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A pretty good Christmas haul...
@DavidM_Friedman
@BobMurphyEcon
@TheHoppean
@Sen_JoeManchin
@JoshMBlackman
@malcom_john
@mises
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After 250 Years, Once Again America Proves the System Works connolley.substack.com/p/aft…
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Chuck Conn retweeted
Elon Musk:
“Generally, whatever Milton Friedman said, people should do that thing.”
Chuck Conn retweeted
State Farm pays me $6,800 a month for a house that rents to a normal family for $2,100
The family living in it owns a $480,000 house three streets over. A pipe burst upstairs in August, flooded their kitchen, and the contractor said 5 months
Almost every homeowners policy has a part called "loss of use."
If your house becomes unlivable, the insurance company pays the extra cost of living somewhere similar while it gets fixed. Same school, same size, room for the dog
For a family of 4 with a golden retriever, that's 2 hotel suites at around $380 a night. $11,400 a month.
So insurers hand the job to housing companies whose whole business is finding furnished houses close to the damaged one, fast
That's where mine comes in.
Furnished, 4 bedrooms, fenced yard, washer and dryer, 10 minutes from their street. They signed in an afternoon because I came in $4,600 a month under the hotel
The housing company pays the rent.
The people sleeping there own a house and just want to go home, so they treat mine like one
The setup is a normal rental with furniture in it. List it with the insurance housing networks (ALE Solutions and CRS Temporary Housing both take landlords), keep it near good schools, and price it under the extended stay hotels. Frozen pipe season and storm season are when the phone rings
One 5 month placement brought in more rent than that house used to collect in 16 months of renting to a normal family
And if your own house ever floods, ask your adjuster about loss of use the same day. Plenty of people sleep on a relative's couch for months and never claim it
I wrote this so I had a better understanding of how the SPR works. I'm sure I criticized Biden down, but I didn't understand how domestic oil production versus consumption ratios have changed since the Permian Basin was discovered 20 years ago. Very interesting.
Should we be worried about Strategic Petroleum Reserve drawdowns? connolley.substack.com/p/sho…
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Chuck Conn retweeted
You can see the Hamas terrorist hesitate at the end of the video before he shoots the young woman.
This is the evil of October 7th.
This is the evil Israel is fighting.
Chuck Conn retweeted
Analysts expect the hyperscalers to incur $255 billion in depreciation charges in 2026 on capex of $784 billion. The depreciation charge is projected to rise to $581 billion in 2029 on capex of $1.16 trillion.
To put things in context, the hyperscalers are expected to generate $569 billion in operating profits in 2026.
I should also add that these numbers exclude off-balance sheet capex, which is likely to add another $200 billion to hyperscaler spending. This means that annual hyperscaler capex, if analyst estimates are to be believed, will be around $1.4 trillion by the end of the decade.
I think that tweet from @KobeissiLetter is a little bit of a stretch to represent it like that if you're just trying to measure overall foreign demand for Treasuries. This is a much more accurate perspective.
BREAKING: Foreign holdings of US Treasuries fell -$50 billion in July, to $9.25 trillion, the lowest total since October 2025.
Foreign holdings reflect net purchases or sales as well as bond valuation changes.
This marks the 4th monthly decline over the last 5 months, totaling -$239 billion.
Japan, the largest foreign holder, trimmed its holdings by -$13 billion in July, to $1.11 trillion, its lowest since January 2025.
Meanwhile, China, the 3rd-largest holder, reduced its holdings by -$15 billion, to $618 billion, its lowest level since August 2008.
Foreign demand for US Treasuries remains fragile.
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The Sovereign Mind: What Washington and the Stoics Knew About Surviving Modern Chaos connolley.substack.com/p/the…
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The Hamilton Scheme, Part 2.. Hamilton’s Successor Gallatin Swings the Deal of the Millennium With the Louisiana Purchase with no cash down... connolley.substack.com/p/the…
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New stack up. Please share it and comment. This one's more focused on the political landscape then economic principles. I'm branching out, LOL.
Beyond ‘Anyone But Trump’: Why the Economy Always Wins... connolley.substack.com/p/bey…
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New article up! Like and share please!
We are going to learn the hard way or the easy way. Let's choose the easy way... open.substack.com/pub/connol…
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Why a K-Shaped Economy and the AI Boom Might Be the Break We’ve Been Waiting For. It worked in the 80's and 90's open.substack.com/pub/connol…
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Chuck Conn retweeted
AI adoption is much higher in the U.S. than it is in Europe. Will this widen the gap between U.S. and European productivity growth? bit.ly/4bZECFi
Replying to @bhu_srinivasan
@bhu_srinivasan Your book is no match for mother nature, and neither is Amazon lol
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I can't believe I stepped on @robertkelly's punchline tonight @ComedyCellarUSA. But it was worth spending quality family time with my son now that I'm finally out of prison😜
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