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Techno Optimist | Orbital Solar

APOGEE
Joined December 2021
Photo by Bison Head (@100MBTC)Photo by Bison Head (@100MBTC)Photo by Bison Head (@100MBTC)Photo by Bison Head (@100MBTC)Photo by Bison Head (@100MBTC)Photo by Bison Head (@100MBTC)Photo by Bison Head (@100MBTC)Photo by Bison Head (@100MBTC)Photo by Bison Head (@100MBTC)Photo by Bison Head (@100MBTC)
Here is a quick look at construction progress at the Giga Texas Advanced Technology Chip Fab update (@SpaceX/@Tesla joint venture): More steel superstructure & heavy truss installation today. Additional concrete pours on the S end main reinforced slab. Massive truss assembly underway on the ground on both the E & W sides. GeoPier work continues outside the perimeter grade beam, with more steel parts delivered. This ~$3B R&D research fab on the North Campus is the precursor to the much larger Terafab in Grimes County. It will develop and qualify process recipes for advanced AI chips (logic, memory, packaging & test) at a few thousand wafer starts/month scale, enabling rapid iteration before volume production. Targets: first test chips ~mid-2027, useful volume output aspired for Q3 2028. Vertical progress accelerating! 🚀
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Bison Head retweeted
Training on Compute “islands”
distributed training in space ❤️‍🔥
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सौर क्रांति का ये नया दौर केवल adoption का नहीं है...ये innovation पर भी निर्भर है। इसलिए मैं अपने Startups से, IITs, innovators और Entrepreneurs से विशेष आग्रह करुंगा...आप आगे आएं...आप ऐसे model बनाएं जहां एक परिवार की ज्यादा से ज्यादा जरूरतें solar power से पूरी हों: PM @narendramodi
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Bloomberg Intelligence: Data-Center Capex Split by Segment To no surprise, compute servers & GPU take up most of the capex spend... $NVDA $AMD $DELL $GOOGL $META $MSFT $AMZN
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Hyperscalers' total revenue backlogs is currently $2.5 TRILLION: • $MSFT: $677B • $ORCL: $664B • $GOOG: $561B • $AMZN: $578B
Total Capex is estimated to reach $1.5 trillion in 2028, according to street estimates. Top spenders: $GOOG, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN, $SPCX, $ORCL
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Bison Head retweeted
This is what happens to memory mix if all new wafer capacity gets allocated to HBM over the next 4 years. SK hynix said that HBM demand is 2x supply right now.
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Woohoo, @SarvamAI has launched a Token Factory. So we can now access many high quality open-weight models served by domestic inference. Excited to try this.
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There's going to be Moon (Cold) War soon. It doesn't even matter if any side wants there to be, it will just happen naturally.
We all need to collectively start thinking about things more seriously, I think. This isn't a fun althist game anymore. This is real policy. You need to think about it in terms of real policy. This is not a game!
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We identified unauthorized activity affecting our GitBook documentation earlier this morning. The documentation was fully restored to its previous state as of 9:15 AM ET. As a precaution, we advise users not to click on any links within the documentation while our investigation remains ongoing. We are actively reviewing the incident and will provide further updates as appropriate.
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Bison Head retweeted
distributed training in space ❤️‍🔥
Hi! this is Rohan Anil, I develop training algorithms among other things - my work trains various frontier models. At CoreAuto, I was fascinated by the problem of training on compute islands, eventually in space training. I hope you all enjoy this write up!🪐🛰️ coreauto.com/hitchhikers-gui…
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Hi! this is Rohan Anil, I develop training algorithms among other things - my work trains various frontier models. At CoreAuto, I was fascinated by the problem of training on compute islands, eventually in space training. I hope you all enjoy this write up!🪐🛰️ coreauto.com/hitchhikers-gui…
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JUST IN: 🇧🇷 Brazil's largest crypto exchange, Mercado Bitcoin, suspends deposits and withdrawals after reportedly being hacked for over $40 million.
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Bison Head retweeted
I don't think people understand that this what SpaceX is competing against Google's "Global Head of Energy and Power" Don't get me wrong, Sergey and Larry are absolute geniuses who fully understand that compute is going to space, and Google has impressive early efforts here But the hyperscalers are giant bloated bureaucracies filled with people who who moved up the corporate ladder due to political acumen rather than hardcore execution ability This was fine in the old world... when atoms were subjugated by bits, and we left the hard parts of building to Asia It's absolutely unacceptable in the new world... where atoms are king 👑
Over the last week I built a bottoms up SpaceX financial model through the end of 2028 The numbers that came out are insane There are wide error bars given how quickly things are changing but I wanted to distill something complicated into something that can at least be debated * This is not investment advice!!! ** Sequoia is a major SpaceX shareholder *** Past performance is not indicative of future results
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BREAKING: A power outage in downtown Washington, D.C., is disrupting traffic lights and multiple federal facilities, including the State Department, as infrastructure disruptions continue to surface worldwide.
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Bison Head retweeted
Fellow resetters, heads up that we're working on expanding the family of frontier models that power dots, including GPT-6 Astra and GPT-6.1 Terra and some others in the future. Terra brings speed and a nice personality upgrade, and will help us bring dots to more people.
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Anthropic $ANT
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Bison Head retweeted
UPDATE: Looks like SpaceX reset Grok Bot usage back to where it was before yesterday.
I guess I need to pare back some of my Grok Bot usage 😭 I wish there were a plan above the $200/month Ultra Plan.
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Bison Head retweeted
supermarkets in sweden, belgium, luxembourg, estonia, ireland, the netherlands and finland hit by cyberattacks on their refrigeration systems some freezer controls set to 50°C. stores forced to throw away food this is only the beginning very few things are going to matter more than cybersecurity in the next few years
BREAKING: Europe is under a massive widespread cyber attack right now Sweden, Belgium, Luxembourg, Estonia, Ireland the Netherlands and just now Finland are all experiencing disruptions to supermarket refrigeration systems causing food to go off. The attack is spreading...
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Bison Head retweeted
Elon doing Elon things with Terafab, per UBS.
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Bison Head retweeted
UBS projects DRAM capacity to grow ~147% by 2030 reaching ~89 EB: • Samsung ~31 EB (+63%) • $MU ~26 EB (+100%) • $SKHY ~22 EB (+38%) • CXMT ~10 EB (+67%) But even that would cover less than a third of UBS’s full agentic AI buildout scenario which would require ~282 EB of DRAM by 2030 as AI CPUs already carry ~3x memory of traditional processors.
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