Evaluating high school & college football players using our proprietary CAPS analytic (Competition Adjusted Production Score).
Ellicott City, MD
Joined March 2021
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College Week 11, on the record before Saturday:
Jeremiah Smith 110 rec yds vs Northwestern
Jayden Maiava 265 pass yds at Indiana
DeSean Bishop 100 rush yds at Texas A&M
All three are the slate highs. Our line: Texas -1 at LSU, total 54. #CFB
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NFL Week 9 receipts. Both numbers we put on the record Wednesday missed:
Goff: 285 pass yds, got 170
Stroud: 235, got 385 (5 TD)
Across all 16 pass-yd rows, our average miss was 65.41 yds vs 81.44 for prior-season avgs. 0 pending. #NFL
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CFB Week 10 receipts, projected / actual:
Jeremiah Smith 105 / 135 rec yds
Trinidad Chambliss 265 / 170 pass yds
Jadan Baugh 95 / 35 rush yds
Our line, LSU -6: Alabama won 31-13.
All Week 10 lines: 41-21 straight up. #CFB
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College Week 10, on the record before Saturday:
Jeremiah Smith 105 rec yds vs Oregon
Trinidad Chambliss 265 pass yds vs Georgia
Jadan Baugh 95 rush yds vs Oklahoma
All three are the slate highs. Our line: LSU -6 vs Alabama, total 52.5. #CFB
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NFL Week 9, on the record before TNF:
Goff 285 pass yds at MIA (slate high; avg 281)
Stroud 235 at LAC Sunday (avg 267, 32 under)
Monitoring: Stafford, 275 at WSH, questionable (arm). If Out or Doubtful, his row is voided before kickoff. #NFL
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NFL Week 8 receipts. Our three on-record pass-yard calls:
Bryce Young 230, actual 210 (hit)
Matthew Stafford 285, actual 155 (miss)
Jared Goff 280, actual 175 (miss)
Flagged: Lamar Jackson 200. He played, 1 pass, 0 yds. Graded a miss.
#NFL
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CFB Week 9 receipts, projected / actual:
Maiava 260 / 220 pass yds
Jeremiah Smith 110 / 85 rec yds
Baugh 100 / 40 rush yds
Stockton 205 / 100 pass yds
Luckie 25 / 15 rec yds
Our line, Oklahoma -8: South Carolina won 42-25. #CFB
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College Week 9, on the record before Saturday:
Jeremiah Smith 110 rec yds at USC (slate high)
Jayden Maiava 260 pass yds vs OSU (100th-pct pass D)
Jadan Baugh 100 rush yds vs Georgia
Our line: Oklahoma -8 vs South Carolina, total 53.5. #CFB
competitionfactor.com/x/prev…
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NFL Week 8, on the record before TNF:
Stafford 285 pass yds vs LAC (slate high; avg 284)
Goff 280 vs MIN (avg 298)
Bryce Young 230 at GB Thu (avg 285)
Monitoring: Lamar Jackson, 200 at BUF. If Out or Doubtful Friday, his row is voided. #NFL
competitionfactor.com/x/nfl
153
NFL Week 7, graded. Our on-record pass-yd calls:
Goff 275, actual 305 (hit)
Love 240, actual 275 (hit)
Maye 240, actual 320 (miss)
Flagged: Bryce Young played, so his row stands. 250, actual 165 (miss).
144 graded, 15 voided, 0 pending. #NFL
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CFB Week 8 receipts, projected / actual yds:
Chambliss 265 / 250 pass
Maiava 255 / 260 pass
Lacy 90 / 35 rush
King Miller 85 / 10 rush
Byrum Brown 75 / 20 rush
Colton Joseph 195 / 60 pass
Both pick'ems: Texas won 34-27, Wisconsin 24-7. #CFB
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CFB Week 8 on the record:
Trinidad Chambliss 265 pass yds at Texas
Kewan Lacy 90 rush yds
Jayden Maiava 255 pass yds at Wisconsin
King Miller 85 rush yds
Byrum Brown 75 rush yds vs LSU
Our lines: Ole Miss-Texas, USC-Wisconsin both pick'em. #CFB
competitionfactor.com/x/line…
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NFL Week 6, graded. Our 5 on-record pass-yd calls:
Prescott 265, actual 260 (hit)
Mahomes 245, actual 270 (hit)
Love 235, actual 275 (hit)
Stafford 305, actual 220 (miss)
Nix 230, actual 105 (miss)
3 hits, 2 misses, 0 pending. #NFL
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CFB Week 7 receipts, projected / actual yds:
Chambliss 275 / 240
Sayin 255 / 235
Kromah 55 / 45
Daniels 200 / 300
Jeremiah Smith 115 / 70
Hoover 230 / 295
Mensah 250 / 325
Lines: Ohio State -13 and Miami -21, both right. #CFB
competitionfactor.com/week/2…
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CFB Week 7, on the record:
Trinidad Chambliss 275 pass yds vs Missouri
Julian Sayin 255 pass yds at Indiana
Jeremiah Smith 115 rec yds
Darian Mensah 250 pass yds, 2.2 TD vs FSU
Our lines: Ohio State -13 at Indiana. Miami -21 vs FSU. #CFB
competitionfactor.com/lines
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NFL Week 6, on the record before TNF:
Stafford 305 pass yds vs ARI (slate high)
Prescott 265 at GB
Mahomes 245 vs LAC
Love 235 vs DAL (avg 282)
Nix 230 vs SEA (Thu)
Penix (rib) flagged, not featured. Graded Mon/Tue, misses included. #NFL
competitionfactor.com/pro/we…
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CFB Week 6 receipts, projected yds / actual:
Sayin 270 / 240
Jeremiah Smith 115 / 95
Maiava 255 / 300
Manning 230 / 260
Russell 205 / 185
Smothers 75 / 40
Stockton 195 / 250
Our lines: Ohio State -40 right. Penn State -9, Texas -1 wrong. #CFB
competitionfactor.com/week/2…
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Georgia at Alabama tonight. The game's biggest unit gap:
Alabama rush O, 89th pct
Georgia rush D, 100th pct
Edge: -234, defense
Every other unit in the game rates 96th pct or higher.
On the record: Alabama QB Keelon Russell 205 pass yds. #CFB
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New: our own spread and total for every FBS-vs-FBS game, built from the players on each roster. Ohio State -40 vs Maryland. Penn State -9 vs USC. Texas -1 vs Oklahoma.
Frozen at kickoff, graded on the final. #CFB
competitionfactor.com/lines
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