@CanadianPolling

Polls, Data, Opinions, Personal Account // Email or DM About Promotions // Support Me: https://xitter.cf/t.co/93gDMtcRcH

 🇨🇦🏳️‍⚧️🇺🇦
canadianpolling.ca/
Joined October 2017
  • Tweets27.1K
  • Following809
  • Followers106K
9.1KMedia
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada
@CanadianPolling5h
Polling Canada Final British Columbia Model: 🔵 CON: 57 - (46-68 Likely Seats) 🟠 NDP: 34 - (23-45 Likely Seats) 🟢 GRN: 2 - (2-3 Likely Seats) - October 23, 2026 - Full model here: canadianpolling.com/p/ebys-e…

Eby’s Election Gamble Falters; Conservatives Poised for a Majority

As the campaign comes to a close, the final polling averages suggest a difficult path ahead for Eby and the NDP as the model predicts a Conservative majority

canadianpolling.com
19
28
10
158
13,436
Polling Canada retweeted
Scott Robertson
@sarobertson_16h
Mark Carney on Elon Musk throttling Starlink: "I search for the right adjective to describe whoever took this decision or group of people took this decision against a country that is literally fighting for the lives of the citizens against naked aggression."
301
4,125
115
19,334
334,289
Polling Canada retweeted
David Coletto
@DavidColettoOct 20
The final polling estimates - looks to be another good evening for most on this list 👏
4
16
3
80
12,626
Jason Stephan, Alberta UCP MLA for Red Deer-South has announced that he will not seek re-election. #cdnpoli #abpoli
Jason Stephan@AlbertaNumber1Oct 20
Dear Friends, The Alberta provincial election will be in one year. By such time, I will have served as MLA for over 8 years and I will not be seeking re-election. Thank you to for supporting my efforts to seek freedom and prosperity for Albertans, a blessed land that we love.
1
3
31
6,205
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada
@CanadianPollingOct 19
Polling Canada Alberta Model: 🟠NDP: 46 (+8) 🔵UCP: 41 (-8) - October 18, 2026 - (Seat Change With 2023 Election) canadianpolling.com/p/separa…

Separatism Divides Alberta as NDP Takes the Lead

Albertans remain firmly in favour of staying in Canada as the NDP moves ahead of the UCP in the latest seat projections

canadianpolling.com
46
92
11
572
19,011
Polling Canada retweeted
Joe McFarland@JoeMcFarlandOct 18
For those wondering “where is the media on this”: Lloydminster’s lone TV station was shuttered. Radio news on a weekend is slim pickings. Nearest major centre is Edmonton at 2 hours away and they are also working on skeleton crews. + time needed to confirm details, etc.
CityNews Calgary@citynewscalgaryOct 18
#HAPPENING: "Significant and tragic fire" reported at CFB Wainwright in central Alberta calgary.citynews.ca/2026/10/…

Major fire reported at CFB Wainwright; leaders monitoring situation

A major fire at CFB Wainwright has prompted responses from both the Alberta and federal governments, with leaders describing the incident as serious and affecting military personnel at the base....

calgary.citynews.ca
25
161
16
879
108,412
Polling Canada retweeted
Mark Carney
@MarkJCarneyOct 18
A serious incident creating a major fire has occurred at CFB Wainwright, in Alberta. Our thoughts are with all the brave women and men affected.   We are working closely with the Government of Alberta and local authorities. Premier Smith and I are in close contact as are our relevant ministers and officials.
654
1,026
208
5,948
975,426
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada
@CanadianPollingOct 17
Polling Canada Federal Model Update: 🔴 LPC: 249 (+80) 🔵 CPC: 63 (-81) ⚜️ BQ: 18 (-4) 🟠 NDP: 11 (+4) 🟢 GPC: 2 (+1) (Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election) - October 17, 2026 - Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadi…

Record Liberal Numbers, Conservative Collapse and Alberta’s Independence Question

With the Liberals projected to win 249 seats and the Conservatives just 63, attention also turns to whether Alberta’s independence movement can gain momentum

canadianpolling.com
3
16
2
89
5,891
Polling Canada retweeted
Scott Robertson
@sarobertson_Oct 17
Mark Carney: The world is becoming more dangerous and divided. Heckler: Bullshit! Carney: Open your eyes. There are some outside our borders who are working to break us so they can own us. Never.
502
1,271
82
10,867
593,296
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada
@CanadianPollingOct 13
Polling Canada British Columbia Model: 🔵 CON: 50 (+6) 🟠 NDP: 41 (-6) 🟢 GRN: 2 (-) - October 13, 2026 - Full model here: canadianpolling.com/p/conser…

Conservatives Close In On A Majority as Eby Struggles

New polling shows a majority of voters have made up their minds, setting the stage for a tense final stretch of the campaign

canadianpolling.com
10
13
1
51
6,945
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada
@CanadianPollingOct 10
Polling Canada Federal Model Update: 🔴 LPC: 248 (+79) 🔵 CPC: 66 (-78) ⚜️ BQ: 18 (-4) 🟠 NDP: 9 (+2) 🟢 GPC: 2 (+1) (Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election) - October 10, 2026 - Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadi…

Liberals Hold Steady as Independence Support Falls in Alberta and Quebec

The Liberals remain dominant, the Conservatives continue to slide, and the case for independence is losing ground

canadianpolling.com
6
16
3
74
8,321
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada
@CanadianPollingOct 9
NDP majority on this poll
Polling Canada
@CanadianPollingOct 9
(Models Available To Subscribers) Alberta Provincial Polling: UCP: 47% (-6) NDP: 45% (+1) Others: 9% Leger / October 4, 2026 / n=860 / Online (% Change With 2023 Election) Check out AB model details from @338Canada here: 338canada.com/alberta
10
37
6
303
24,463
Polling Canada retweeted
Scott Moe
@PremierScottMoeOct 7
No.
Elon Musk
@elonmuskOct 7
Replying to @elonmusk @Polymarket
They would be better off. Alberta and Saskatchewan should separate too.
2,240
806
196
8,046
357,437
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada
@CanadianPollingOct 6
Polling Canada British Columbia Model: 🔵 CON: 48 (+4) 🟠 NDP: 43 (-4) 🟢 GRN: 2 (-) - October 6, 2026 - Full model here: open.substack.com/pub/canadi…

Conservatives Take The Lead In BC

The Conservatives lead on the model, but a Conservative majority is far from guaranteed

canadianpolling.com
8
48
5,356
Polling Canada retweeted
Kyle Hutton@kylejhuttonOct 6
Forum's in-house seat count was bad, but my model got it almost spot on. Thats, lmao. What?
Polling Canada
@CanadianPollingOct 5
PQ minority on this poll
2
1
20
3,225
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada
@CanadianPollingOct 5
Final Polling Canada Quebec Model: ⚜️ PQ: 64 - (57-72) 🔴 PLQ: 37 - (33-39) 🟣 PCQ: 18 - (16-25) 🟠 QS: 6 - (6-8) 🔵 CAQ: 2 - (0-4) - October 4, 2026 - Read it free here: canadianpolling.com/p/eight-…

Eight Years Later, the CAQ-Era Is Over

With 64 seats needed for a majority, the PQ sits right on the line in our final model

canadianpolling.com
12
19
14
111
41,868
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada
@CanadianPollingOct 5
Federal - Parry Sound-Muskoka Projection: 🔴LPC: 43% (-) 🔵CPC: 42% (-1) 🟠NDP: 9% (-) - October 3, 2026 - (% Change With Previous Model Update) canadianpolling.com/p/he-can…

He Can’t Keep Getting Away With This!

Carney’s Liberals surge to 247 seats as the Conservatives collapse to just 68 in our latest model

canadianpolling.com
1
11
1
79
9,618
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada
@CanadianPollingOct 4
Federal - Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie Projection: 🔴LPC: 38% (-) 🟠NDP: 30% (-2) ⚜️BQ: 24% (+1) - October 3, 2026 - (% Change With Previous Model Update) canadianpolling.com/p/he-can…

He Can’t Keep Getting Away With This!

Carney’s Liberals surge to 247 seats as the Conservatives collapse to just 68 in our latest model

canadianpolling.com
6
42
6,865
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada
@CanadianPollingOct 3
Polling Canada Federal Model Update: 🔴 LPC: 247 (+78) 🔵 CPC: 68 (-76) ⚜️ BQ: 18 (-4) 🟠 NDP: 8 (+1) 🟢 GPC: 2 (+1) (Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election) - October 3, 2026 - Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadi…

He Can’t Keep Getting Away With This!

Carney’s Liberals surge to 247 seats as the Conservatives collapse to just 68 in our latest model

canadianpolling.com
23
66
8
348
15,610
Replying to @mileslunn @CanadianPolling
The NDP are up to 88 now. Just needing candidates in: -Peace River North -Peace River South -Prince George-Mackenzie -Prince George-North Cariboo -Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream
1
3
17
3,728
Load more