π¨π§¬ THREAD: $IONS's olezarsen faces FDA decision on Jun 30.
72% TG reduction. 85% less pancreatitis. 2.1M patients with no good options.
Can this gene-silencing shot change lipid medicine forever?
Here's why it matters π§΅π
π² My approval odds: 87%
Breakthrough Therapy + Priority Review + clean safety + 72% TG drop = very strong case.
π Bull: 2.1M patients, no targeted therapy exists
π» Bear: Docs habit β fibrates "good enough"
Will FDA approve olezarsen? π’ Yes / π΄ No β drop your take π
RT Tweet 1 if this helped π
#FDA #PDUFA #Biotech #IONS #Hypertriglyceridemia #CardioTwitter #BiotechTwitter
π¨π§¬ THREAD: $VRDN's veligrotug faces FDA decision on Jun 30.
The first drug that could treat CHRONIC thyroid eye diseaseβwhen bulging eyes don't heal on their own.
Here's why this matters π§΅π
π² My approval odds: 80%
Two Ph3 trials. Both hit EVERY endpoint. Breakthrough Therapy. First-ever chronic TED data in a Ph3.
The hearing signal is realβbut manageable. FDA wants to fill this unmet need. Bull case wins here.
Will FDA approve? π’ Yes / π΄ No β drop your take π
RT tweet 1 if this helped π
#FDA #PDUFA #Biotech #VRDN #ThyroidEyeDisease #BiotechTwitter
But here are the red flags:
β οΈ Trial enrolled obese patients only β label may be restricted
β οΈ GLP-1 class effect? Semaglutide (SELECT) showed CV benefits too β differentiation unclear
β οΈ FDA may demand additional post-marketing data before full approval
π’ Eli Lilly and Company
π $LLY β NYSE | π° ~$700B market cap
π Zepbound + HFpEF label expands into cardiology β new $10B+ annual opportunity per analyst estimates
π¨π§¬ THREAD: $CYTK's aficamten faces FDA decision on Jun 16.
A 2nd cardiac myosin inhibitor enters the ring β can it out-compete Camzyos in obstructive HCM?
Here's everything you need to know before the decision π§΅π
π² My approval odds: 75%
Bull: Clean efficacy + differentiated safety profile β $1B+ peak sales potential, room alongside Camzyos
Bear: REMS + entrenched competition limits commercial uptake even post-approval
FDA has strong reason to say yes. The market question is harder.
Will FDA approve aficamten? π’ Yes / π΄ No β drop your take π
RT tweet 1 if this helped π
#FDA #PDUFA #Biotech #CYTK #HCM #CardioTwitter #BiotechTwitter
