PH retweeted
THE 15% BAND
Look at this chart.
59 races. Senate and governor.
States ordered from reddest to bluest in 2024.
The solid lines are 2024.
The dashed lines are 2026.
The shaded bands are what moved.
One formula fits all of it:
Republican 2026 = 0.85 × Trump 2024
Democrat 2026 = Harris 2024 + 0.15 × Trump 2024
For every 1,000 Trump points, 850 stayed Republican. 150 landed on the Democratic side.
The numbers:
Senate: Republicans kept ~85% of Trump’s share
Governor: ~86%
Variation explained: 88%
What makes it strange:
It didn’t matter how red the state was. Wyoming, Ohio, Illinois, Massachusetts: same 15% (p = 0.69). The Democratic gain was sized by Trump’s vote, not Harris’s. The Harris part is zero.
The 0.85 beat both standard election-swing models in every set of races.
Drop any single state and the multiplier stays between 0.846 and 0.853.
Why seats flipped:
At 0.85, any state where Trump got under about 58.5% falls below 50%. Texas, Kansas, Iowa, Ohio, South Carolina, North Carolina: all under that line. All flipped.
What this means:
Midterms are messy. This one isn’t. Two sets of races, different candidates, different campaigns, and the same 15% decrease almost everywhere.
A pattern this even demands answers at the ballot level: paper ballot hand counts, poll-book check-ins against votes counted, and voter files showing who actually turned out.
The numbers raise the question.
The ballots can answer it.
PH retweeted
HOLY SH*T 🚨 The post below goes over the Midterms election results and shows it was algorithmically rigged, I put it into artificial intelligence AND AI CONFIRMS IT’S CORRECT. THE FRAUD ALGO AND ELECTION RESULTS PERFECTLY MATCH
“We cracked their cheating algorithm. 85/15 algorithm....for every 1000 Trump votes (most likely during early voting when Dems front loaded everything) 150 switched to Dems. It's the same pattern in every state that went blue”
Check the AI screenshot. It confirms the math is correct to the results that came in
THE 15% BAND
Look at this chart.
59 races. Senate and governor.
States ordered from reddest to bluest in 2024.
The solid lines are 2024.
The dashed lines are 2026.
The shaded bands are what moved.
One formula fits all of it:
Republican 2026 = 0.85 × Trump 2024
Democrat 2026 = Harris 2024 + 0.15 × Trump 2024
For every 1,000 Trump points, 850 stayed Republican. 150 landed on the Democratic side.
The numbers:
Senate: Republicans kept ~85% of Trump’s share
Governor: ~86%
Variation explained: 88%
What makes it strange:
It didn’t matter how red the state was. Wyoming, Ohio, Illinois, Massachusetts: same 15% (p = 0.69). The Democratic gain was sized by Trump’s vote, not Harris’s. The Harris part is zero.
The 0.85 beat both standard election-swing models in every set of races.
Drop any single state and the multiplier stays between 0.846 and 0.853.
Why seats flipped:
At 0.85, any state where Trump got under about 58.5% falls below 50%. Texas, Kansas, Iowa, Ohio, South Carolina, North Carolina: all under that line. All flipped.
What this means:
Midterms are messy. This one isn’t. Two sets of races, different candidates, different campaigns, and the same 15% decrease almost everywhere.
A pattern this even demands answers at the ballot level: paper ballot hand counts, poll-book check-ins against votes counted, and voter files showing who actually turned out.
The numbers raise the question.
The ballots can answer it.
PH retweeted
To this day, Stephen Miller taking down CNN live on air is one of the most brutal takedowns ever witnessed in modern American politics.
CNN: This is an undocumented immigrant, I do wanna note that.
Miller: Are you saying this, this immigrant was here illegally?
CNN: Yes, but I am, and that's why I said that. I clarified that...
Miller: Cause you said, undocumented, and I wasn't clear what that means. Okay. I'm assuming they have a fake ID. I'm assuming they have a fake social security number...
CNN: That's, that's neither here nor there. That's, that's getting away from the question, Stephen. I want, I want this to be, and call me naive, a good faith discussion.
Miller: When we use language that's designed to obscure the truth, that's not good faith.
Truly a masterclass, the man is unparalleled.
PH retweeted
⚠️ 🇵🇱 KRAKÓW UPDATE: THREE BODIES FOUND AT GUNMAN’S HOME; TUSK CALLS SHOOTING TERRORISM
Polish police have confirmed that two women and a man were found dead at the Kraków gunman’s residence in Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski on Saturday evening. Prime Minister Donald Tusk said there were strong indications that they were members of the suspect’s immediate family.
Six people were killed in the Kraków shooting, with three additional people now found dead at the suspect’s residence. Authorities have not yet publicly established how or when those three died, or confirmed that the suspect killed them before travelling to Kraków. Their exact family relationships have not been officially confirmed.
Tusk described the Kraków attack as terrorism during his evening briefing. Interior Minister Marcin Kierwiński said investigators were examining indications that the suspect may have been fascinated by far-right ideologies. That remains an investigative lead, not an established motive. No specific extremist organization or foreign involvement has been confirmed.
The Interior Ministry said police and Poland’s Internal Security Agency, ABW, were working both at the shooting scene and at the suspect’s family home.
Kierwiński also updated the hospital figures: 16 people were hospitalized in Kraków, including the gunman and two police officers. That total includes the suspect and should not be read as 16 injured victims in addition to him. Earlier statements reported 15 injured people without clarifying whether he was included.
The suspect remained in serious condition after being shot and detained by police. One wounded officer was reported to be in very serious condition. No officer’s death has been confirmed.
The minister said police currently had no grounds to conclude that anyone else participated in the attack, though investigators would examine CCTV footage. He said officers fired their first shots at the gunman three minutes after the incident was reported.
The shooting began at about 3 p.m. local time, when police say the man drove into Kraków’s Main Market Square and fired at people. The six people killed were four women and two men. Authorities placed his eventual arrest near Stradomska and Dietla streets.
A route 1 tram was also fired on during the incident. Its driver and passengers were not injured, according to the city’s transport operator.
Tusk announced national mourning for November 8 and 9. The circumstances of the three deaths at the residence, and their precise connection to the Kraków attack, remain under investigation.
🇵🇱 Kraków gunman acted alone and was "fascinated with far-right ideologies," Poland's interior minister says, as the defense minister calls the six killings an act of terror
Poland's interior minister said Saturday evening that the man who killed six people in Kraków's Main Market Square appears to have acted alone and was driven by far-right extremism. "Everything points to the fact that the shooter was influenced by far-right ideology, a matter that will also be subject to investigation," Marcin Kierwiński told a news conference in Kraków, according to The Guardian. Polish outlets quoted him saying the suspect had "very, very radical" views and was "fascinated with far-right ideologies," and that police have "no grounds" to say there was more than one attacker, though they will review surveillance footage again. Agents of the Internal Security Agency (ABW) are at the scene and at the suspect's family home, where counterterrorism officers are also working, he said.
Defense Minister Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz called the shooting an "act of terror" against the people of Kraków, AP reported. He also flatly denied online claims that the gunman was a soldier: "The man was not and is not a soldier in the Polish Armed Forces and has never had anything to do with the military." Kierwiński said he expected more detail in the coming hours on whether the attacker was inspired by or cooperated with anyone. No official terrorism charge, group affiliation or manifesto has been made public.
Police say the attack began at about 3 p.m. local time, when a man drove into the square and fired at random people from his car. Police spokesperson Katarzyna Cisło told AP he wore military-style fatigues and a bulletproof vest, kept firing at officers after he was hit, and made a "wild ride" around the square, wounding people at several locations. Four women and two men were killed. Kierwiński said 16 people were hospitalized, including five non-Polish nationals, and that one foreign national was among the dead; Portugal's foreign ministry said a Portuguese woman was among the injured. Two police officers were shot, one seriously. Officers shot and detained the suspect near Dietla and Stradomska streets. Onet reported his condition as stable.
The weapons are the next question. National police spokesperson Andrzej Fijołek told TVN24 the gunman used an AR-15 rifle and had a firearms licence, according to The Guardian. Kierwiński said shots came from an "automatic weapon" and that many guns were found in the car; Polish reporting describes a civilian AR-15 variant, a description that conflicts with full-auto fire.
Kierwiński's working hypothesis, which he stressed still has to be confirmed, is that the suspect used his father's legally registered weapons. Onet reported that the father, 52, legally holds 11 firearms, that the son held a permit for two, and that neither had a criminal record. Regional police and PAP give the suspect's age as 24; AP and The Guardian later reported 25.
PH retweeted
I saw the first two videos of the officer who ended the shooting spree in Krakow, Poland, before I saw the third. Like a lot of people, I wondered why he kept firing after the gunman fell.
The first two angles show the wounded officer still on his feet, firing at a gunman who’s down but still moving. The wider angle shows what happened seconds earlier. The gunman opened fire on both responding officers, and one went down. The officer who kept firing had been hit too. You can see him eventually collapse.
The gunman appears to be wearing body armor, and it’s hard to tell from the footage exactly when his weapon was out of reach. Watching all three angles, I don’t blame the officer for treating him as an active threat after he fell.
I’ve synced the first two angles and included the wider view. Watch all three and see for yourself.
PH retweeted
Um terrorista fortemente armado e equipado com um colete balístico de proteção nível VPAM 6 abriu fogo na praça central de Cracóvia, na Polônia, deixando cinco mortos.
Um policial local, armado apenas com uma pistola, enfrentou o agressor e conseguiu neutralizar a ameaça após efetuar diversos disparos a curtíssima distância. A elevada proteção balística utilizada pelo terrorista dificultou a intervenção.
O policial ficou ferido durante o confronto, mas conseguiu impedir que o ataque continuasse.
PH retweeted
🇵🇱 | ÚLTIMO: En Polonia, acaban de descubrir que el atacante de Cracovia, Michał Oksiński era un activista de izquierda radical, antifascista y anarcocomunista, que se burlaba del cristianismo. El gobierno de Tusk y los medios quisieron vincularlo con grupos de derecha, pero hoy se sabe que no es así. Todo se pudo filtrar de las cuentas de Oksinski qué ahora están eliminadas, la pregunta es, ¿quién eliminó las dos cuentas del atacante en Facebook, si a sus dos padres y a su hermana los encontraron muertos en su vivienda?
PH retweeted
My favorite @StephenM moment:
PH retweeted
As an attorney I am watching your threats on X and national television. I have some advice @RepRobertGarcia: YOU better lawyer up.
Congress cannot use subpoenas solely to punish political opponents. Your threats are crossing into criminal extortion and congressional immunity will not save you.
PH retweeted
HOLY CR*P 🚨 How is this even possible??
All of California’s major candidate election results are the EXACT SAME percentages for Democrats and Republicans
Governor 64% (D) vs 35% (R)
Lieutenant Governor 64% (D) vs 35% (R)
Secretary of State 64% (D) vs 35% (R)
Controller 64% (D) vs 35% (R)
Treasurer 64% (D) vs 35% (R)
Attorney General 64% (D) vs 35% (R)
Supreme Court Justice: Joshua Groban 72% (D) vs 28% (R)
Supreme Court Justice: Kelli M. Evans 72% (D) vs 28% (R)
These don’t look like real election results, they look like a computer algorithm
Our elections are fake
PH retweeted
There are rare moments when I’m at a loss for words, but the outpouring of support for @StephenM truly awes me.
Stephen has stood by President Trump for 11 years through wins, investigations, rallies, foreign trips, state visits, and more. I’ve seen him work relentlessly around the clock to fulfill President Trump’s promises to American people.
When we left office in 2021, Stephen always knew Trump would return and told the White House staff so on our last day in 45. No one (except @DanScavino) has worked harder or believes in this President more than Stephen.
President Trump loves this story: Stephen and I met because of him when I worked on immigration at DHS. Without him, our four beautiful children wouldn’t exist. Anyone who has called Stephen in the morning or around dinner knows he is an incredibly active dad who pours his whole heart into them daily.
Watching your best friend and spouse achieve their dreams is a once-in-a-lifetime experience.
To the reporters prognosticating about the future and what his appointment means: Stephen loves our country and wants to make it better for our kids and yours. He means business and is ready to work.
The best is yet to come.
Thank you, President Trump.
PH retweeted
Horror scenes in the centre of Kraków as a terrorist leaves a trail of destruction and death in Poland.
Pray for the Polish people 🙏🏻
Pray for the victims 🙏🏻
PH retweeted
🚨THEY JUST PUT THE MAN THEY CAN’T STOP IN CHARGE AND HE STARTS MONDAY.
Stephen Miller at Mar-a-Lago last night as the new Chief of Staff: “I am the storm.” He didn’t smile. He didn’t blink. They have no idea what’s coming.
