JBBs Primetime Tails 🏈💸 Lions @ Bills - Week 2 TNF OT Game + Away Travel + Thursday Night usually equals a rough game for the weary. Lions might be in for it tonight. Trends: Away teams playing on TNF after an OT game have hit their 1H TT under 8 of 9 times and scored -4.2 less points than their implied 1H total. An OT hangover on a normal week is worth roughly nothing (56% under & -0.4pts). Carries thru to full game as well with away teams going under 67% and -5.2pts against their implied total. You can see most of that is captured in 1H though. Opponents of these OT teams fare well ATS covering 69% of the time at +5.5pts more than the spread. Price Action: Bills -4.5 has moved from 47c to 51c steadily last 72 hours and the alts have followed. 1H ATS market hasn’t budged yet 👀 Lions 1H TT and TT are pretty dead and illiquid right now. If Bills money keeps flowing, you’d expect these all to follow. Yuno Ball: Personnel wise, Buffalo has a pretty revamped defense and Jim Leonhard is the new DC (shoutout wisco). In Denver he ran the pass game side, but it seems he’s brought over the Vance Joseph pressure concept with him to BUF. In Wk1 they sent 5+ on 32% of HOU drop backs which is much higher than the 22% rate BUF sent in 2025. Dan Campbell’s Lions teams are 60% to their 1H TT under when facing a top 8 blitzing opponent. We’ll look for BUF to dial up the blitz early. The Tails 🏈💸 Lions 1H TT u12.5 @ 48c, 1 unit Lions 1H TT u9.5 @ 33c, 0.1 units BUF 1H -4.5 @ 48c, 0.5 units BUF 1H -6.5 @ 39c, 0.1 units DET TT u21.5 @ 36c, 0.25 units 2026 Record: 6-5, +1.47u @ +35% ROI