
@BrettErickson28i
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Managing Principal, Obsidian Risk Advisors Board Member: DePaul Biz & Seton Hall IR Expertise Featured in: See Banner https://xitter.cf/t.co/Yd8AQG9xzb
Joined March 2026
- Tweets37K
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- Followers39.8K
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Pinned Tweet
Welcome to our live show! xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1nGnRBDjY…
Brett Erickson retweeted
Replying to @joekent16jan19
Don’t worry Joe! The price of oil ($112/barrel btw) is going to reflect our amazing victory any day now!
Brett Erickson retweeted
The Iran war is going so great that the neocons are telling Trump to just channel Bush even harder……
Amazing stuff.
My new column for @dcexaminer: washingtonexaminer.com/in_fo…
Brett Erickson retweeted
The truth will come out, one way or another.
Brett Erickson retweeted
If we take UKMTO’s word for it, it’s been over a WEEK since a SINGLE tanker was struck crossing Hormuz…
So let’s just all stop acting like UKMTO reflects any form of reality at this point!
Brett Erickson retweeted
NOW: Haaretz, citing White House sources, states that the United States is shifting in favor of a preemptive strike on Iran.
The reason? Because Hegseth has new intelligence that was given to him by Bibi Netanyahu after his surprise visit to Israel.
You’ve GOT to be kidding me…
Brett Erickson retweeted
For those that saw, here is my alert on my phone for the hail… BASEBALL SIZED HAIL.
Welcome to our live show! xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1nGnRBDjY…
Brett Erickson retweeted
NOW: Brent Crude rises above $112/barrel, currently trading at $112.25 and rising.
This marks the highest point since May when it reached $127/barrel.
What is a key difference between these two months? Well… there was a hot war in May, and this is $112/barrel DESPITE there not being all-out war.
… Wtf is this going to rise to if the U.S. and Israel launch all-out strikes and Iran retaliates…
Brett Erickson retweeted
Replying to @BrettErickson28
They still fundamentally do not understand Iran.
Brett Erickson retweeted
Officially left my role at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence last month.
Tulsi Gabbard asked me to join her team to help reform the Intelligence Community and to uncover information and truths that would help rebuild trust with the public.
Our team, the Director’s Initiatives Group (DIG), worked to fulfill the promises that were made to voters on declassification and exposing past weaponization of government against the American people. All of us in the DIG did the best we could, given the limitations.
There were lots of incredible, career intelligence professionals who volunteered, at great career risk, to support our mission. True to form, they never sought any credit. My hope is that one day they will be properly recognized for their work.
Brett Erickson retweeted
MONITORING: Multiple images are circulating just now, including ones that have been independently verified as new, showing smoke columns rising out of the Saudi capital of Riyadh.
This is paired with NASA FIIRMS imagery that appears to show a blaze at an Aramco facility in the Saudi capital.
It is yet to be totally confirmed that this is a strike on Aramco that has resulted in significant destruction, but it’s not looking good.
Brett Erickson retweeted
BREAKING: The IRGC is stating that they struck SEVEN VESSELS yesterday in the Strait of Hormuz and Persian Gulf.
This is… not all that incompatible with video evidence that has emerged from the region that shows at LEAST FOUR vessels being struck by Iran yesterday.
What people need to realize at this point is that the United States is UNDENIABLY forcing vessels to non-report to the UKMTO.
If we only relied on UKMTO, we would be living in a fantasy world where ZERO tankers have been struck crossing Hormuz in over a WEEK.
… Come back to reality yall. Vessels are getting smashed on the daily here.
The IRGC-Navy says:
• 4 ships that were doing ship-to-ship transfers of oil cargoes, for an American company, in the north-central Persian Gulf, that used illegal routes, were struck and caught on fire.
• 3 other ships violating maritime regulations were struck by mines, west of the Strait of Hormoz, causing fires that brought them to a halt.
Brett Erickson retweeted
BREAKING SAUDI/YEMEN: Ansar Allah (Houthis) spokesman Yahya Saree has announced MORE strikes against Saudi Arabia that were conducted in the last 24 hours, with several being very notable targets:
- Saudi Ministry of Defense building in Riyadh
- King Fahd Airport (again) in Dammam
- Aramco facilities at Yanbu
- Abha International Airport (again)
While the King Fahd Airport, even by Saudi’s own admission, has been hit at least three times now, and the Abha International Airport half a dozen, it shows the seriousness in which Ansar Allah is approaching their “blockade for blockade” campaign on Saudi.
But most notable are the strikes in the MoD building and the Yanbu facilities.
Striking the MoD… IN RIYADH, is very symbolically significant for Ansar Allah, and comes just more than a week after AA struck the Aramco HQ in Dhahran that destroyed the Aramco CEO’s office.
But the strike on Yanbu… this is an absolutely CRITICAL export hub for Saudi to move product through the Suez. It is worth noting that it has been struck multiple times before, but not with enough damage to cause sustained and crippling disruptions.
In short, what we are seeing is an Ansar Allah that can strike across Saudi Arabia at will. From the West coast at Yanbu, to the far East coast at Damman, to the Saudi capital of Riyadh.
It’s open season on The Kingdom.
NOW: Brent Crude rises above $112/barrel, currently trading at $112.25 and rising.
This marks the highest point since May when it reached $127/barrel.
What is a key difference between these two months? Well… there was a hot war in May, and this is $112/barrel DESPITE there not being all-out war.
… Wtf is this going to rise to if the U.S. and Israel launch all-out strikes and Iran retaliates…
Brett Erickson retweeted
COLUMN: Don't mistake Mideast oil rebound for normality
Crude oil prices remain near five-month highs despite a recent surge in Middle East crude exports above pre-war levels and intensifying Iranian attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. This suggests investors may already be bracing for another round of regional escalation.
The rebound in crude flows from the Gulf is striking. Middle East oil exports have averaged 17.3 million barrels per day (bpd) so far in October, up from 16.4 million bpd in September and above the 16.9 million bpd average in the two months before US-Israeli strikes on Iran began on February 28, according to Kpler data.
The sustained traffic is a clear sign that Gulf producers and tanker owners are willing to tolerate the risk of attack.
But higher flows should not be mistaken for a return to normality.
Read my full Reuters Open Interest column
reuters.com/commentary/reute…
MONITORING: Multiple images are circulating just now, including ones that have been independently verified as new, showing smoke columns rising out of the Saudi capital of Riyadh.
This is paired with NASA FIIRMS imagery that appears to show a blaze at an Aramco facility in the Saudi capital.
It is yet to be totally confirmed that this is a strike on Aramco that has resulted in significant destruction, but it’s not looking good.
BREAKING: The IRGC is stating that they struck SEVEN VESSELS yesterday in the Strait of Hormuz and Persian Gulf.
This is… not all that incompatible with video evidence that has emerged from the region that shows at LEAST FOUR vessels being struck by Iran yesterday.
What people need to realize at this point is that the United States is UNDENIABLY forcing vessels to non-report to the UKMTO.
If we only relied on UKMTO, we would be living in a fantasy world where ZERO tankers have been struck crossing Hormuz in over a WEEK.
… Come back to reality yall. Vessels are getting smashed on the daily here.
The IRGC-Navy says:
• 4 ships that were doing ship-to-ship transfers of oil cargoes, for an American company, in the north-central Persian Gulf, that used illegal routes, were struck and caught on fire.
• 3 other ships violating maritime regulations were struck by mines, west of the Strait of Hormoz, causing fires that brought them to a halt.






















