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Just formed a hidden bullish divergence here... $BTC
Midterms, Monday's local highs, every reason to fear it
There will always be a reason to go lower
But the divergence points the way, up toward 85K
Looks like a clean inverse H&S to me... $ETH
Neckline reclaim at 2.8K -> expansion to 5K
You'll thank me later
Looks like a clean inverse H&S to me... $ETH
Neckline reclaim at 2.8K -> expansion to 5K
You'll thank me later
Playing out exactly as called... $BTC
Price rejected weekly open, just as the liquidity lined up
Now that the SSL at 80K is taken, it's all about reclaiming the mVWAP back into the supply
Let's see how it plays out
πππππ‘ π ππ‘π βπ§ retweeted
GN thoughts
We are definitely holding 80K into one more time retesting 79K and we're doing it strongly even though we have every reason to go lower right now
Cause we swept only week lows at 79K, but liquidated many into FOMC, going into new monthly open with pump, midterms and Anthropic
Maybe it really was it and correction is done
Bad time to be bearish then
GM
Holding 80K into Monday, now let's see whether we create a local high here, closing daily below 80K then I'd say 75K becomes more and more likely target
But again, it's all happening along with US midterm elections, which historically boosted dump even more and that's why almost everyone is waiting for 74K
And that's exactly why I'm skeptical of this dump
It almost feels like a perfect setup for another move higher, with $78K marking the local low and leaving everyone waiting for lower prices sidelined once again
But once again who knows
The best you can do is sit like me in spot with avg around ~65K on $BTC and will be buying more at 78K, and at 75K if it comes, that's it
πππππ‘ π ππ‘π βπ§ retweeted
Spitting image... $BTC
Back at the same weekly band that launched the 2023 bull run
Holding strong, so if we flip it to support we continue up
Letβs see how it goes
My plan for today... $BTC
I'd want a sweep below the range into 77K before anything
Pretty textbook fakeout
But that's where we reverse and break the range back up
πππππ‘ π ππ‘π βπ§ retweeted
π¨JUST IN:
KALSHI ANNOUNCED PARTNERSHIP WITH S&P DOW JONES INDICES
The partnership will introduce indices built from prediction market contracts, covering politics, AI, and economic events
This will pave the way for ETFs and other financial products tied to real-world events.
S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi are joining forces to build the next generation of financial markets.
The Dow launched in 1896. The S&P 500 in 1957. The idea was simple: bring individual stocks together into a single benchmark, giving people a clearer view of the broader market.
Over time, products built around those benchmarks transformed investing. Index funds, ETFs, futures, and options gave investors ways to gain diversified market exposure and hedge broad market swings.
These indices became foundations of global finance. More than $20 trillion is indexed or benchmarked to the S&P 500 alone.
Today, this structure extends beyond stocks to bonds, commodities, currencies, and more.
The next step is to bring that structure to the events that shape everyoneβs lives.
Through this partnership, S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi will work together to create indices composed of Kalshi event contracts.
Think about what that opens up.
An index of political power. An index of supply chain risk. An index tracking AIβs impact on employment. An index of sports outcomes that affect broadcasters, advertisers, cities, and small businesses. An index of weather risks that shape harvests, energy demand, and business revenues.
Each would bundle event contracts into a single indicator, helping people understand how related risks are evolving.
Over time, products built around these indices could offer diversified exposure to those events and new ways to hedge their impact.
The events that shape our lives could become as easy to track and gain exposure to as the S&P 500.
Playing out exactly as called... $BTC
Price rejected weekly open, just as the liquidity lined up
Now that the SSL at 80K is taken, it's all about reclaiming the mVWAP back into the supply
Let's see how it plays out
Spitting image... $BTC
Back at the same weekly band that launched the 2023 bull run
Holding strong, so if we flip it to support we continue up
Letβs see how it goes
My plan for today... $BTC
I'd want a sweep below the range into 77K before anything
Pretty textbook fakeout
But that's where we reverse and break the range back up
πππππ‘ π ππ‘π βπ§ retweeted
Another Monday, another local high formed... $BTC
At this point, 78K sweep looks increasingly difficult to avoid
$BTC
POC is sitting at 82K right now
We will see more chopping between 80K-84K until we break either way, which would be the key reaction determining where we're moving next: 74K BOS level or 87K highs
Will be interesting to see how it plays out
Third falling wedge in this uptrend now, and the first two played out the same way every time
Each one compressed, cleared the top and the pump did the rest
No reason this one's any different... $BTC
πππππ‘ π ππ‘π βπ§ retweeted
π¨WARNING: GREAT 2008 & 2020 RECESSION MIGHT COMING AGAIN!
Pending home sales just hit all time lows, lower even than 2008 crush and 2020 COVID times
That will result in huge sell pressure for crypto
Let me explain why and what awaits us
The latest US Pending Home Sales Index collapsed 7.3% to 66.0, the lowest reading since records began in 2001
That's a serious warning for the US economy
A recession happens when economic activity contracts broadly, businesses cut spending and unemployment starts rising
And when investors panic, they usually dump risk assets first
Remember March 2020?
Bitcoin crashed almost 60% in just days as stocks collapsed and investors rushed for liquidity
Now we have record-low housing demand, mortgage rates around 7.4% and more uncertainty ahead of the US midterms
Kalshi is pricing roughly 22% odds of a US recession in 2027, but I think the risks could be higher
That doesn't mean another 2020 crash is guaranteed
But it makes another major correction in $BTC very realistic
I still expect the $70K area to get tested, even if the macro bottom is already in
And if the economy weakens further, the sell-off could become much more aggressive
Remember that I am posting news daily and monitoring each major macro event to post and warn you
So make sure to follow me and turn notifs on
π€ Paid partnership
πππππ‘ π ππ‘π βπ§ retweeted
The only problem you'll have is that you didn't buy enough... $ETH
$BTC
POC is sitting at 82K right now
We will see more chopping between 80K-84K until we break either way, which would be the key reaction determining where we're moving next: 74K BOS level or 87K highs
Will be interesting to see how it plays out
My thesis here is simple... $BTC
I've seen this script already so many times, and that's why I'd expect one more flush into the 75K zone
That's where I'd be adding, when almost everyone would panic, among with the ones who wait for a perfect 70K get front-run
Keep that in mind
πππππ‘ π ππ‘π βπ§ retweeted
That's how the first bullish weekly market structure close looked back in 2022 before huge bull market
Now look what $BTC has now
But given the last cycle bear market as -74% and this -54%, I'd also wait for a % drawdown, which points this correction not to the 70K target but something close to ~75K, again likely
Do what you want with this information
$BTC
POC is sitting at 82K right now
We will see more chopping between 80K-84K until we break either way, which would be the key reaction determining where we're moving next: 74K BOS level or 87K highs
Will be interesting to see how it plays out