Alex Schleber 👽🙄 (@AlexSchleber) header
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 (@AlexSchleber) profile picture

Org Psychology MA. Core #Archetypes Matrix comms strategy to crystallize your #narratives. #TeamWissenschaft x #TeamNarratology

FRA(nkfurt), PDX, ATX
Joined February 2008
Photo by Alex Schleber 👽🙄 (@AlexSchleber)Photo by Alex Schleber 👽🙄 (@AlexSchleber)Photo by Alex Schleber 👽🙄 (@AlexSchleber)Photo by Alex Schleber 👽🙄 (@AlexSchleber)Photo by Alex Schleber 👽🙄 (@AlexSchleber)Photo by Alex Schleber 👽🙄 (@AlexSchleber)Photo by Alex Schleber 👽🙄 (@AlexSchleber)
Germany to provide anti-stimulus of NEGATIVE €Billions to un-support its economy (due to completely nonsensical "debt brake" #Schuldenbremse, GER with some of the lowest debt-to-GDP & < 2.3% borrowing cost cancels its battery research investments to "save money") @HalleVerkehrt
INTEL: China to provide stimulus of $325 B to support the economy
3
15
3
46
7,630
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
In mid 2025, I was told by Eastern European business people Donald Jr. went around telling them "Let's do deals fast, as we have time into November 2026". In other words, the outcome was predictable to them when it wasn't to most. Makes you wonder why.
27
300
7
1,588
51,346
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
Three in Four EU Citizens Say Shift to Low-Carbon Energy Is Urgent, EIB Survey Finds
1
1
5
20,209
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
The #AUDI Innovation & Technology Center (AITC) has officially opened. Formed by AUDI AG and SAIC Motor, this dedicated R&D entity is built exclusively for the AUDI brand and features full vehicle development and end-to-end capabilities. Headquartered in Shanghai, the AITC underscores Audi's long-term commitment to the Chinese market and marks a strategic step to further expand the brand's product lineup locally.
1
3
436
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
Fascinating and important post by Vance, which is a real open breach with the president. - A clear public repudiation of the Iran war. Vance then says that Trump agrees with this, but in fact Trump merely said "Iran was a piece of it". Vance is understandably trying to couch his distancing from Trump policy in more palatable terms. - Vance says: "if you'd like to argue it [the war] was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so." Well, this is **exactly** what Trump suggested last night: "I did the right thing. I would have done it again." If Trump now orders strikes on Iran, it leaves Vance in an extremely difficult position. Would he resign? - Israel policy—Vance says Republicans lost voters was because they did not "Put America First" and "Change our relationship to Israel". Vance has always struck a cautious note on Israel, but this is more explicit and shows the serious schism on the right over Israel policy. Makes sense if Vance is attempting to reach independent voters and younger Republicans who are more sceptical of Israel than older ones. - Vance suggests blaming defeat on immigration policy (opposed by majorities of voters) is "gaslighting" but also says he is "open to the idea that we should change enforcement". No explicit reflection on the relationship between his nativist, blood & soil rhetoric and the extremes of immigration policy that also turned many voters off for reasons other than Iran/prices. All in all, you can see Vance trying to shape the debate in favour of a more restraint-oriented foreign policy, particularly in the Middle East, but with broader implications for Europe & Asia, too. Inevitable also that Vance will be challenged from traditional hawkish right - Rubio? Cruz? DeSantis? - on these issues, including Israel, though that camp will also have to grapple with the unpopularity of the war and the changing politics of Israel.
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up. So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us." Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026. There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true. But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone. Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were: 1) End the war 2) Focus on cost of living/inflation 3) Put America First 4) Change our relationship to Israel Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.) In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you. The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night. If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest. But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there. I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
52
122
8
725
191,576
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
It was not a Blue Tsunami. It was a cataclysmic Blue nuclear bomb that shook the foundation of the American political landscape to its core. Some of my thoughts on this midterm: 1) It was the strongest rebuke of the governing party of my lifetime, even moreso than 1994 & 2010. The leftward shift was decisive across all states, regions, demographics. 2) Trump is a failed President. He squandered an impressive coalition through boneheaded policies. A deeper underlying problem that resonated with voters was Trump's shameless grift, using his office to enrich his family & friends while failing to focus on the bread and butter issues affecting the average American. This jarring disconnect fueled voter anger, galvanizing lower propensity voters to go for Dems. Simultaneously, Trump's failure to deliver on his core promises led to the exodus of young men from his coalition (especially young working class White & Latino men). 3) Consequences of this midterm: A) Anyone who worked for Trump is DOA for 2028 election. B) GOP will be locked out of Senate control for quite some time; this means Alito & Thomas will be replaced by liberal judges. Roberts also probably retires soon. SCOTUS will be remade, along with lower level federal judiciary. One of Trump's few lasting legacies will be crushed. C) Dem state legislatures will ruthlessly redistrict; huge implication beyond 2030 D) Dems will target tech oligarchs, especially Elon, crypto bros, and anyone who explicitly helped Trump. We will see this play out in Texas, where the incoming governor & her administration will no doubt target Elon's businesses that are headquartered in the state. E) Trump will move left on policy to make deals with a Dem congress as his priority is in getting "wins" rather than any overaching ideological agenda. Another motive will be to avoid conviction as Dem House will invariably impeach Trump.
Just talked to several GOP insiders on the ground. They’re saying tonight will be an earth shattering Blue Tsunami that will shock even Democrats. Some of the words used: “Earthquake” “Blue nuclear bomb” “Realignment”
110
640
26
10,484
715,689
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
People were hugging each other at my Westchester pickleball group. It feels like the fall of Ceausescu.
3
10
59
1,315
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
🇩🇪 Germany - October 26 - BEV Trajectory 37.0% BEV 11.2% PHEV 51.8% ICE (of which 26.5%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 27.2% BEV 11.4% PHEV 61.4% ICE (of which 28.3%p were HEV)
13
27
3
188
4,702
On a 1 TW annual run-rate now, in 2026! I've been saying for quite some time that Germany will eventually have multiple TWh of battery storage, Eurogrid eventually 5-10 TWh by around 2045 #batterystory 🔋🔋🔋🌊🌊🌊
This is simply incredible, CATL, the world’s largest battery maker, will reach 1 terrawatt this year! That is nearly as much power as the entire grid in the US. Or double the Indian grid or eight times the grid in the UK. CATL last year shipped 661 gigawatt of batteries. This year its expects to reach 1 terrawatt. CATL produces 39% of the world’s electric car batteries and 30% of batteries for energy storage. Hardly any company contributes more to the green transition than CATL. It was founded 25 years ago by Robin Zeng to create jobs for the people of his small hometown of Ningde in southern China. I visited the impressive headquarters a couple of years ago. But the giant eyes even higher. At a show in Shanghai last week Robin Zeng said that: “We are still not good enough”. We are for example not able to pack a big jet with batteries. Robin Zeng believes the next battery revolution will be powered by artificial intelligence: * AI accelerates material discovery - moving into sodium, solid state batteries and many new and exciting materials. * AI converts scientific knowledge into higher performing battery designs. * AI improves manufacturing - analyzes data and makes decisions in real time.
19
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
The growth of batteries at 40% a year is not so much incredible as remarkably predictable. Nevertheless it's great to see this prerequisite for replacing fossil fuels fall into place. And if there is one place AI can do a lot of good, it's in battery development.
This is simply incredible, CATL, the world’s largest battery maker, will reach 1 terrawatt this year! That is nearly as much power as the entire grid in the US. Or double the Indian grid or eight times the grid in the UK. CATL last year shipped 661 gigawatt of batteries. This year its expects to reach 1 terrawatt. CATL produces 39% of the world’s electric car batteries and 30% of batteries for energy storage. Hardly any company contributes more to the green transition than CATL. It was founded 25 years ago by Robin Zeng to create jobs for the people of his small hometown of Ningde in southern China. I visited the impressive headquarters a couple of years ago. But the giant eyes even higher. At a show in Shanghai last week Robin Zeng said that: “We are still not good enough”. We are for example not able to pack a big jet with batteries. Robin Zeng believes the next battery revolution will be powered by artificial intelligence: * AI accelerates material discovery - moving into sodium, solid state batteries and many new and exciting materials. * AI converts scientific knowledge into higher performing battery designs. * AI improves manufacturing - analyzes data and makes decisions in real time.
9
47
1
275
6,145
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
There will now be a temptation in many parts of Europe, including the UK, to think that things will eventually go back to normal with the US and that Europe can stop its reluctant shift towards strategic autonomy. That would be a serious mistake.
91
842
90
4,482
226,087
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
Last night's datacenter moratorium/restrictions appear to have gone 43 - 1, with a massive swell of public support averaging 77% to shut it all down. Public sentiment on on AI in America has been going steadily downhill for three years. It is once again at a new low.
So the results are all in. Data center moratoria (various flavors) went 43-1. All hyperscalers must now converge on Harwood, North Dakota, the one outlier. Find out what's in the water or in the air. There is only one precinct and 400 voters, but they alone sided with you!
121
144
102
1,223
172,517
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
TRUMPS NIEDERLAGE: ANSCHAUUNGSUNTERRICHT FÜR „CDU PUR“ Vielleicht sollten diejenigen in CDU und CSU, denen die eigene Politik nie hart genug sein kann, gerade etwas genauer nach Amerika schauen. Nach den vorliegenden Wahlprojektionen verlieren Trumps Republikaner beide Kongresskammern, selbst in bisherigen Hochburgen brechen ihnen Mehrheiten weg. Das sollte zumindest die Frage aufwerfen, wie verlässlich das Geschäftsmodell aus großen Versprechen, demonstrativer Härte und ständig neuen Feindbildern eigentlich ist. Trump versprach wirtschaftliche Stärke und ein bezahlbares Leben. In den Wählerbefragungen stehen nun hohe Lebenshaltungskosten, Korruption und der Wunsch nach stärkerer Kontrolle des Präsidenten im Mittelpunkt. Offenbar haben viele Amerikaner angefangen, die versprochene Größe ihres Landes mit der eigenen Haushaltskasse abzugleichen. Auf dem Kontoauszug macht sich eine besonders entschlossene Rede eben erstaunlich selten bemerkbar. Für Deutschland ist das eine Warnung. Wer Beschäftigten immer neue Zumutungen erklären möchte, sollte mehr anzubieten haben als Zweifel an ihrer Leistungsbereitschaft. Wer Teilzeit zum Lifestyleproblem erklärt, muss sich nicht wundern, wenn Menschen mit anstrengenden Berufen, Betreuungspflichten oder gesundheitlichen Grenzen sich darin nicht wiederfinden. Und wer ständig von Leistung spricht, muss erklären, warum welche Bevölkerungsgruppe welchen Beitrag leisten soll. Soziale Glaubwürdigkeit entsteht durch nachvollziehbare Entscheidungen und eine faire Verteilung der Lasten. Die Freunde von „CDU pur“ müssten außerdem endlich erklären, mit welcher Mehrheit sie dieses Reinheitsgebot umsetzen wollen. Ein eigenes Programm ist selbstverständlich legitim. Wer aber in einer Koalition regiert und jeden notwendigen Kompromiss öffentlich als Zumutung behandelt, beschädigt die eigene Regierung gleich mit. Wenn schon ihre Mitglieder den Eindruck vermitteln, vernünftige Politik scheitere ständig am jeweiligen Partner, warum sollte die Bevölkerung dieser Regierung vertrauen? Auch die Hoffnung, man könne die AfD durch immer schärfere Abgrenzung nach links und die Übernahme ihrer Zuspitzungen klein bekommen, ist kein belastbares Erfolgsrezept. Vergleichende Parteienforschung liefert dafür keinen allgemeinen Nachweis. Wer die Problembeschreibung der radikalen Rechten ständig bestätigt, riskiert vielmehr, ihr zusätzliche Glaubwürdigkeit zu verschaffen. Sicherheit, Migration und wirtschaftliche Schwierigkeiten verlangen konkrete Lösungen. Für die nächste Empörungsrunde braucht man deutlich weniger Kompetenz. Dennis Radtke und Karin Prien haben den Konflikt innerhalb der CDU längst benannt. Eine Volkspartei verliert ihren Sinn, wenn ihr christlich-sozialer und liberaler Teil nur noch stören, während Härte zum politischen Gütesiegel wird. Die USA zeigen, wie wenig eine solche Inszenierung vor der Abrechnung mit der tatsächlichen Regierungsbilanz schützt. Daraus folgt auch für SPD und Opposition eine Verpflichtung: Bezahlbares Wohnen, funktionierende Infrastruktur, verlässliche Energieversorgung und soziale Sicherheit müssen mehr sein als die freundlicheren Wahlversprechen. Die Union ist nicht Trumps Partei. Sie kann aber aus seiner Niederlage lernen, bevor sie ähnliche Fehler vertieft. Ein Land wird stärker, wenn seine Regierung Probleme löst, Vertrauen verdient und Menschen für Veränderungen gewinnt. Wer sich stattdessen immer weiter auf die Zustimmung des eigenen harten Kerns verlässt, kann am Ende sehr zufrieden mit seiner politischen Reinheit sein. Für eine Mehrheit reicht es dann womöglich nicht mehr.
10
105
4
300
3,198
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
Markus #Soeder versteht das leider nicht. #Merz versteht es leider nicht. es ist wirklich bitter, dass die wichtigste deutsche Industrie so miserable selbsternannte "Fürsprecher" hat. Investitionssicherheit, jede Milliarde auf Batterie und Software, das wär's gewesen. Na ja
Ob mit oder ohne Verbrenner-Aus, Verkäufe brechen weiter ein. Also: Ob in 2035 paar E-Fuel-Verbrenner oder gar keine verkauft werden, bis dahin sind tausende Jobs in Gefahr. Aber für solche Ausnahmen den E-Auto-Boom zu riskieren, verspielt die Jobs, die dort entstehen könnten.
12
44
1
208
2,490
🤷‍♂️
TRUMP CANCELS PUBLIC APPEARANCES
36
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
If they win Mississippi and Alaska, as they may, the Democrats could hold 57 Senate seats in January. Given the map, the filibuster-proof 60 seats will be within reach in 2028.
16
58
1
625
53,860
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
Holy shit. Check out Mississippi. With 95% of the vote counted, Democrat Scott Colom leads incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith by just 43 votes in a state Trump won by 23 points in 2024. Blue tsunami
34
229
20
2,099
69,585
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
The Mississippi Senate race is an extraordinary story. If you dig up the history between the two Scott Colom (Dem) vs Cindy Hyde (GOP). This guy Colom was minding his own business and was on track to be a district judge (local bi partisan choice btw) under Biden. But Hyde Smith the current Senator wouldn't give her approval, she blocked Colom's nomination and that was the end of his district judge path. So last year Colom decided to run against Hyde Smith. He is within striking distance of becoming the first black Senator for Mississippi since 1871, and the first Dem Senator since 1989.
Extraordinarily, Scott Colom is on track to win the uncalled Senate race in Mississippi (the last margin I saw was 39 votes but the remaining count favours him, as Kornacki shows in this clip). Colom is a black attorney who ran on a "Common Sense" economic-populist platform aimed at daily life: gas, groceries, healthcare and closing hospitals, plus Medicaid expansion. He won many switchers, and the Republican vote collapsed. That’s how a race which was classed likely or safe Republican until the final week was flipped. This will turn out to be a more than ten-point swing in a poor red state in the Deep South. Swing voters are more volatile than ever, especially when they’re economically hard pressed. They respond to common sense, and they’ve decided Trump and the Republicans are not on their side. Fierce attacks on Colom’s socially liberal track record on some issues didn’t dent him. He said he was Christian and has always been “pro-life”, but that he would trust his daughters to make their own decisions.
51
1,901
86
16,035
556,473
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
He will do nothing
BREAKING: Trump suggests new strikes on Iran, and says the US has not finished its mission in Iran, just hours after losing the midterms. "If we have to do something large... a lot of people would like to do the heavy hit," he tells Fox News. "We have not yet finished the mission in Iran," he adds.
1
1
7
573
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
Das ist noch soooo freaking charitable (= glimpflich optimistisch) für die Atomies, aber Chris will einfach mal unbegründet nett sein. €10k /kWh Neubau sehe ich als das unterste Minimum. Schau Euch nur mal Inflation 2025/26 an...
Replying to @DerClue
Die Annahmen: Kernkraft 8.000 €/kW, zwölf Jahre Bau, erster Block 2042, danach bis zu zwei Blöcke à 1,6 GW im Jahr, 88 % Verfügbarkeit, 60 Jahre Nutzung. Die Bauzinsen zahlen die Stromkunden laufend, wie im britischen Modell für Sizewell C. Zins privatwirtschaftlich 9 % (Wind an Land 5,4 %), staatlich für alle Anlagen 3,7 %. Erdgas 35 €/MWh, Wasserstoff 150 €/MWh, CO₂-Preis nach dem Projektionsbericht 2026 des Umweltbundesamts: 84 €/t 2030, 187 €/t ab 2045.
1
1
3
40
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
This is cope: 760k net people moved to Texas since 2020 Even if EVERY SINGLE ONE voted Dem it would not account for the 1.2 million margin that Talarico is winning the state by This was a *Texan* referendum on the entire GOP
Texas there is a lesson here. Don't be so welcoming.
275
2,542
55
32,264
428,124