to traders: the $2.7M plus $1.19M to cover pause-related losses. No claims or tickets needed.
The attack came through a compromised 3rd party provider which we removed within the hour. We are in active investigation with law enforcement & will share a postmortem.
Polymarket Traders retweeted
Do people actually hate free money?👀
Just 5 hours ago, @jumperapp confirmed that its TGE is happening in Q4 2026.
Yet the YES odds for a Jumper TGE before the end of 2026 are still sitting at just 81% on Polymarket.
That’s roughly a 19% potential return on your stake with less than 2 months to go.
Of course, nothing is guaranteed but the market seems to be leaving a pretty interesting opportunity on the table.
Am I missing something or is this one of the easiest plays right now?👀
Polymarket Traders retweeted
A few combos I'm trying on @Polymarket today ⚽️
Odds ranging from 6.35x to 32.82x.
Not the easiest ones to hit, but that's part of the fun.
Last week went pretty well, but that doesn't mean this week will be the same.
Let's see how it plays out.
Polymarket Traders retweeted
US just launched the initiative Iron Gate on top of the naval blockade.
While Vance tries diplomacy, I don't see them lifting the blockade any time soon. The march price will crater to below 50 if strikes resume and even without strikes and diplomatacy they won't lift the blockade without a concrete deal.
For the MoU Trump even wanted to have the blockade kept in place at first and only lifted it to get the deal done.
Polymarket Traders retweeted
Midterms are done, and seeing everyone's PNL has me regretting not sizing into the positions sharps and PMT told me to take.
Still made over 10k in a few hours of election night trading, so I'll take it!
Made a tool for you to see your results too: pp.tools/midterms
Polymarket Traders retweeted
Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...? @Polymarket
~
day1+2 recap:
finished gta3 + 80%~ of vice.
left san andreas + 4+5
so far he beat each day one, but the gta's that r left r longer,think he get each game done every 2 days,
nov12-13~ is my prediction.
Will Anthropic IPO in 2026?
The company filed for an IPO on October 26, planning to list on Nasdaq under the ticker $ANT.
But major media outlets are now reporting that the November IPO could be delayed amid broader market uncertainty.
Meanwhile, well-known Polymarket traders @aenews @GollumGekko1 @Tenebrus87 @Parz1valPM and @Eltonma are holding Yes shares.
Polymarket Traders retweeted
Will Hegseth be out as SecDef by Dec 31? Market says ~50%.
Dems won big in the midterms and even Vance blames the Iran war for the loss, so Hegseth is the obvious fall guy. Massie (R) will force an impeachment vote in the House next week, and odds jumped from ~30% to ~50%.
My take:
• Trump today: “I have every intention to keep him.” Voluntary resignation <5%.
• Leadership will likely move to table it, i.e. kill it before it’s even debated. GOP still controls the lame-duck House, but only ~4 defections or no-shows sink the tabling motion. Many Republicans just lost their seats and owe Trump nothing, so impeachment passing is a real risk (~30%).
• Even if impeached, removal needs 67 senators. Not happening.
• If it’s tabled, I expect odds back to ~30%.
Real risk: Trump swaps him on his own terms while the GOP Senate can still confirm a successor (until Jan 3).
I’m on No for Dec 31.
Polymarket Traders retweeted
After a year of trading, I'm finally in the prediction market millionaire club -- and then some.
In the midterm elections I printed over $370,000, for a +50% gain on my portfolio.
I started with $20K and zero trading experience. Thanks to everyone who's joined me on this weird journey. ❤️🪿
With the Midterms over, Trump's next move on Iran is back in focus.
Qatari mediators are pushing for a diplomatic deal, while Washington considers renewed strikes or continued pressure.
Some top Polymarket traders have taken positions on whether the US will announce an end of the blockade by December 31:
@tsybka, @Parz1valPM, @SRank395216, @CarOnPolymarket and @Eltonma hold Yes shares.
@IvanCryptoSlav, @MEPPonPM, @Tenebrus87 and @Remember_Amalek are on the No side.
43% chance.
Will US announce end of Iranian blockade by December 31?
polymarket.com/event/us-anno…
Polymarket Traders retweeted
While Trump figures out how to break the deadlock with Iran, I'm taking profit on the cardboard Khamenei.
Over about 2 weeks, the profit came to ~2.4k.
What could be better than collecting the money that degens scatter everywhere?
Bought 30k shares on Khamenei NO leaving his "cardboard" post in Iran by EOY.
Lately, there’s been a lot of conflicting news claiming that a new wave of escalation and massive strikes is imminent, which is complete nonsense.
Iran's Supreme Leader has long been hidden deep underground in total secrecy - otherwise, someone would have tried to take him out already.
Nobody knows where he is or what’s happening with him - it’s Iran’s biggest mystery right now.
Safe Khamenei.
One of the biggest Midterms wins on Polymarket.
The blue wave flipped seven Senate seats, giving Democrats control of Congress.
Back on October 28, trader tnmh started buying Yes on Democrats Sweep. He acquired 1,076,656 shares at an average of 68.2¢.
Net profit: +$342,194.
See what's happening around the world on Polymarket:
polymarket.com
Polymarket Traders retweeted
Midterms were looking great, I had a good read on the election, executed the trades relatively cleanly, had a good setup to follow the results… and then Mississippi crushed the 45 Rep Senate Seats dream that had been skyrocketing in value.
Still a good night overall, but doesn’t feel great when the number had gotten so high 😞
Polymarket Traders retweeted
Polymarket trader @aenews made more than $1 MILLION on the 2026 US Midterms. As promised, here’s a breakdown from the man himself! @Polymarket
polymarket.com/@aenews2?via=…
Polymarket Traders retweeted
Contrary to media reports, I dont think Pete hegseth is
going anywhere and heres why.
1. Hes trump number 1 Yes Man and essential at applying his policies at the pentagon.
2.He cant really get rid of him while the iranian conflict is on going. It would look extremely weak.
3. It would be admitting the iran war is wrong or went wrong, 2 things Trump is unlikely to ever admit.
4. It would give a win to his haters,something Trump hates to do.
5.Those media reports are more wishful thinking/drama creating than reality.
Price is really good right now to Position against it and Im holding almost 40 000 shares that he isnt going anywhere. what are your thoughts?
polymarket.com/event/pete-he…
