YouGov - Sky - Times voting intention LAB 24%(-3) CON 23%(+3) RefUK 21%(-1) LDEM 12%(+1) GRN 11%(nc) Oct 11-12 Pollster note: The changes are within the margin of error, so it's difficult to distinguish signal from noise, but I suspect there is some degree of "conference bounce" there, with the Tories getting a boost from their coverage, and Labour declining again as the temporary impact of their own conference fades. It may well be a temporary Tory boost, but for the record it means this is the first time that we have had Reform back in third place since 2024 (it’s technically the first time since early 2024 – but we didn’t poll between the election and January 2025 while we were reviewing methods, so we don’t know exactly when Reform overtook the Tories).

🚨 BREAKING: Ringleader of a Rochdale grooming gang, Shabir Ahmed, has been released from prison today. The Pakistani migrant was jailed for 22 years in August 2012 after being found guilty of 30 child rape charges involving girls as young as 12, but released this morning after serving less than 14. Ahmed was one of the nine men from Rochdale and Oldham who were found guilty of exploiting girls at two takeaway restaurants in the Heywood area of Rochdale. Due to the Immigration Act 1971, he will not be deported back to Pakistan.

The next Labour leader must move decisively away from the status quo to beat Reform. That means giving power and wealth to working class people. It means a democratic revolution, rent controls and public ownership of water. It means someone who isn't Wes Streeting.