🇯🇵🇰🇷🇦🇺🇺🇸 - Research Fellow, Foreign Policy & Defence @USSC. Formerly Resident Vasey Fellow @PacificForum. Usual caveats apply.

Sydney, New South Wales
Joined August 2018
Pleased to share my latest: "Don’t miss the forest for the trees: Lessons from AUKUS for the Australia-Japan Mogami deal," published as part of this 2026 Young Strategist Forum volume with the support of the @gmfus and @SPF_PR.
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#breaking The Albanese government will on Tuesday confirm Rio Tinto’s Kellie Parker as the inaugural National Armaments Director, to improve management of multi-billion-dollar acquisitions for the new Defence Delivery Agency thewest.com.au/business/mini…
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Defense of Japan 2026 English version (Annual White Paper) is now released! For more details, please visit our website or refer to the book.   #JMOD #JSDF   ↓Click below mod.go.jp/en/publ/w_paper/in…
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"Well, gee, Mulder. There's also this report of a shipment of drugs and illegal weapons coming into New Jersey tonight." "Ugh, I hardly think the F.B.I.'s concerned with matters like that!"
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"an alliance is sustained by candor, and allied divergence on important national interests is not a concern to take lightly. "
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TLDR: AUKUS has driven "the modernization of the wider 🇺🇸🇦🇺 defense relationship, linking force posture initiatives, combined operations, federated defense production and maintenance, and greater technology and information sharing... Mogami could do the same for 🇦🇺🇯🇵."
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Tom Corben retweeted
Pentagon policy chief Elbridge Colby is calling a new meeting of his "Bergen" group - 6 hand-picked NATO allies - next month in Poland. But those left out are scratching their heads. @JackDetsch @StefanieBolzen politico.com/news/2026/09/30…
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Tom Corben retweeted
It just dawned on me that Hegseth is describing the mission of the Office of Net Assessment, which he effectively killed last year.
.@SECWAR “Project Meridian—the future of warfare—is not about developing new strategies or policies. Rather, its purpose is to creatively look into the future and identify the domains we must conquer—and capabilities we must master... to achieve technological and military dominance on the battlefield for decades to come.”
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At least it's not Golden Intelligence.
Missed opportunity to officially call it Super Duper Intelligence
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Clearing up the confusion around Southeast Asia
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An example of positive change in 🇺🇸 procurement practices: the latest 5-7 year Pentagon-RTX contract for AMRAAMs – which would 2X production if fully realised – explicitly includes projected allied requirements through the Foreign Military Sales process.war.gov/News/Releases/Releas…
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Tom Corben retweeted
We're seeing more missiles (and longer-range missiles) deployed to the first island chain and for longer. They usually come for an exercise in Japan or the Philippines and then stick around. Easy to miss amid concerns about magazine depth, but still an important trend for deterrence.
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Interesting: the 2026 NDS implementation update seems to emphasise resilience measures – e.g. "magazine depth, contested logistics capacity, and resilient and cyber-hardened C2" – over force posture/numbers. If anything, it emphasises the fungibility of US forces across theatres.
READ: Update on the Implementation of the 2026 National Defense Strategy from @USWPColby media.defense.gov/2026/Sep/2…
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Also very interesting: "In May 2026, Secretary Hegseth and Australian Deputy Prime Minister Richard Marles concluded a cost-sharing arrangement to secure more than $5 billion in Australian infrastructure support to the U.S. rotational submarine presence at SRF-West."
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Last thing: shipbuilding – specifically, SSN production conundrum – is the place "where the gap between the Strategy and supply is widest." It puts SSN output at 1.1-1.2 per year, with 2 per year not expected "until approximately 2032," still 0.33 short of AUKUS requirements.
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