@CAmirHart

Sharing observations and concerns. | Politics, economics, housing, etc.

 Thornhill, Ontario
Joined May 2023
  • Tweets8.8K
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I was part of a team who produced a non-partisan explainer video about by-elections, the three ongoing, and their impact. Thank you to everyone involved! youtu.be/93zP13Fdx7A?si=qIQJ…

What is a By-election?

What is a by-election, why are three happening, and what impact can...

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So happy that my friend Patricia Conlin was elected regional councillor for Scugog. She is an absolutely champion, and I can truly say Scugog is lucky to have a true representative who loves her community. She was there for me when I began my political journey, and thank her.
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Amir Hart retweeted
Siobhan Morris@siomoCTV12h
Carolyn Parrish says she's known for the last day or two she wouldn't win and she's at peace now. She says she did a good job but should have simplified her message. "It just wasn't in the cards or the stars or whatever"
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Paying special attention to the city council election in Ajax's Ward 1...
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Unfortunately I don't have map for school wards because school trustee wards are different than council wards lol
Ray (Formerly Charestiste)🇨🇦🍁
@RealAlbanianPatOct 26
Poliwave will be livestreaming tonight's Ontario municipal elections but with something no one else has: ward maps for every single municipalities in Ontario
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This is genuinely insane, in the best way possible.
Ray (Formerly Charestiste)🇨🇦🍁
@RealAlbanianPatOct 26
Poliwave will be livestreaming tonight's Ontario municipal elections but with something no one else has: ward maps for every single municipalities in Ontario
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Poliwave will be livestreaming tonight's Ontario municipal elections but with something no one else has: ward maps for every single municipalities in Ontario
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Lula won the Brazilian election today, which goes to show that winning an election is not about how many people support you, but how voters turnout. I suspected that Flavio's over-performance in the first round would trigger a panic, allowing for a higher turnout from the left.
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The only party to blame for the NDP's loss is the NDP. Even if all Green voters, plus everyone who voted CWP, CentreBC, CHP, Communist, Freedom, Libertarian, OneBC, Independent and Unaffiliated all voted NDP instead, the Conservatives still would have won a majority.
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Only 48% of BC voters supported the BC Conservatives, yet the voting system has handed Lorne Doerkson's Conservatives 69% of the seats and 100% of the power. fairvote.ca/25/10/2026/bc-co…
BC election popular vote versus seats

ALT BC election popular vote versus seats

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Poliwave was by far the most accurate forecaster of yesterday's BC elections in terms of popular vote and seats: Poliwave got 85 out of 93 seats (91.4%) correct while 338Canada got 81 out of 93 seats (87.1%) correct, the gap will widen even further after mail-in ballots count
Ray (Formerly Charestiste)🇨🇦🍁
@RealAlbanianPatOct 24
FINAL Poliwave BC Electoral Model Update (October 24th) 🔵CON: 58 seats (+14) | 47.7% (+4.4%) 🟠NDP: 33 seats (-14) | 39.7% (-5.2%) 🟢GRN: 2 seats (no change) | 10.5% (+2.3%) 🔵Conservative Majority Government
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I am begging polling companies to start giving us data by race, we got ONE this entire campaign and it wasn't even detailed. The source of a lot of seat errors comes down to the fact that for some reason we never get race or religion data in Canadian polling
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Dave Eby's election fiasco perfectly explains why Mark Carney didn't call a snap election at the height of his popularity.
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Amir Hart retweeted
Amir Hart@CAmirHartOct 22
Does the PCQ consider themselves to be the spiritual successor of the Union Nationale? If so, this could suggest an overt right-wing alternative for nationalists in Québec, and it gets me wondering what their relationship is with the federal Cons. This will be interesting!
Eric Duhaime
@E_DuhaimeOct 22
Aujourd’hui, moment solennel et historique. Pour la première fois en 91 ans, un caucus de députés conservateurs sera assermenté à l’Assemblée nationale. L’espoir d’un Quebec plus riche, de Québécois plus libres!
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Both Chek news and Juno news are using Poliwave
Ray (Formerly Charestiste)🇨🇦🍁
@RealAlbanianPatOct 24
Poliwave offers the most comprehensive election night coverage, which will be used by two news outlets tonight. It includes with past results comparison, seats projections, vote count history, and everything you need on one page: Link: poliwave.com/ca/bc/live/elec…
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Amir Hart retweeted
Amir Hart@CAmirHartOct 22
"My name is the BC NDP and I envy the CAQ's recent election performance."
Amor De Cosmos@amourducosmosOct 21
Replying to @WeAreCanProud
I got that same envelope, but my letter was different, outlining my voting record since 2017. It was quite interesting to find I am tracked. Out of interest, @jaimestein do Conservatives get this info too?
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Mississauga should not be treated like someone's political backup plan!
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Does the PCQ consider themselves to be the spiritual successor of the Union Nationale? If so, this could suggest an overt right-wing alternative for nationalists in Québec, and it gets me wondering what their relationship is with the federal Cons. This will be interesting!
Eric Duhaime
@E_DuhaimeOct 22
Aujourd’hui, moment solennel et historique. Pour la première fois en 91 ans, un caucus de députés conservateurs sera assermenté à l’Assemblée nationale. L’espoir d’un Quebec plus riche, de Québécois plus libres!
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"My name is the BC NDP and I envy the CAQ's recent election performance."
Amor De Cosmos@amourducosmosOct 21
Replying to @WeAreCanProud
I got that same envelope, but my letter was different, outlining my voting record since 2017. It was quite interesting to find I am tracked. Out of interest, @jaimestein do Conservatives get this info too?
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The Bank of Montreal has compared Canada's housing crash to America's in 2008. Prices have nose-dived by 20.5% from early 2022, (when they peaked), and are now roughly at 2021 prices. Keep in mind, homes in the United States collapsed in value by ~26% in 2008!
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betterdwelling.com/canadas-h…

Canada’s Housing Crash Rivals US In 2008, But The Pain Is Hidden: BMO - Better Dwelling

Canada’s home prices fell more than 20%, but BMO says population growth may have masked the economic pain of the housing crash.

betterdwelling.com
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