🇩🇴| Player Prop Maniac | @OutlierDotBet & @Pikkitsports Affiliate | Owner of @Alchemist_Labs_ | MLB '25: 63-28-5 | WNBA ‘24: 34-27-2 | NBA ‘24: 59-35-2 #RepBX
Joined September 2023
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#MLB Pick - June 4th
⚾️Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases
#BetMGM +100 #Birdland
- Over 60% in the L5 games, with the L2 recent games getting 2+ Hits in each
- Taking advantage of Emerson Hancock of the Mariners. Emerson has been getting crushed this year. This year he has a 35.1 Hard Hit%, ranking him in the 80th percentile. Also has a Brl % landing him in the 62th percentile.
- For that reason we go with Gunnar, he has been heating up very well this week. This year he has landed himself in top 5% in EV (93.8) and a Hard Hit% of 55.1, landing him in the top 4% in MLB
- Batting very well against RHP
.331 BA - .414 BABIP - .225 ISO - 38.3 XBH%
- Last two games hes averaged an Exit velocity of 107.4, and with Emerson's pitch mix, Gunnar crushes it. This is a great spot for Gunnar to heat up some more
📊@OutlierDotBet
🔗: lnk.bet/t/4hEaFzh8
Joe Ryan o6.5 Ks ❌
Not the comeback I wanted after being off X a while 🥴
Joe has let this game go. We bounce back tomorrow 🫡
#MLB Pick - June 2nd
⚾️Joe Ryan o6.5 Strikeouts
#Fanduel -112 #MNTwins
- Over 80% in the L5 starts
- Joe this year has been up and down, but his stuff is still strikeout nasty
- He’s coming into this game with a 30.5 K%, 10.6 K/9 and a 2.33 ERA
- Pitching against the Athletics. A’s are collectively in the L30 games have a 21.6 K%.
- SPs who have a 25+ K% this year have seen great K success against the A’s
Gausman: 7
Bassitt: 6
McCullers Jr: 12
Brown: 8
Luzardo: 10
- We should see Ryan very comfortable here, let’s cash
📊@OutlierDotBet
🔗: lnk.bet/t/iaddGUu
1
450
#MLB Pick - June 2nd
⚾️Joe Ryan o6.5 Strikeouts
#Fanduel -112 #MNTwins
- Over 80% in the L5 starts
- Joe this year has been up and down, but his stuff is still strikeout nasty
- He’s coming into this game with a 30.5 K%, 10.6 K/9 and a 2.33 ERA
- Pitching against the Athletics. A’s are collectively in the L30 games have a 21.6 K%.
- SPs who have a 25+ K% this year have seen great K success against the A’s
Gausman: 7
Bassitt: 6
McCullers Jr: 12
Brown: 8
Luzardo: 10
- We should see Ryan very comfortable here, let’s cash
📊@OutlierDotBet
🔗: lnk.bet/t/iaddGUu
Lauri o19.5 Points ❌
Huge blowout this game. They had Miami trailing to a high 37 points. Lauri had 3 3-Pointer attempts in the 3rd that would of cashed us but they missed. Unfortunate. We move
#NBA Pick - Jan 4
🏀Lauri Markkanen o19.5 Points
#Fandual -120
- Over only 60% in the L5 games, two recent games only scoring 17 & 16 points. However this is a favorable matchup for him here
- Taking on the Heat tonight. They allow a SHIT load of points to Catch n Shoot scorers, here are some notable CnS players against MIA
Durant: 32 Points
Beasley: 28 Points
MPJ: 21 Points
Murphy: 34 Points
- Lauri is 4th in CnS scoring in the league rn and should be very comfortable here.
18.3 FGA/8.7 FGM - 11.2 3PA/3.7 3PM - 4.6 FTA/4.2 FTM
- Plenty of volume here. Also MIA does not have Butler, so a little less defensive focus MIA here ill take Lauri to score any day
📊@OutlierDotBet
🔗: lnk.bet/t/XveXiMCL
105
#NBA Pick - Jan 4
🏀Lauri Markkanen o19.5 Points
#Fandual -120
- Over only 60% in the L5 games, two recent games only scoring 17 & 16 points. However this is a favorable matchup for him here
- Taking on the Heat tonight. They allow a SHIT load of points to Catch n Shoot scorers, here are some notable CnS players against MIA
Durant: 32 Points
Beasley: 28 Points
MPJ: 21 Points
Murphy: 34 Points
- Lauri is 4th in CnS scoring in the league rn and should be very comfortable here.
18.3 FGA/8.7 FGM - 11.2 3PA/3.7 3PM - 4.6 FTA/4.2 FTM
- Plenty of volume here. Also MIA does not have Butler, so a little less defensive focus MIA here ill take Lauri to score any day
📊@OutlierDotBet
🔗: lnk.bet/t/XveXiMCL
NBA Recap Dec 12
If only Cade made some Threes!
Now sitting at 10-3 on this run. Unfortunate result but great read with @CactusWxst_ 🤝
#NBA Pick - Dec 13
🏀Nikola Jokic o12.5 Rebounds
#DraftKings -125 Collab w/ @parlizzypapi 🤝
- Over this line 80% in the L5 games. Over 80% H2H against the Clippers. Jamal Murray might be out, if so Nikola has been over this lime 100% in both aspects
- Nikola has been putting up another MVP year honestly, doing it all for the Nuggets
- This week alone he has seen 28 Potential Rebounds in the L5 games. Against the Clippers he is seeing 25.5 Potential Rebounds with an average 14.9 Rebounds
- Pure volume in potential play here, i also think this is our first bet on Nikola on the year so lets cash
❤️=Tailing
📊@OutlierDotBet
🔗: lnk.bet/t/x0gnlN
#NBA Pick - Dec 12
🏀Cade Cunningham o22.5 Points
#Caesars -125 Cactemist Collab @CactusWxst_ 🤝
- Write up ⬇️
🔗 lnk.bet/t/aM8FfC
#NBAX Prop 🏀
📊@OutlierDotBet
#DetroitBasketball
Cade Cunningham Over 22.5 Points
-125 #Czr
Collab w/ @Alchemist_Picks
📊Cade has cleared this line in, 100% of his L5, 70% of his L10, 100% with 3+ days rest and in 65% of his last 20 road games.
📈This season Cade is averaging 23.9 points, with 9 FGM/19.7 FGA, shooting 39% from 3.During his last 5 games, Cade is averaging 26 points per game, with plenty of volume; 9.6 FGM / 19.8 FGA shooting 71% from 3.
📊The Boston Celtics give up an average of 25.4 pts to starting PGs.
📈Notable PGs pts vs BOS this season.
Morant: 32
Lillard: 31
Daniels: 28
Cunningham: 27
Curry: 27
Great spot here for Cade to continue to produce for the Pistons. The Celtics continue to be vulnerable against great guard play - making this a great matchup for Cade.
🔗: lnk.bet/t/nsQmpk
SGA o10.5 RA✅
SGA makes everything look easy🔥
❤️ if you tailed
#NBA Pick - Dec 10
🏀Shai Gilgeous-Alexander o10.5 Rebounds+Assists
#DraftKings -135
- Over this line 82% H2H against the Mavs
- NBA Cup game, i expect Mavs to double or trap SGA as much as they can. Dudes a walking bucket. With that i like his RA
- Averging 13.5 RA against the Mavs and on this season averaging 10 RA with combined 23 potential assist and rebounds
- Against the Mavs
15.1 Potential Assists
11.8 Potential Rebounds
- Keeping this short bc this is sure to juice, SGA should be put to work here, which will lead to passing and boards. Plenty of volume here
- This line is now probably juiced, would use it as a parlay or if you don’t mind the juice play as is. Posted in discord earlier today.
❤️=Tailing
📊@OutlierDotBet
🔗: lnk.bet/t/2M4UlTrd
#NBA Pick - Dec 10
🏀Shai Gilgeous-Alexander o10.5 Rebounds+Assists
#DraftKings -135
- Over this line 82% H2H against the Mavs
- NBA Cup game, i expect Mavs to double or trap SGA as much as they can. Dudes a walking bucket. With that i like his RA
- Averging 13.5 RA against the Mavs and on this season averaging 10 RA with combined 23 potential assist and rebounds
- Against the Mavs
15.1 Potential Assists
11.8 Potential Rebounds
- Keeping this short bc this is sure to juice, SGA should be put to work here, which will lead to passing and boards. Plenty of volume here
- This line is now probably juiced, would use it as a parlay or if you don’t mind the juice play as is. Posted in discord earlier today.
❤️=Tailing
📊@OutlierDotBet
🔗: lnk.bet/t/2M4UlTrd
Happy to announce that I am now an affiliate for @pikkitsports !
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NBA Recap Dec 9
Now at a 9-1 run🔥
Just 1 play yesterday, I will have two today and post on here free for yall
NBA Recap Dec 7
If only Bane kept it going early on in the game.
Either way it’s been a 7-1 run in the L3 days 🔥
2 Days 2 SWEEPS
We cashed a small card Dec 5th and now a nice 4-0 for last night 🔥
Kept the plays for the Lab Members today, will be posting a free play today for yall
dubclub.win/r/Alchemist_Pick…
Bane o15.5 Points 🪝
Dude was literally not relevant at all then caught fire so late in the game to finish with 14
#NBA Pick - Dec 7
🏀Desmond Bane o15.5 Points
#Fandual -113
- Over this line 60% in the L5 games with 3 of those recent games going over 100%. Over 100% H2H against Boston
- Boston still giving a ton of points to Guards, ranking 21 in allowed points to PGs. Allowing 24.9 PPG. Also ranking 19th in allowed points to SGs, oddly enough giving away more points to them (28.7 PPG)
- This week Bane is shooting at a great volume
12.6 FGA/7.6 FGM - 4.6 3PA/1.7 3PM - Playing 27+ mins
- Last time we faced the Celtics he saw
27 FGA/11 FGM - 14 3PA/7 3PM - 36 min played
- Desmond Bane has exceeded 15.5 points in 16 of his last 19 games on the road (22.8 points/game average).
❤️=Tailing
📊@OutlierDotBet
🔗: lnk.bet/t/itoDkxKc
97
#NBA Pick - Dec 7
🏀Desmond Bane o15.5 Points
#Fandual -113
- Over this line 60% in the L5 games with 3 of those recent games going over 100%. Over 100% H2H against Boston
- Boston still giving a ton of points to Guards, ranking 21 in allowed points to PGs. Allowing 24.9 PPG. Also ranking 19th in allowed points to SGs, oddly enough giving away more points to them (28.7 PPG)
- This week Bane is shooting at a great volume
12.6 FGA/7.6 FGM - 4.6 3PA/1.7 3PM - Playing 27+ mins
- Last time we faced the Celtics he saw
27 FGA/11 FGM - 14 3PA/7 3PM - 36 min played
- Desmond Bane has exceeded 15.5 points in 16 of his last 19 games on the road (22.8 points/game average).
❤️=Tailing
📊@OutlierDotBet
🔗: lnk.bet/t/itoDkxKc
2 Days 2 SWEEPS
We cashed a small card Dec 5th and now a nice 4-0 for last night 🔥
Kept the plays for the Lab Members today, will be posting a free play today for yall
dubclub.win/r/Alchemist_Pick…
