5th-generation Arizonan patriot. Universal healthcare 4 all. I love AZ, the salt river, Jerome, Democratic politics, Katie Hobbs, and Greenlee county.
ARIZONA - WHERE ELSE?
Joined September 2022
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AZ's 𝐁𝐋𝐔𝐄 Politico retweeted
Arizona spends about $1 billion on ESA vouchers and requires no common test to show whether students are learning. Public schools get A–F grades. ESA gets the honor system.
So why don’t you ever post how great ESA students do?
Put up or shut up. The end of ESA is near.
AZ's 𝐁𝐋𝐔𝐄 Politico retweeted
Here's some of the Phoenix metro West Valley comparing President 2024, and thanks to Data Guru, Governor 2026.
Now we know why Senator Janae Shamp barely held on.
Ask and ye shall receive.
Interactive precinct map of the governor's contest.
az-data-guru.github.io/2026-…
AZ's 𝐁𝐋𝐔𝐄 Politico retweeted
Developing story…the couple in this sign is PewDiePie, vlogger of 2010’s YouTube fame, and his wife.
PewDiePie, real name Felix Kjellberg, is Swedish and lives in Japan. Faced controversy after Christchurch mass shooter promoted his channel. Screenshot below is from Instagram.
Republicans United came up w fix after printers across county refused "Protect White Americans" sign, per chair Kevin Decuyper: spray-painted "white" onto "Protect Americans" sign. Location: 24th St & Baseline in Latino/African-American S. Phoenix. azcentral.com/story/news/pol…
AZ's 𝐁𝐋𝐔𝐄 Politico retweeted
In Maricopa County, Arizona, Republican Election Day turnout has fallen by nearly 50% compared to 2022 and around 33% compared to 2024.
This is on top of the Republican deficit in early voting compared to Democrats.
(Data as of 10:00 a.m. local time)
AZ's 𝐁𝐋𝐔𝐄 Politico retweeted
My current read on the Election Day returns, and then I'm stepping away to go on a run, is that things look roughly in line with both:
(A) extrapolations from early vote
and
(B) the polls
Maybe even a hint of modest (1-2pt) underestimation of Dems
gelliottmorris.com/i/2232347…
AZ's 𝐁𝐋𝐔𝐄 Politico retweeted
Another ~100k ballots cast in AZ, bringing the total to 1.642M.
More than two-thirds of Dem 3/3s and more than half of Rep 3/3 have voted. Dems continue to maintain leads in return rates for low-propensity voters and saw a slight expansion of those leads today.
AZ's 𝐁𝐋𝐔𝐄 Politico retweeted
From now on, I do not want to hear ANY MORE “Progressives are ratfucking Dems” EVER AGAIN. People like Francesca Hong and Tom Steyer have backed the more moderate Dem nominee in their own races. Meanwhile Haley Stevens is out campaigning with Mike Rogers just TWO DAYS before the election
AZ's 𝐁𝐋𝐔𝐄 Politico retweeted
Small report today of ~100k ballots - taking us to 1.534M in total. The Rep ballot lead NARROWED to 8k. The first report not to move in their direction since 10/19.
Dems especially expanded their lead among low propensity voters - now 3 points ahead with 0/3s and 6 with 1/3s.
AZ's 𝐁𝐋𝐔𝐄 Politico retweeted
BROOOO the GOP has a LEAK 😂
Hot Mic @votewarren here caught publicly panicking about early vote returns after bluffing on social media all week.
REALITY CHECK:
“We need to get the numbers up. Where we really need to be is an R+10,” Petersen said. “With the drop that just happened here, we’re at an R+1.2”😩
“THE REAL ISSUE IS THAT DEMS ARE FRONT LOADING VERY WELL”
“We don’t want to have to have a Herculean Election Day and win because we’ve let them get way too far ahead of us on the (early) vote.”
azmirror.com/2026/10/29/on-p…
AZ's 𝐁𝐋𝐔𝐄 Politico retweeted
POLL INCOMING:
@azhighground poll of record shows a double-digit margin between @katiehobbs and @andybiggs4az.
Similar margins exist down the ticket. Driven mainly by independent voters supporting Democrats at 3 to 1.
Governor
🔵 Hobbs 52
🔴 Biggs 39
Secretary of State
🔵 Fontes 50
🔴 Kolodin 38
Attorney General
🔵 Mayes 52
🔴 Petersen 41
Treasurer
🔵 Mansour 47
🔴 Norton 41
Superintendent of Public Instruction
🔵 Leyba Ruiz 47
🔴 Yee 43
AZ's 𝐁𝐋𝐔𝐄 Politico retweeted
Guy who knows nothing about elections in Arizona and thinks this is bad for democrats
AZ's 𝐁𝐋𝐔𝐄 Politico retweeted
AZ01 POLL Incoming.
One of the tightest congressional districts in the country is poling neck and neck with Democrat @DrAmishShah holding a slight edge over Republican @jayfeely.
Shah 44%
Feely 42%
Unsure 14%
FIrstStrategic | Oct. 1 | n=400 | MoE +/- 5.4
AZ's 𝐁𝐋𝐔𝐄 Politico retweeted
.@StateNavigate puts the chances of a democratic trifecta in Arizona at over 70%.
AZ's 𝐁𝐋𝐔𝐄 Politico retweeted
POLL INCOMING
Local pollster @azhighground shows incumbent @katiehobbs with a 15 point lead on the ballot test over her opponent @andybiggs4az.
AZ's 𝐁𝐋𝐔𝐄 Politico retweeted
It's amazing how much the water "culprits" in Arizona are said to be:
- Golf courses
- Microchip manufacturing
- Data centers
- People with lawns
And how little attention is paid to agriculture (farm and cattle).
Ag consumes 70% of Arizona's water.
Ag accounts for less than 1% of state employment and less than 1% of state GDP.
That's such an insane imbalance.
extension.arizona.edu/sites/…
mapazdashboard.arizona.edu/a…
AZ's 𝐁𝐋𝐔𝐄 Politico retweeted
Is it too much to ask that you all leave our state’s Dem primaries out of your annoying dc political bickering?
Not everything is a front in whatever insider proxy war you all are waging.
Most races discussed in these back and forth posts are getting a lot of forced outside analysis that is uninformed and lacking.
You know these races all exist in their own contexts and communities and that candidate quality is a thing? Right?
