Pro trader at Alphatrends sharing real-world technical analysis, disciplined trading, and practical market insight.

The Mountain State
Joined July 2009
📈Weekly Charts📉 The major indices continue weakening, but beneath the surface, something interesting is happening. Breadth is improving. Yet technology and growth are under pressure as leadership rotates toward defensive areas. So what does this mean for swing traders? This week's video👇
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He’s right ya know.👇
The best days to go for an afternoon walk in the woods are Fed days & the best Fed day to go for an afternoon walk in the woods is the October Fed day when its sweatshirt weather & foliage is peaking.
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Good morning ☕️
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Andrew Moss, CMT retweeted
Pretty cool to see my photograph of the Glade Creek Grist Mill at Babcock State Park selected as the cover photo for the West Virginia Scenic Photography group. Always nice to see your work appreciated. 😎 📷
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Pretty cool to see my photograph of the Glade Creek Grist Mill at Babcock State Park selected as the cover photo for the West Virginia Scenic Photography group. Always nice to see your work appreciated. 😎 📷
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You don't need to adopt everything you learn. Study broadly. Test ideas. Keep what improves your process. Discard what doesn't fit. The goal isn't to trade like someone else. It's to build a process you can execute.
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Coming up in 1 hour 📺
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Good morning ☕
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Andrew Moss, CMT retweeted
Most of the trouble I see traders get into runs through three ego patterns. 1. Fear of not being good enough. 2. Disproportionate focus on outcomes over process. 3. The need for certainty. They overlap. They feed each other. But it helps to pull them apart. Let's break it down. Fear of not being good enough rarely announces itself. It sounds like needing today to be green. Pressing size after a losing week. Looking at your firm's leaderboard or scrolling past someone’s P&L screenshot and feeling something drop in your stomach. A trader carrying this fear is trading to repair something. Every position has a second job: prove I belong here. That’s a lot of weight for one trade to carry. Outcomes over process is where the result stops being information and starts becoming identity. You know you’re there when a loss feels like a verdict instead of a cost. When a sloppy winner feels better than a clean loser. When you can’t close the platform until you’re back to flat. Process is supposed to be what you evaluate. This flips it around. P&L becomes the scoreboard for your worth, and “process” quietly becomes whatever you happened to do on the days you made money. The need for certainty shows up differently depending on who you are. For some traders it looks like risk aversion. Waiting for one more confirmation, then another. Taking profits early because an open winner is unbearable to sit with. For others it looks like refusing the loss. Moving the stop. Adding to the loser. If I don’t close it, it isn’t real yet. And for some it’s FOMO. Chasing the move because being left out feels worse than overpaying to get in. Very different behaviors. Same root. The ego can’t tolerate not knowing. Which is why risk management is so hard to actually focus on. This is one of the reasons why I decided to do some work with Brian Shannon @alphatrends Brian focuses on this a lot. Risk management asks you to do what the ego hates most. Decide ahead of time how wrong you’re willing to be. Admit you don’t know what will happen. The fear of not being good enough hears that and says I can’t afford to be wrong. Outcome focus says this one matters too much. The need for certainty says if I just watch it a little longer, I’ll know. So the rules get bent. Usually by people who understand them perfectly well. One more piece, and it’s the one that surprises many people... The ego doesn’t float above the body. Your sense of self is built partly out of signals coming from inside you: heart rate, breath, gut, muscle tension. Neuroscientists Antonio Damasio and Lisa Feldman Barrett have both shown how much of what we experience as “me” is the brain continuously interpreting and predicting the body’s state. So when you’re underwater in a position and your nervous system shifts into threat, the ego gets louder. Not being good enough feels more true. The grip on the outcome tightens. Certainty becomes urgent. And the prefrontal circuitry you’d need to step back from any of it is among the first to degrade under acute stress. This is the Inner Market. Ego and physiology feeding each other in real time, shaping what you think you’re seeing on the chart. You can understand all three of these patterns perfectly on a Saturday. At 9:47 on a Tuesday with a position running against you, that understanding is still in there somewhere. It just isn’t the one making the decision. #tradingpsychology $ES_F $NQ_F $QQQ $SPY
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Earnings, economic #s and 1 IPO of interest 10/26/26 Very busy week for earnings, be alert for stocks in your portfolio and know their earnings release date
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Good morning ☕
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Today’s excursion - my first Muskie!
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Rip and Beth headed out for some fun 🤠💁‍♀️
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A forecast says: Here's what I think will happen. A trading plan says: If this happens, I'll do this. If it doesn't, I'll do something else. I'll take the plan.
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Good morning ☕
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