@CapitalObserver

Tweets are not recommendations or offers of services & are for educational purposes only. I may buy or sell securities I tweet about for myself or clients.

Joined April 2009
  • Tweets58.9K
  • Following918
  • Followers16K
1.4KMedia
There are a dozen companies that sell AI compute. Nobody cares who they buy from. Supply is tight right now, so it's great for now. In the long run it doesn't seem like a great business, with little differentiation and so many competitors
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Insane moves in individual names while the index barely budges. Nothing to see here
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Did $GOOGL say why capex missed?
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What a way to announce you need to raise $20 billion and make your stock go up
zerohedge
@zerohedge6h
*ORACLE TO LIMIT ADDITIONAL CAPITAL RAISES TO $20B FOR FY27-FY30 correction: market to limit Oracle's capital raises
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Tsachy Mishal retweeted
Upslope Capital
@UpslopeCapitalOct 27
We are having fun
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Just another day in Portland, Oregon. Larry David in Portland would make for some good TV
Erich Hartmann
@erichhartmannOct 25
This is the most amazing video you will watch today. Enjoy 😘
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We should see well over $100 billion in new issuance over the coming month or so. Likely acts like a wet blanket
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$META trading up as this offering was pretty well telegraphed. Was thinking that buyers of the secondary would probably get a pop, but it happened even faster than I thought
*Walter Bloomberg
@DeItaoneOct 26
META RAISES $35 BILLION TO FUND AI EXPANSION Meta ($META ) launched a $35B equity offering to finance AI infrastructure, including $22.5B in common stock and $12.5B in convertible preferred shares. $NVDA, $AMD and $AVGO have expressed interest in investing up to $5B combined. Meta targets $135B–$145B in 2026 capex, with another $60B stock-sale program planned for 2027. The key risk: Rising AI financing needs and potential shareholder dilution.
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Elon: The payback on GPUs is 6 months Also Elon:
Elon Musk
@elonmuskOct 25
Replying to @chamath
Pretty much. As of the past few weeks, debt markets have almost entirely shut off access to money for any company that doesn’t have substantial revenue independent of AI data centers. SpaceX closed $40B of debt for GPUs, but we’re investment grade and have Starlink & launch revenue. That means the 200+ neoclouds are going to see guppy-level death and consolidation. Some will make it through, but not many.
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Tsachy Mishal retweeted
Elon Musk
@elonmuskOct 25
Replying to @chamath
Pretty much. As of the past few weeks, debt markets have almost entirely shut off access to money for any company that doesn’t have substantial revenue independent of AI data centers. SpaceX closed $40B of debt for GPUs, but we’re investment grade and have Starlink & launch revenue. That means the 200+ neoclouds are going to see guppy-level death and consolidation. Some will make it through, but not many.
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For the banks it has been neither/nor. They can't rally no matter what
Helene Meisler@Chartfest1Oct 23
Gonna be another Either/Or Day. Just gonna be opposite of yesterday. And the day before that. And the day before that.
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Tsachy Mishal retweeted
Helene Meisler@Chartfest1Oct 23
Gonna be another Either/Or Day. Just gonna be opposite of yesterday. And the day before that. And the day before that.
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"Meta Platforms’ widely anticipated equity capital raise could come as early as the next few weeks as it seeks to get ahead of other tech companies that plan to sell stock."
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My portfolio has had a very good run but today feels like the day I get smacked around, while the stuff that has been down rallies
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"When a management with a reputation for brilliance tackles a business with a reputation for bad economics, it is the reputation of the business that remains intact." -Warren Buffett
zerohedge
@zerohedgeOct 22
SPACEX IS IN TALKS TO ACCESS 80,000 CELL SITES FOR NEW NETWORK
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You can achieve worse results by priming at GS, using leverage like a lunatic, and then asking Kenny G to bail you out
Tsachy Mishal@CapitalObserverOct 22
6 month $SMH return is 10%. 6 month $SOXL (3X semiconductor ETF) return is -21.5%. Buy this crap at your own risk
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6 month $SMH return is 10%. 6 month $SOXL (3X semiconductor ETF) return is -21.5%. Buy this crap at your own risk
Tsachy Mishal@CapitalObserverOct 18
The 6 month $SOXL (3X semiconductor ETF) return is 6%. The $SMH 6 month return is 18.69٪. 3 times the $SMH return is 56%. $SOXL is down 70٪ from it's highs. SMH is down 19%. Levered ETFs are garbage
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Anthropic has been reported to start its roadshow the week of November 9. For that to happen it really should release it's S-1 by tomorrow
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It's funny how a 1% move in the futures feels huge. Market has been so well behaved for a long time
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Call me crazy but I think this means a $META secondary is days away "timing is important to secure capital before competitors saturate various funding options"
Joe Weisenthal
@TheStalwartOct 22
This paragraph from $META's inside 10-q filling may mark the official announcement that the funding environment for the AI buildout has turned the corner. (HT: Barclays' Alexander Altmann)
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