$AMZN reports after the close today
Wall Street expects $2.01 EPS and $202.11B revenue, AWS $45.42B
I am watching AWS growth holding near 37%... because that is where the AI spend debate lives
Risk: a soft holiday guide hurts even on a beat
My prediction below 👇
$MSFT reports after the close today. Wall Street expects $4.71 EPS and $90.58B revenue.
Azure is the line I am watching, so 44-45% growth is the bar and the $50B -plus spend is the catch. Even a beat can drop on that spend.
My prediction below 👇
$GEV beat both, EPS $4.81 vs $4.03 est
Revenue $12.64B vs $11.99B est
Guidance got raised to $46.5 - 47.5B and it still fell about 1% so far today
I think that tells you what the market cared about
Risk: the move is still intraday, so it could turn
Why it fell below 👇
Replying to @growthrapidly
and I agree
$DAL guidance
December-quarter Rev. was expected to grow approximately 20% YoY on roughly 3% capacity growth
December-quarter adj. EPS was expected in a range of $1.15 to $1.65, with an operating margin of 7% to 9%
Full-year 2026 adj. EPS guidance was reduced to $5.10–$5.60 from the prior $6.50–$7.50 outlook
Full-year pretax profit was expected to be approximately $4.50B
Full-year free cash flow was expected to be approximately $2.50B
$DAL EPS and revenue takeaways
adj. EPS was pressured by fuel expense that was more than $500M above management’s early-July guidance
Pretax profit held approximately flat despite the fuel shock, implying that Rev. growth and operating execution offset much of the cost pressure
Rev. growth was achieved on flat capacity, pointing to favorable pricing, load-factor and mix effects
Premium and loyalty demand grew faster than the broader business
$DAL bull and bear from the call
Rev. growth substantially outpaced capacity growth, indicating strong pricing and mix
Premium, loyalty, corporate and international demand remained important growth drivers
Higher fuel costs absorbed much of the Rev. growth benefit and kept pretax profit roughly flat YoY
Full-year adj. EPS guidance was reduced materially from the prior outlook
🚨 $DAL Q3 FY2026 Earnings Report is OUT!
Operating Rev.: $17.60B, up 16% YoY 🟢
adj. EPS: $1.72; GAAP net income was $756M, or $1.15 per share 🟡
Operating margin: 9.40% 🟡
Total unit Rev.: up 15.40% YoY 🟢
Fuel expense: up $1.60B YoY 🔴
Operating cash flow: $1.70B 🟡
Year-to-date free cash flow reached $1.90B, while management indicated more than $2B of debt reduction for the year 🟢
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$PENG EPS and revenue takeaways
Non-GAAP EPS strength appears driven by operating leverage rather than one-time financial engineering alone
Reported GAAP EPS was materially higher than the operating view because of a tax benefit, so the quarter’s earnings quality is best assessed on adj. results
Earnings grew faster than Rev., which suggests fixed-cost absorption improved meaningfully in the quarter












