We work for candidates, causes & corporations with a story to tell & a fight to win. @markdharris, @DevanneyMike, @nachamasol, Michael Fortney & Kerry McConnon
Pittsburgh + Washington, D.C.
Joined January 2011
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ColdSpark retweeted
Texas early vote in-person is at R+0.7 on modeled party. This is down from R+14.8 in 24 and R+14.5 in 22. With mail included, the margin shrinks to R+0.4.
Modeled GOP turnout is 30.6% vs 43.4% in 24 and 26.0% in 22. Modeled Dem is 36.0% vs 34.1% in 24 and 20.6% in 22.
ColdSpark retweeted
GA early vote numbers are historically bad for the GOP compared to 2022 and 2024. The margin on in-person EV now sits at D+10.9 on modeled party (D+11.2 with mail). This up from D+10.2 before the weekend. I changed the map color scale to show the margins a little better #gapol
ColdSpark retweeted
Even Newsday couldn’t get a straight answer out of Kassay. So I’ll ask her again: Why did this nonprofit host a fundraiser for you? Why did you award them a $15,000 grant?
Long Islanders are sick of the corruption. Tell us what you’re hiding, Assemblywoman.
ColdSpark retweeted
The margin remains much worse than 2022 and 2024. The margin would end at D+10.0 following 2022 pace and D+11.8 following 2024 pace. Final margin was D+0.5 in 2022 and R+3.7 in 2024. Trump won EV by 112K in 2024. Warnock won EV by 164K while Kemp won EV by 6K in 2022. #gapol
ColdSpark retweeted
The margin remains much worse than 2022 and 2024. The margin would end at D+10.0 following 2022 pace and D+11.8 following 2024 pace. Final margin was D+0.5 in 2022 and R+3.7 in 2024. Trump won EV by 112K in 2024. Warnock won EV by 164K while Kemp won EV by 6K in 2022. #gapol
More movement toward the GOP in Georgia with Early Vote in-person, shrinking 1.0% from yesterday. The current margin sits at D+10.2% (D+10.6% with mail returns included) #gapol
ColdSpark retweeted
More movement toward the GOP in Georgia with Early Vote in-person, shrinking 1.0% from yesterday. The current margin sits at D+10.2% (D+10.6% with mail returns included) #gapol
ColdSpark retweeted
In honor of @barbecuefest this weekend, here's a look at early vote in Davidson Co.
The current margin is R+28.1 vs R+49.2 in 2024 and R+46.0 in 2022. This margin has grown 12.1% since the start of early voting.
2022 Dem early voter turnout is at 46.1% vs. 30.9% for the GOP
ColdSpark retweeted
There's no question: a competent, professional prosecutor @sarithaforny....
or biased, racist, corrupt gutter thug @TishJames
Saritha Komatireddy has spent a career putting away bad guys — The Post endorses her against political hack Letitia James trib.al/loMyIfo
ColdSpark retweeted
Honored to have the endorsement of the New York Post, the nation’s oldest daily newspaper, founded by Alexander Hamilton.
ColdSpark retweeted
🧵Margin for the GOP in NC keep improving but are still sitting behind 2022 and 2024. The margin improved 2.3% (modeled party applied to unaffiliated voters) to D+23.0%. The margin at this point was R+1.1% in 2024 and D+8.1% in 2022. #ncpol
ColdSpark retweeted
This morning, I notified the U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of New York, and commissioners of the state and county Boards of Elections, about “Pay-for-Play” Rebecca Kassay.
Kassay spent her last campaign hammering her predecessor over his disbarment. Now a nonprofit, to which she steered $15,000 in taxpayer money, threw her a fundraiser.
She needs to stop hiding and answer for this.
ColdSpark retweeted
🚨 SC! Currently, modeled party is at D+1.7. Same day in 2024 margin was at R+27.8.
Modeled Dem turnout is 15.2% higher than 2024 vs -43.1% lower for modeled GOP.
84K Black turnout is almost even compared to 2024. 30.2% of ballots cast compared to 22.4% in 2024 #scpol
Another reason why New York needs to elect @sarithaforny. 👇
Rebecca Kassay broke the law.
She sent $15,000 of your tax dollars to a nonprofit, and that nonprofit turned around and raised money for her campaign. Then the state matched those donations with even more of your money.
This morning I sent a letter to the Attorney General demanding an investigation.
It’s a classic Albany pay-for-play.
ColdSpark retweeted
The trend line continues to improve for the GOP in NC. The early vote in-person margin is still worse than 2022 and 2024, but improved 2.8%. This margin is with modeled party applied to unaffiliated voters. #ncpol
ColdSpark retweeted
Early vote data from Pennsylvania is showing strong Democratic turnout in Philadelphia and its suburbs. Day 3 numbers: Philly up 12% vs 2022, suburban counties up 8-9%.
This tracks with what we're seeing in other key metros. The early vote advantage matters.
ColdSpark retweeted
An update from the evil genius at @ColdSpark data, @RBonifay, the cast votes are now D+20.4 in party registration states. Slight trend in the GOP direction including 15 states where GOP has done better on pace since last week.
ColdSpark retweeted
Long Island nonprofit hosts fundraiser for NY Democrat in apparent violation of laws trib.al/wvkZMvO
