@DBCJason

Attorney | basketball, draft | words at @thehwcollectlve [email protected]

Joined June 2022
  • Tweets3.8K
  • Following392
  • Followers6K
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Which NBA player gets their threes off the quickest? Through the first week of the season, Reed Sheppard has the fastest average release time on threes (0.741 seconds) in the league. Data: NBA Game Pulse / Inside the Game
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Jason retweeted
Gavin@freewave3Oct 21
2027 NBA Draft preseason big board Would love to answer any questions about these placements / prospects Not ranking INTLs for now
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Jason@DBCJasonJun 24
OKC got taken out by Wemby and decided to fight rimfluence with rimfluence. Aday Mara had an all time finishing, interior passing, and rim protection season, ranking 3rd in my NCAA Rimfluence RAPM metric and is the first of many premium picks made as a direct response to Wemby.
Jason@DBCJasonMay 31
Wemby is - 99th% oRim Assist RAPM - 100th% dRim Assist RAPM - 98th% oTS RAPM - 100th% dTS RAPM His rimfluence removes all variance inside the arc. The reliability of his superpower is why he’s BITW Can only really be countered by a stronger force of variance: launch 3s and pray
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Preparing to take the court for @usdmbb, his 5th team in as many years, Power Guard @Wcdavion looks to join the fraternity of NBA brother duos. @NileHoops details how outlier transition influence could be the catalyst Episode 1 of ‘Below The Rim’: thehardwoodcollective.com/ar…

Below The Rim, Episode One: San Diego's Davion Hill

A series highlighting prospects and players who win without conventional vertical athleticism. Davion Hill looks to continue an under-the-radar, below-the-rim quest to join the fraternity of brother...

thehardwoodcollective.com
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No tweet has affected my evaluation paradigms as much as this. So I wrote an article about: 1. My definition of cognition 2. Linking “OAS” theory to cognition 3. Why the cognition found in OAS drives outlier development The debut of my R&D blog, Neural Nets, is live. Link ⬇️
avi@100guaranteed18 Jul 2024
the most important precocious skill integration is oreb-assist-stocks this is the ultimate functional athleticism x feel proxy, a synthesis of skills that exponentially raises ceiling beyond perception of raw box stats/bpm lots and lots of instructive developmental stories here
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The college basketball season is only a few weeks away so here's my 2027 preseason board! With this being such a wide open class I'm expecting a healthy amount of early season movement, but for now feel free to ask any and all questions about prospects' placements!
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With college basketball rapidly approaching, here are the top incoming freshmen as projected by my model! The model is trained on AAU, FIBA, and International league production and the target variable is first year BPR @EvanMiya's all-in-one metric!
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The Trail Blazers believe Jrue Holiday, Damian Lillard, and Ja Morant can all play together, per @JakeLFischer
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Will probably try to put up a Substack about this, but based on the last 8 years of data, the best active coaches at increasing a player’s defensive impact are (roughly): 1. Kelvin Sampson 2. Jon Scheyer 3. Rick Barnes 4. Tommy Lloyd 5. Brian Dutcher 6. Mark Few 7. Randy Bennett
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I’m happy to present my long-form Swish Theory debut! I teamed up with the great @AtTheLevel to analyze our two favorite small guard prospects: Tyler Tanner and Chance Mallory. Show some love ⬇️
Swish Theory
@SwishTheoryAug 19
Small guards are an endangered species in today's NBA. Tyler Tanner and Chance Mallory are here to prove they're not extinct. New at Swish Theory! A collaboration between @AtTheLevel and @MaxiMonster111. ⬇️ READ BELOW ⬇️
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For the better part of a decade, the rest of the NBA has struggled to recreate the Warrior’s dynastic synergy. @DBCJason subverts WHY they failed, details the true essence of small ball & identifies the teams’ most capable of maximizing the Third Guard. thehardwoodcollective.com/ar…

Draymond Green Ruined Small Ball, OKC and the Third Guard Brought It Back

NBA news, draft analytics, blogging, and sports coverage.

thehardwoodcollective.com
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Got some questions about where different teams ranked, so here's the entire league ranked (in reverse order) by Dev Environment Score* *including rankings from the past 2 seasons Top 5: 1. Golden State: 94 2. Chicago: 93 3. San Antonio: 91 4. Brooklyn: 86 5. Miami: 79
David Lee
@dlee4threeJul 19
Zaccharie Risacher is joining one of the roughest developmental environments for his play-finisher skillset in the NBA Dallas is one of just 2 teams with a bottom 10 rank in AST% (60.6), Moreyball% (65.2), Spot-Up Frequency (21.9%) & Spot-Up PPP (1.01) in the last 2 years!
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v4 of The 5th Factor just dropped, featuring: - AURA Score, my debut draft model that spans back to 2006 with NBA archetype projections plus EPM/EW/DPM - a custom recipe for NCAA RAPM - plus a daily tracker for SL performances w/ PBP stats the5thfactor.io

The 5th Factor

Data-driven NBA draft prospect analysis featuring DRE ratings, game logs, and scouting tools.

the5thfactor.io
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Replying to @dlee4three @francistennn
check out @DBCJason's custom metrics, publically queryable for the first time Rimfluence, PCOE, Feel+ and more
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Utilizing Archetypal Analysis to DeMystify the NBA Draft | Part 1: How RBAC Shaped My 2026 Board + An Introduction to NCAA Roles presented by @dlee4three thehardwoodcollective.com/ar…

Utilizing Archetypal Analysis to DeMystify the NBA Draft | Part 1: How RBAC Shaped My 2026 Board +...

Building a role-based archetype model to match the awesome complexity of projecting basketball development

thehardwoodcollective.com
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Nile!@NileHoopsJun 23
The second and final 2026 Nile! NBA Draft Board I appreciate and thank every collaborator and peer I have. Notes on Swain, Mara, Philon, Slim (who lept from Do Not Draft to top 25), Burries, and Boswell 🔜 on @thehwcollectlve in my 2005 Age Rank notes Thank You❤️‍🔥
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Managed to finish my first attempt at a draft model just in time! The goal was to project first 5 year DPM with the model being trained on over 5,000 players from the NCAA, G League, and overseas dating back as far as 1997. Appreciate any and all feedback!
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Introducing the Collective, a writer-owned platform designed by David Lee to elevate the collective consciousness of basketball programs, front offices & fans. thehardwoodcollective.com/

The Collective

Long-form multimedia basketball analysis. NBA, WNBA, NCAA, and grassroots — through a draft lens.

thehardwoodcollective.com
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avi@100guaranteedMay 9
the clearest sign that stirtz would get 'gassed' is the decline in his second half defensive activity at drake: 1H: 3.9% steal, 16.7% dreb 2H: 2.5% steal, 10.5% dreb at iowa: 1H: 3.5% steal, 10.6% dreb 2H: 1.1% steal, 7.9% dreb
Pensare Basketball
@PensareBBallMay 9
Bennett Stirtz was designed in a lab to play for the Toronto Raptors. Via @ league him
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Gavin@freewave3Apr 28
I Ranked my top 25 2027 freshman, including brief data driven notes/reasoning for why. Check it out 👇
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