Pinned Tweet
The stats are inā DataGut717 outperforms the consensus more than any other model.
Profitable every year.
Win total prediction accuracy of 61%
⦠and like an old sage on the mountaintop, the highest āWisdom Indexā
DataGut 717 retweeted
Haley Sawyer was the AP voter who moved UF up two spots after losing to USF last fall. When asked, she laughed and said it doesn't matter
Not only did the AP give her a ballot again this year, she's the only one to keep Michigan at #17 this week
@AP_Top25 should be ashamed
LETāS GO!!!!!!!
DataGut717ās first projection of the year is TCU -4.81
Grab them points as North Carolina keeps this close.
Enjoy it, everyone!
#38 for TCU just holding AND pass interference on EVERY SINGLE PLAY.
As Iāve said⦠some games it pays to just do it every play and dare the refs to throw flags every play. They wonāt.
DataGut 717 retweeted
āWe wouldnāt want to watch Triple-A teams in the playoff! Only the highest quality ball allowed here!ā
DataGut 717 retweeted
Alabamaās got roses and āGoing back to Caliā blares from the locker room.
Woofā heās talking about Julian Sayin
Replying to @stafford614 @CFBNerds
Zip, velocity, how hard it looks when he needs to put spit on it, how the ball floats on deep passes. Heās shown nice accuracy in the short game, but donāt expect him to rip one 15-20 yards over the the middle of the field or go opposite hash
Actually hilariousā it doesnāt matter if they beat ND and then lose because theyāll be left out.
Pitt has to win conference games. So does (almost) everyone else.
NEW: Pitt head coach Pat Narduzzi on whether Notre Dame game is a āmust-winā:
āAbsolutely not, It is not an ACC game. Iām glad you brought that up. Itās not an ACC game. Iād gladly get beat 103 or 110-10 in that game. They could put 100 up on us as long as we win the next two after that.ā
(via @tbhorka)
on3.com/news/pat-narduzzi-giā¦
I agree that Jeremiah Smith is the best WR in the country, but just because he looks like the best WR in the country doesnāt mean heās the best WR in the country.
Replying to @KristopherDrew_
I agree with the argument that he is throwing to the best player in CFB, so thereās an asterisk to it. But just because he is the most well put together athlete that weāve probably ever seen, does not mean he is the best player in the country right now.
The OP clearly lists the Oregon game⦠and this a top comment.
X everyone.
Replying to @Joel_Haas1
Why didnāt you put his completion percentage against Oregon? Oh, because it was 55%.
DataGut 717 retweeted
šØ QB Efficiency Leaders (through Week 11) šØ
Here are the Top 15 QBs in opponent-adjusted EPA per dropback, the ones generating the most value every time they throw.
š„ Ohio Stateās Julian Sayin jumps to the top spot
ā” USCās Jayden Maiava right on his heels
These guysā¦.
Replying to @jrs_rankings
Ole Miss has a better resume. Oregon has yet to show on the field they even deserve the ranking they have
Id love for you to actually compare resumes.
Chief Joseph famously said: āit does not require many words to speak the truthā
Since we keep getting hammered with mentions about Sayin, here's where we stand with him:
- Sayin is one of the best QBs in recent memory within 20 yards. The speed of his release is uniquely good, and his placement is elite. We've always maintained this.
- The thing we questioned early on was whether Ohio State would have an effective deep ball. At the time OSU was 98th in throws of 20+ yards. That hasn't changed a ton, as they went into today 91st in that statistic.
- But, Ohio State really came on starting with the Minnesota game with deep throws. They had thrown 10 passes going into today of 40+ yards, which was 7th nationally.
- The complication is about depth. Ohio State had only thrown 11 passes between 20-40 yards coming into today. That's only one more than Auburn, or two more than Wisconsin, and tied for 120th nationally.
- Alabama has thrown 28 passes of 20-40 yards (11th nationally) but just 5 of 40+ yards (65th nationally), so a completely different profile.
- Today continued that trend, as Ohio State hit 3 more 40+ yard passes, but only 1 pass between 20-40 yards.
- Ultimately the OSU passing game is a combination of tons of elite throws underneath 20 yards, and a high volume of shots over coverage with lots of air to their elite WRs (which Day has said is intentional), with very few throws attacking seams at or underneath safety depth.
- This may be a sustainable, high-level passing attack. The ultra high efficiency in short passes certainly seems something that can scale. And Alabama would kill for Ohio State's efficiency level when they take shots over deep coverage.
- The one thing that remains open is the question of whether Ohio State can maintain a deep passing game if/when they play a defense who can rush the passer and play coverage sufficient to prevent throws beyond coverage. This may be something they don't even need to do, especially with Tate and Smith whipping DBs.
- Regardless, this is all very much nitpicking a QB who is ultra-efficient otherwise. But it's a very similar passing profile to Bo Nix two years ago (same QB Rating and same yards/attempt) and he encountered scaling issues to end the year. When evaluating playoff games vs top-10 defenses, it's at least an open concern.
The only reason I pay for live tv via @YouTubeTV is to watch college football. The cost goes up every single year and I deal with it, but if you arenāt gonna provide espn/abc during CFB season - thatās a deal breaker.
Alabama knocks off preseason #13 South Carolina to continue rolling!
No one is hotter than the Crimson Tide.
Germie Bernard TD
This might be a really simple question, but is there a master list of >50% post game win expectancy records?
LOWEST POSTGAME WIN EXPECTANCY IN A WIN, WEEK 9:
Delaware > MTSU 32.3%
BYU > Iowa St 37.7%
Akron > Buffalo 39.2%
Auburn > Arkansas 39.5%
UVA > UNC 43.8%
Memphis > USF 46.2%
Ole Miss > OU 53.0%
WKU > LT 53.5%
Texas > MSU 54.0%
Semi-normal week? Full list: docs.google.com/spreadsheetsā¦



















