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come check us out now at predictq.market
tell us what's broken, what we could do better (need to speed up the markets dashboard), and what we should build next
NEW: Prediction markets log a record $14 billion weekend, per Aldrin Research.
Kalshi: $10.06 billion. Polymarket US: $1.5 billion.
PredictQ retweeted
Burrow catching up to Allen (kinda) for MVP, Harbaugh has a big lead for COY, and Tate surprisingly stats at top of ROY.
Heres what moved in NFL awards this week!👇👇
Week 7 Market Movers.
@PredictQmkt predictq.market/articles/wee…
Quite the impressive partnership announcement
Our full article breaking it down: predictq.market/articles/kal…
S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi are joining forces to build the next generation of financial markets.
The Dow launched in 1896. The S&P 500 in 1957. The idea was simple: bring individual stocks together into a single benchmark, giving people a clearer view of the broader market.
Over time, products built around those benchmarks transformed investing. Index funds, ETFs, futures, and options gave investors ways to gain diversified market exposure and hedge broad market swings.
These indices became foundations of global finance. More than $20 trillion is indexed or benchmarked to the S&P 500 alone.
Today, this structure extends beyond stocks to bonds, commodities, currencies, and more.
The next step is to bring that structure to the events that shape everyone’s lives.
Through this partnership, S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi will work together to create indices composed of Kalshi event contracts.
Think about what that opens up.
An index of political power. An index of supply chain risk. An index tracking AI’s impact on employment. An index of sports outcomes that affect broadcasters, advertisers, cities, and small businesses. An index of weather risks that shape harvests, energy demand, and business revenues.
Each would bundle event contracts into a single indicator, helping people understand how related risks are evolving.
Over time, products built around these indices could offer diversified exposure to those events and new ways to hedge their impact.
The events that shape our lives could become as easy to track and gain exposure to as the S&P 500.
JUST IN: Israel's election day turnout hits 44.9% by 2pm, the highest for that hour since 1973.
Kalshi odds for the next PM: Eizenkot 53%, Netanyahu 28%.
crazy story about this past weekend’s golf tournament
2am Sunday, wind froze the Bermuda Championship leaderboard. By sunrise, a market maker was out $185K.
A near-identical ticket on another app? Voided.
@foldmysocks breaks down who carries the pricing risk when weather wipes out a final round.
predictq.market/articles/ber…
someone come take the bossman’s money
Named "The Whistleblower" in a recent Netflix documentary...
@GaetenD joins to talk through his journey and how he's made hundreds of thousands in prediction markets
youtube.com/watch?v=HsnRRVaj…
Or read the full interview here: predictq.market/articles/pre…
BREAKING: Anthropic makes its IPO filing public, listing on Nasdaq under the ticker ANT
Kalshi odds Anthropic officially announces an IPO before Dec 1: 88%, from 60%
SURVIVOR ALERT: The winless Dolphins lead the Jets 21-17 with under nine minutes remaining, closing in on their first win of the season.
Odds Miami wins: 66%, from 36% at kickoff
JUST IN: Speaker Mike Johnson tells Fox News Sunday the midterm polls "are wrong, they're based on faulty analysis."
Kalshi odds Democrats win the House: 92%
still time to jump into our $10k Survivor Revival freeroll on Splash Sports
we also built an optimizer custom-built for this contest that's free on the PredictQ site
Our Survivor Optimizer has been updated for this week's projections
Top recommended picks:
HOU: 24.3% (-10, vs NYG)
DAL: 4.1% (-4.5, @ PHI)
Go to PredictQ --> Tools --> Survivor Optimizer to see the full breakdown
BREAKING: UCF stuns No. 2 BYU 39-31 in double overtime, the Cougars' first loss of the season.
Kalshi odds BYU makes the Playoff: 40%, down from 62% at kickoff
BREAKING: LSU's odds to beat Auburn jump from 72% at kickoff to 81% on Kalshi in the first quarter at Jordan-Hare. Auburn upset then-No. 1 Georgia a week ago.
Game is now tied at 3-3
this is kinda terrifying tbh
"This is a huge, huge tool for me...I fully plan on using it every single week maybe for the rest of my life"
🤖 Made with AI
love to see it!
shout out to the new @PredictQmkt nfl combos pricer - found me this combo yesterday for the bears/patriots game that graded out positive at this price
BREAKING: Jets working on a trade sending Connor Hellebuyck to the Devils the day his suspension ends, per Elliotte Friedman
Kalshi odds New Jersey is his next team: 2% to 74%
too many ppl sleeping on predictq
ICYMI: recap of this week at @PredictQmkt
New tools / site improvements
- Parlay/Combo fair price tool launched
- $10k freeroll + Survivor Revival Optimizer added
- Trading dashboard UI improvements
The following articles:
- Model output for fantasy football markets
- Week 7 NFL Predictions
- NFL Futures Markets recap
- Iowa Senate race breakdown
- Midterms analysis
- Predicting when the ski slopes will open
- Culture Radar
And two shows:
- an interview with @samschwartz71
- Thursday night NFL breakdown for the weekend











