Tweets ≠ advice. Analyst since 1998. Monitoring charts for macro trends, changes, extremes and THEMES: 2025: Precious Metals, Int'l 2026: Commod, Energy

Joined November 2012
US Dollar - $DXY $USD Big Picture
US Dollar - $DXY $USD Big Picture
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Caterpillar - $CAT Leading indicator for global economic growth, commodity and mining cycles. 🥸
204
Bonds - $TLT Ripping higher today. 📈
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166
Gold / S&P 500 Big Picture at an interesting juncture. 🍿
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3
164
China Tech - $CQQQ Tech selloff in China appears to be picking up steam.
China Tech - $CQQQ Down 28%+ since June 30.
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177
Discretionary / Staples - $XLY $XLP This ratio continues to be stuck in reverse. If you are bullish, be cautious.
Discretionary / Staples - $XLY $XLP Downside momentum continues... Weekly momentum is having a 2nd consecutive negative divergence. This is a stronger signal than a single negative divergence. If you are bullish on equities, be very careful here.
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163
Performance YTD Commodities continues to hold the top spot. $PDBC
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RATIO: Bear + Money Market Assets / Bull Assets Here is an inverted chart to show just how bullish the dumb money is compared to 2009-2011 levels. The complacency picture has flip flopped. Anyone's guess if this 5% level can go any lower, but it is getting very stretched.
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Offense vs Defense - $SPY $QQQ The past 7 days clearly show defense. Momentum has begun to roll over on 5 different relative viewpoints. Negative divergences abound.
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YTD Performance Energy and Commodities are on top by a wide margin. $XLE $PDBC
167
S&P 500 - $SPY Updated chart... be careful out there... 👇
S&P 500 - $SPY Is this time going to be different?
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203
Mag 7 - $MAGS A bearish wedge inside a bearish wedge with 2 years of negative divergence.
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Commodities - $PDBC The volume is still well below what we saw in 2022. That continues to suggest this move still has a ways before it matures.
Commodities - $PDBC The volume this week is so far away from the high volume we saw in 2022. That suggests this move still has a long ways before it matures.
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150
China Tech - $CQQQ Down 28%+ since June 30.
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