Tucson, AZ
Joined April 2013
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Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
For all of the mythical narratives built around Donald Trump's strength, he's now managed to hand the Republican Party one of the weakest out-party midterms (2022), the weakest in-party midterm (2026), and two narrow wins in years that frankly should have been waves (2016/24).
Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
I mean it’s solidly likely D at this point
If we win the presidency, the tipping point is Colorado, and even if we lose the tipping point is NH Sen
Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
Impeach Hegseth and Blanche. The Pentagon and DOJ are too important to be left in their hands. And it will be important to bar them from federal service forever.
A US military source says: "Hegseth's days are numbered". There are differing views on why - some believe he will face inevitable impeachment by the Democrats, others believe Trump will sack him as the fall guy for the disastrous Iran war.
Either way, he has already alienated significant parts of the US military.
One senior military officer, not authorised to speak on the record, tells @thetimes: "Personally, after decades of service and five combat deployments I’m just tired of being called ‘woke’ by a secretary who seems to spend more time worrying about NCO business than actually making serious policy decisions."
Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
Decision Desk HQ projects Amish Shah wins the AZ US House 1 General Election
#DecisionMade: 8:39 PM EST
Follow live results here: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/rac…
Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
Holy hell you all, I was watching the blue tsunami with the rest of you. Here in Arizona which has more right wing nut jobs than anywhere except maybe Florida, Katie held on and we flipped the legislature. No more Carine Warner, Matt Gress, Shawna Bolick. It's incredible and I wanted to celebrate with you. Trump's handpicked candidate Jay Feely got trounced and so did Jaun Ciscomani. It's a new day in D.C. and in Phoenix and I love you all. I have been busy with some health concerns and bingo, but don't think I won't be back to join you soon. - Thelma
Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
In AZ LD14, Walsh (D) leads Biggs (R) by 2,544 votes, with an estimated 14,000 ballots remaining.
My precinct-level projection, assuming remaining ballots follow each precinct's existing voting percentages, suggests Walsh's margin would grow by several hundred votes.
Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
Maricopa county counted 45,792 ballots in the Governors race.
The batch was D+14
Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
Wave so blue that Democrats who dropped out and don't even want to be there are still getting elected
Claude evaporated a lot of water to parse various reports from Pima Elections and Pima Recorder to estimate that there are around 75,000 Pima ballots left to be counted as of Weds Nov 4 morning, and that they will likely add about +7,000 to +22,000 net to Hobbs total from Pima
Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
Democrat Troy Jackson is elected to U.S. Senate from Maine, defeating longtime Republican Sen. Susan Collins. apnews.com/live/midterm-elec…
Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
Maricopa tabulated 47,309 early ballots. Hobbs nets 9,222 (D+20)
Biggs now needs to win the remaining ballots by 40
For the nerds, I made a detailed election results map that has statewide, Pima, CDs 6&7, LDs 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21 & 23, and Pima precinct level results.
pimavote.com/results/pima_el…