Data driven musings on Fulham FC. Fan account & not affiliated with Fulham FC
Joined August 2020
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New blogpost: Predicting Fulham’s Budget for the 2023 Summer Transfer window.
In which I estimate Fulham's spending capacity for the summer and try to construct a plausible shopping list of potential transfers....
cottageanalytica.com/2023/06…
@Cottage Analytica retweeted
It’s with great sadness that we’ve been informed that Chris from @CottageAnalytic died on January 18th from Lymphoma.
Chris’ wife Jo asked us to let the Fulham community know on her behalf. She said that Chris loved creating the stats and reports about the club, and particularly enjoyed knowing that they were appreciated by so many Fulham fans.
Chris will be part of the Celebration/Memorial Match held on Saturday 15th February vs Nottingham Forest.
We’d like to extend our sincere condolences to Jo and her family at what must be an incredibly tough time.
Thanks for the shout out.
Unfortunately I am dealing with some health issues at the moment, and don't currently have the energy to do the research behind my posts.
I hope to be back in the future once I am better again.
COYW!!!🖤🤍🖤
Chris
Petition for @CottageAnalytic to come back for the remaining games?
@FulhamishPod @MrSammyJames @CottageTactico @FulhamFC @FulhamTransfer
With 8 games played, I thought we are probably approaching a point where the premier league model I have been running has gathered enough data to make some reasonable predictions & observations, so here they are in a thread.
Firstly, the predicted league table:
(1/14)
Everton: attack and defence both stronger than predicted initially
Newcastle: attack much stronger than initially predicted. Defence slightly stronger as well
Forest: Defence much stronger than predicted
Sheffield: Defence much weaker than predicted
(13/14)
@Cottage Analytica retweeted
Time for Vinicius and Iwobi to start the next game? 🤔
See below for how their introduction changed Fulham’s emphasis and made the space for us to finally create the match winning chance against Luton ⬇️
Carlos Vinícius averages 0.47 non-penalty goals per premier league game for Fulham.
Since the start of last season, Aleksandar Mitrović achieved 0.44 for the same metric...
Thought it worth comparing the results of Opta's 'super-computer' premier league with my own (running on excel in a 4 year old ASUS Vivobook in case you wondered).
The results are pretty similar, we have 9 teams (shown in green) including Fulham (13th) ranked the same.
(1/)
In each of those cases my model is more pessimistic on the team in question.
The major difference is Chelsea, I have them to finish 4th, Opta has them in 12th.
My gut instinct is that somewhere in the middle of those is probably correct, but they are hard to predict...
(3/)
