the more I learn… the more I realize how much I don’t know - Einstein. Partner of @aionanalytics
Joined January 2025
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Time to set the record straight again.
September 24. Crash probability on the S&P had nearly quadrupled in three weeks. I said the crowd was looking at the wrong number and we’d grade it over 20 trading days.
October 2. Nasdaq at a new high. I said the smoke was thicker and the window closes October 22. See you then.
It’s October 22.
VIX up more than 30% in a day. Indices sold off. Semis unwound. The AI trade came apart again. All of it inside the window the models flagged while the index printed highs and the timeline told me they hate me.
Where there’s smoke there’s fire. We found it.
Most of what I see next goes to Aion research now. But I’ll give you three hints below. Somebody has to, and it clearly isn’t going to be the people calling for blue skies at the end of September. 🧵
Deep Inference retweeted
*One more, because I want this on the record early.
I think high beta leads into year end. And on the hourly Aion Index it’s already showing the first signs. That’s its path in white, climbing through the board over the last day of bars.
Look at what’s sliding at the same time. Inverse beta, the defensive groups, energy. Risk coming off the sidelines and the hedges losing rank. It’s early and it’s hourly, so it can reverse... But pay attention to it. With a Santa Rally this year would come gifts... and I know some of you need this badly. 🎅🎅🎅
*Checks where we bottomed*
So here’s where I land, and I want this call to be clear.
The dip buyers bought the seam. The cushion under them expires tomorrow. The next real floor on SPY is 745 next week, QQQ doesn’t have one in frame, and the liquidity tide is still going out for a few more sessions. My guess is we bottom next week, not this week, with chop in between.
Then the setup flips. Everything is beat down going into it. When strength comes back, probably late October, November is strong, December is stronger, and this is a year we get the Santa rally and the everything rally with it. I think easing floods into equities sooner than most people are positioned for.
If you’re doing well this year, congrats. If you’re not, this hasn’t been an easy tape, and you’re not alone. Either way, inside Aion we have had the data and the community to see this coming. And our research just proved itself, again.
Not financial advice. Mathematically driven models.
Deep Inference retweeted
The @SkylitAI circle jerk never ceases to amaze me
Are any of these guys profitable?
Deep Inference retweeted
Subscribe to @AionAnalytics unless you hate winning
Everyone I know outside this community spent October scared.
Inside it, we spent October reading. The warnings, where they fired, what they cost, and what they look like now that the inputs are quietly turning underneath the fear.
I just published Article 5 for members: Drifting Away From Danger. It walks the exact panels the timeline is panicking over and shows what they say when you read them right.
The people in here will open the terminal and see a different market than everyone else. This is Aion.
Deep Inference retweeted
Everyone I know outside this community spent October scared.
Inside it, we spent October reading. The warnings, where they fired, what they cost, and what they look like now that the inputs are quietly turning underneath the fear.
I just published Article 5 for members: Drifting Away From Danger. It walks the exact panels the timeline is panicking over and shows what they say when you read them right.
The people in here will open the terminal and see a different market than everyone else. This is Aion.
Deep Inference retweeted
@AionAnalytics is in a league of its own.
Deep Inference retweeted
I work in finance... im one of those... I can tell you, it does not oversell it. It is well worth $500 a month, and the people behind it are some of the most committed i've seen.
Deep Inference retweeted
$SOXL +22% in 3 days since
Just a crumb of what was in that article...
Code QUANT dies on Oct 31st, You don't want to miss out on the data
Bottom or not?
Article 4 just went live inside AION and it is the most important read of the year you are not reading.
What is in it: the day the window closes, the two scenarios I am deploying into and exactly how, the one vol tell deciding both.
I put my opinion in writing, dated, so it can be graded either way. That is the difference between research and content.
Members are reading it right now. The rest of the timeline finds out after it resolves.
$SPY l $QQQ l $VIX
