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The AFL Lab

@AFLLab

AFL Amateur Data Analysis. PhD in applied maths, now working in Finance. Also enjoys beer, education, and the Oxford comma.

 The Lab, Sydney
theafllab.com
Joined May 2018
  • Tweets3.9K
  • Following205
  • Followers3.2K
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Photo by The AFL Lab (@AFLLab)Photo by The AFL Lab (@AFLLab)Photo by The AFL Lab (@AFLLab)Photo by The AFL Lab (@AFLLab)Photo by The AFL Lab (@AFLLab)Photo by The AFL Lab (@AFLLab)Photo by The AFL Lab (@AFLLab)Photo by The AFL Lab (@AFLLab)Photo by The AFL Lab (@AFLLab)Photo by The AFL Lab (@AFLLab)
The AFL Lab retweeted
AFLxScore (@AFLxScore) profile picture
AFLxScore@AFLxScoreApr 30
#AFLPiesHawks Final xScores: COLL 93 from expected 59.7 (+0 rushed) HAW 91 from expected 99.1 (+2 rushed)
Image from AFLxScore (@AFLxScore)
Image from AFLxScore (@AFLxScore)
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The AFL Lab retweeted
AFLxScore (@AFLxScore) profile picture
AFLxScore@AFLxScoreApr 25
#AFLPowerCats IT'S OVER - win called for @PAFC at Q4 20:53 (p<0.01)
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The AFL Lab retweeted
AFLxScore (@AFLxScore) profile picture
AFLxScore@AFLxScore21 Jun 2025
Set Sharty Amartey Partey
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This week: @KylePollard asked @HPNfooty and I about goalkicking and accuracy. So we did a deep dive for the ABC on accuracy and what contributes to goals and behinds. Thanks to everyone who contributed, particularly Ken and Adam. abc.net.au/news/2025-06-13/a…
Kicking has been in the gun — but are shots on goal any worse than they've ever been?

Kicking has been in the gun — but are shots on goal any worse than they've ever been?

Goalkicking accuracy is a talking point that consistently gets raised in the AFL — but how does 2025 compare to the years that have come before?

abc.net.au
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The AFL Lab retweeted
AFLxScore (@AFLxScore) profile picture
AFLxScore@AFLxScore1 Mar 2025
Due to my owner not wanting to pay hundreds of USD a month, I will only be posting quarter updates here this season. Full posting at the much cheaper (free) other side: bsky.app/profile/aflxscore.b…
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✍️A long investigation into some BPL matches and two occurrences that are around 1000-1 and 2000-1 that happened after seeing some movements on the betting market. wickets.substack.com/p/three…
Image from Jarrod Kimber (@ajarrodkimber)
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The AFL Lab retweeted
AFLxScore (@AFLxScore) profile picture
AFLxScore@AFLxScore3 Aug 2024
#AFLPowerSwans IT'S OVER - win called for @PAFC at Q2 19:20 (p<0.01)
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The AFL Lab retweeted
Liam (@crow_data_sigh) profile picture
Liam@crow_data_sigh2 Jun 2024
Bday drinks with the lads @roberto_boberto @AFLLab
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Replying to @AFLxScore
@AFLxScore
Image from Useless AFL Stats (@UselessStatsAFL)
Image from Useless AFL Stats (@UselessStatsAFL)
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The AFL Lab retweeted
AFLxScore (@AFLxScore) profile picture
AFLxScore@AFLxScore2 May 2024
#AFLCrowsPower Final xScores: ADEL 76 from expected 59.7 (+2 rushed) PORT 46 from expected 68.8 (+2 rushed)
Image from AFLxScore (@AFLxScore)
Image from AFLxScore (@AFLxScore)
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Who's got the best xScore model? CD v @AFLLab's @AFLxScore v @andrew_whelan v @crow_data_sci (rip). Thanks to @greenlitaccount for the help.
Image from Useless AFL Stats (@UselessStatsAFL)
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The AFL Lab retweeted
AFLxScore (@AFLxScore) profile picture
AFLxScore@AFLxScore25 Mar 2024
2024 Round 2 xScore Ladder
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The AFL Lab retweeted
AFLxScore (@AFLxScore) profile picture
AFLxScore@AFLxScore25 Mar 2024
2024 Round 2 xScore Luck and Opportunity Generation vs. Concession
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Image from AFLxScore (@AFLxScore)
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The AFL Lab retweeted
AFLxScore (@AFLxScore) profile picture
AFLxScore@AFLxScore18 Mar 2024
End of Round 1 Expected Score Ladder and "Luck"
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Image from AFLxScore (@AFLxScore)
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The AFL Lab retweeted
ABC News (@abcnews) profile picture
ABC News
@abcnews8 Mar 2024
It is one the most the devastating weapons a fast bowler can own — but the art of swing is steeped in mystery and myths that only science can explain. ab.co/438gkDY

'The whole mystery was revealed': The science of what makes a cricket ball swing explained

It is one of the most devastating weapons a fast bowler can own — but the art of swing is steeped in mystery and myths that only science can explain.

abc.net.au
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The AFL Lab retweeted
AFLxScore (@AFLxScore) profile picture
AFLxScore@AFLxScore15 Sep 2023
#AFLDeesBlues Final xScores: MELB 69 from expected 81.3 (+2 rushed) CARL 73 from expected 63.5 (+0 rushed)
Image from AFLxScore (@AFLxScore)
Image from AFLxScore (@AFLxScore)
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The AFL Lab retweeted
AFLxScore (@AFLxScore) profile picture
AFLxScore@AFLxScore28 Aug 2023
AFL xScore database (2014-date): Game totals: raw.githubusercontent.com/ad… All shots: raw.githubusercontent.com/ad…
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The AFL Lab retweeted
AFLxScore (@AFLxScore) profile picture
AFLxScore@AFLxScore28 Jul 2023
#AFLPiesBlues Final xScores: COLL 73 from expected 91.1 (+3 rushed) CARL 92 from expected 84.3 (+1 rushed)
Image from AFLxScore (@AFLxScore)
Image from AFLxScore (@AFLxScore)
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The AFL Lab retweeted
The AFL Lab (@AFLLab) profile picture
The AFL Lab@AFLLab16 Jul 2023
Well, I'd like to see ol Dane Rampe wriggle his way out of THIS jam! *Tribunal dismisses all charges on illogical evidence* Ah! Well. Nevertheless,
David Zita (@DavidZita1) profile pictureDavid Zita
@DavidZita116 Jul 2023
The Swans will challenge Dane Rampe’s two-match ban. They’ll have to prove there was no election to bump or that contact was caused by circumstances that couldn’t be reasonably foreseen. @FOXFOOTY
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The AFL Lab retweeted
Darren W (@manikato888) profile picture
Darren W@manikato88814 Jul 2023
Replying to @AFLLab
@AFLLab
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