Giving Proper Military Perspective in Different Defense Discussions from the Philippines and the Indo-Pacific region

Zamboanga City, Philippines
Joined September 2019
New on Pitz Defense Analysis website: The Philippine Army successfully received the deliveries of troop transport vehicles from Isuzu Philippines, in consortium with local companies specialized in setting up this configuration. The vehicles provides both logistical and self reliance benefits, as there is abundance of spare parts in the civilian truck market while local companies are available to provide specialized vehicles like this should there be additional orders. Both truck variants, the F series and N series, will help the Philippine Army improve its supply network for both wartime and peacetime purposes, including providing support during natural calamities. More details in the article below. #PDA #PitzDefAnalysis #PhilippineArmy pitzdefanalysis.net/2026/09/…
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Pitz Defense Analysis retweeted
SeaLight Investigation: A Conspiracy Made in 🇨🇳#China Whoever wrote the obviously fake 🇵🇭Teodoro letters thinks in Chinese official lingo, argues like China's foreign ministry and found his distributors among Beijing's friends. Imagine the #Philippines' Harvard Law-trained defense secretary Gilberto Teodoro writing a formal, unclassified letter to an obscure 🇺🇸US Embassy officer -- on official letterhead and over his own signature -- to confess to everything his critics say about him. That's what the "Teodoro letters" ask you to believe, but whoever made them forgot to cut off the "Made in China" tag. The letters don't read like a Filipino official, or frankly anyone proficient in English. They read like Chinese bureaucratese translated word for word from Mandarin. One sentence pairs "complete qualifications" with "good reputation," a stock formula Chinese agencies use when choosing contractors. The May letter calls Washington "the US side", while the Armed Forces of the Philippines is inverted into the "Philippine Armed Forces" by its own Secretary; and what the China Coast Guard does in the West Philippine Sea is referred to as "law enforcement." Oh, and the author has a real problem with the article, "the". Almost as if it was written by someone whose language doesn't have an equivalent. In other words, someone used to reading Chinese accounts in the Chinese language. The July letter even recasts Beijing's own talking points about the July 20 clash as a Teodoro confession. Because that's totally what a highly educated Filipino politician and attorney would do. 🙄 And the people who had the letters first? All friends of Beijing, without exception. The Philippine Department of National Defense says the letters are fake. They clearly are, and they're bad fakes at that ... right down to the 100% identical signatures. The more interesting question is who wrote them. SeaLight Director @GordianKnotRay lays out the evidence, and it points directly back to Beijing. Full investigation at the link in the comments below. 👇
🤖 Made with AI
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Image: There were reports disclosed that the Liaoning Carrier Strike Group of the People's Liberation Army Navy got detected off the coast of Zamboanga City, near Basilan Strait. Apparently, it will be justifiable as the patch of water comes as part of the archipelagic sea lanes set by the Philippines, although this is still a cause of concern given the recent tensions between China and the Philippines. The Armed Forces of the Philippines was made aware of the situation, although its actions will not be disclosed, citing operational security reasons. #PDA #PitzDefAnalysis #LiaoningCSG #SuluSea
Date: 23 October 2026 Geolocation Around: 6.85, 122.05 Several Media Outlets Reported today that China's PLA Navy's "LIAONING" (CVN-16) Aircraft Carrier Has been Spotted Transiting Basilan Strait which is between Zamboanga City and Isabela City in the Sulu Sea of Philippines at Early Hours Today Currently It is believed that 2 vessels are with Liaoning Aircraft Carrier. {Currently Sentinel Did pass today Morning in the Cited Area, unfortunately Extreme Cloud cover around the area due to the adverse effects of Typhoon CHAMPI didn't get any Imagery today}
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Pitz Defense Analysis retweeted
Tinuruan ako ng aking mga magulang na huwag magsalita ng masama laban sa matatanda. Pero since nagmumura na si Lola, let me respond. Una, your statements proved only one thing: kung bakit you were not able to at least be the National Security Adviser kahit one year man lang. Imagine mas galit pa kayo sa akin kaysa sa China. Pangalawa, i can still remember why you asked me bakit kita tinatanong (“Why me?”) about our deployment in the WPS to respond to China’s presence that i have to remind you that you were the chairperson of NTF-WPS during that time. Pangatlo, im wondering bakit mo ako bina-badmouth ngayon. Pero na-realize ko rin: siguro kailangan mo talaga ng support, ang mahal na kasi ng diesel. Pasensya na, maam, di ko na po kayo nabigyan ng gas slips. Anyone who was part of the NTFWPS dyirng her time as NSA would definitely state that she never did anything to stand up for our rights in the WPS. We need to remember that the transparency initiative in the WPS only started when she was replaced and when Gen Eduardo Año took over.
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Pitz Defense Analysis retweeted
A major 🇨🇳#PRC maritime militia rotation has begun in the #SouthChinaSea, with 24 of the large Qiong Sansha Yu ships leaving 3 ports on Hainan Island headed SW toward the Spratly Islands & Scarborough Shoal. Meanwhile, 8 militia ships have left Scarborough toward Hainan. It is likely that we'll see similar departures begin from the Spratlys once the ships headed that way get closer.
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For the first time in the Philippine history, the exchange rate between US Dollar and the Philippine peso hit Php 63.361 per one dollar. This lowest exchange rate between the peso and the dollar will definitely have an effect to the entire modernization efforts of the Armed Forces of the Philippines, as they will find each acquisition projects more expensive now as funding it requires exchange rate considerations for it to function properly, as most of the military hardware bought by the military came from the overseas. Given this disparity, it will give a hard time for the defense planners into getting a project within the approved budget, as the price tag, usually quoted in dollars, might get unbearable especially when budget requests and procurement processes are done in peso. A stronger peso in this case might not happen soon, and it there is a high likelihood that the exchange rate might slip to US$1.00 = PHP 65.00 by the end of the year 2026. #PDA #PitzDefAnalysis #PhilippineDefenseBudget Images originated from various sources. manilastandard.net/business/…
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Here is some details rarely discussed about the Philippine Navy's manpower pool. While it strives to get more personnel as it is through recruitment, it currently does not have enough crew to man them, as it needs to pool some personnel from the Littoral Combat Force just to man its large capital assets. That leaves some small vessels like the Andrada-class insufficiently manned, which itself is problematic as the vessels are still functional for littoral patrol objectives. #PDA #PitzDefAnalysis #PhilippineNavy
With all these positive developments and news, does the Philippine Navy have enough personnel to crew these vessels? Although the expansion is quite rapid, it seems there shouldn't be any issues with manpower supply. At least, that’s my take on it.
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In a disappointing yet not surprising development, the modernization budget proposed by the Department of National Defense for the Revised AFP Modernization Program under Fiscal Year 2027 is at Php 134 billion, of which only Php 50 billion is approved under the National Expenditure Program or NEP. The budgetary concern is always a recurring problem for the department as it embarks on getting multi-billions worth of modernization projects, although their acquisition plans always run short, given the deficiencies highlighted by a small available allotment set aside for its modernization efforts. To take note, the 2027 budget through the current National Expenditure Program (NEP) does not have any available Unprogrammed Appropriations for the Revised AFP Modernization Program, which means that the amount provided will be the only one available for funding the ongoing transformation within the Philippine military. #PDA #PitzDefAnalysis #PhilippineDefenseBudget #RevisedAFPModernizationProgram #DefenseBudget2027 First image from Senate PRIB, subsequent images referenced from various sources.
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Pitz Defense Analysis retweeted
WATCH: Senator JV Ejercito posts a video calling out Chinese Ambassador Jing Quan to “go home”. “West Phillpine Sea is ours. Go home!” Ejercito writes on his Instagram caption. Courtesy: JV Ejercito/Instagram Visit gmanetwork.com/news for more updates.
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Japan's active presentation of the Type 03 air defense system solution to the Philippines comes as just one (1) option for the latter to consider, especially that it aims to expand its air defense capabilities, intended to augment the SPYDER-MR ground based air defense systems from Israel's RAFAEL systems. #PDA @PitzDefAnalysis #PhilippineAirForce #SPYDERMR #Type03AirDefense Read more in an article link below. pitzdefanalysis.net/2024/11/…
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Pitz Defense Analysis retweeted
ALARMED BY PH NAVY? 🇵🇭 At least nine Chinese maritime assets were monitored near Bajo de Masinloc, also known as Scarborough Shoal, in the West Philippine Sea on Friday, October 16. These included four People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) warships, one of which was a supply vessel; two China Coast Guard (CCG) ships; two unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs); and one maritime patrol aircraft. The Philippine Navy’s BRP Miguel Malvar continues conducting maritime patrols around Bajo de Masinloc to uphold the country’s territorial integrity and maritime interests. @ABSCBNNews
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Pitz Defense Analysis retweeted
PCG SUCCESSFULLY DRIVES AWAY CHINESE FISHING VESSEL AND FOUR SMALL BOATS FROM TERRITORIAL SEA OF LAWAK ISLAND The Philippine Coast Guard (PCG), through its personnel stationed on Lawak Island, successfully drove away Chinese fishing vessel (CFV) YUETAIYU 63168 and its four (4) deployed small boats from the territorial sea of Lawak Island on 15 October 2026. This morning, PCG personnel deployed on Lawak Island launched a rubber boat to document and drive away the Chinese fishing vessel, which had been anchored within the territorial sea of the island. Upon arrival at the vessel's location, the PCG team found four (4) small boats scattered in the vicinity, assessed to have been launched from CFV YUETAIYU 63168 and engaged in fishing activities. The PCG team issued repeated radio challenges to the Chinese fishing vessel, circling it three (3) times, but the vessel did not respond. The team then proceeded to drive away the four small boats operating in the area. The PCG team did not leave the area until the Chinese fishing vessel heaved in its anchor and departed. The four small boats were monitored returning to their mother vessel, which then weighed anchor and left the territorial sea of Lawak Island. The PCG team returned to Lawak Island without any untoward incident. Lawak Island is an integral part of the Municipality of Kalayaan, Province of Palawan. Under international law, the Philippines exercises full sovereignty over its territorial sea, where no foreign vessel may fish without authorization. The deployment of small boats from a Chinese mother vessel to conduct fishing activities in these waters is a violation of Philippine laws, including the Philippine Fisheries Code and the Philippine Maritime Zones Act. This operation follows a series of recent operations by the PCG in the Kalayaan Island Group, including the repelling of Chinese Maritime Militia Vessel (CMMV) 9622 and its sampans from Kota Island on 28 September and 09 October 2026, and of five (5) foreign fishing vessels from the same island on 11 October 2026. Under the leadership of PCG Commandant Admiral Ronnie Gil Gavan, the PCG continues to monitor CFV YUETAIYU 63168 for any further movement and will sustain its vigilance against unauthorized fishing and other intrusions by foreign vessels in the Kalayaan Island Group. This operation was carried out in accordance with the guidance of President Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr., who, in his State of the Nation Address on 27 July 2026, vowed that the Philippines will not surrender or waver in defending its territory and maritime rights in the West Philippine Sea, in adherence to international law and the 2016 Arbitral Award.
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🇨🇳China's Imperial Proconsul Speaks: 🇵🇭Filipinos should feel "fortunate" because, "If we want to use force, we may easily win." #China's ambassador to the #Philippines, Jing Quan, told Filipino journalists yesterday that they should "feel fortunate that you have a neighbor like China," explaining that "if we want to use force, we may easily win, but no, we will not choose to use force." This is not the language of a diplomat sent to respectfully negotiate with a sovereign nation, but of a proconsul sent to pacify an unruly colony. In the Roman Empire, a proconsul governed a conquered province, and his job was "pacification"--the Latin word for peace. The empire meant it literally: a province was only "at peace" only when its people stopped resisting imperial rule. A pacification campaign follows a familiar pattern: remind the people how much force you have and present your "restraint" as a gift; demonize those who resist as "troublemakers"; praise and reward the "grateful" locals who cooperate; blame unrest on outside "agitators"; and preach the virtues of accepting the imposed "peace." Observe how Beijing is following its pacification program for the West Philippine Sea: ✅ Threats of force: China says it "will not choose" to use force, yet its coast guard and militia routinely do so. Last October a coast guard ship water-cannoned and rammed a Philippine fisheries vessel anchored off Pag-asa, an island with a civilian population. In July, a Chinese officer struck a Philippine Navy sailor on the head with a baton near Ayungin Shoal. Last month a coast guard ship rammed another fisheries vessel delivering fuel to fishermen just 54 nautical miles off Palawan. Beijing calls this "law enforcement", but the message is explicit: be grateful we're *only* injuring your sailors and damaging your ships. In this narrative, you see, restraint is not a duty under the UN Charter or even the 2002 Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea, but a favor the imperial power grants and can punitively withdraw from ungrateful subjects. ✅ Blaming the troublemakers: Every pacification campaign needs a few rabble-rousers to demagogue and discredit, so it picks a vocal few and makes silencing them the price of “peace.” Foreign Minister Wang Yi laments how "certain forces ... deliberately stir up trouble". The embassy calls Defense Secretary Gilberto Teodoro the "real troublemaker" and accuses Rear Admiral Jay Tarriela of "poisoning public opinion," even asking whether he has "something wrong with his head." The Global Times dismisses them as "a handful of buffoons" and wants Manila to "exercise stricter discipline" over their remarks. ✅ Naming the outside agitators: Empires routinely attribute indigenous resistance to nefarious foreign forces. Moscow called Hungary's 1956 uprising a Western imperialist plot. Beijing blamed Tibet's 2008 protests on the "Dalai clique" and Hong Kong's 2019 protests on America's "black hand." The charge turns patriotic citizens who resist colonial rule into foreign agents & their legitimate grievances into foreign schemes. In the West Philippine Sea, the colonial troublemakers are "parroting external talking points" to "serve the interests of their masters" and "act on the instructions of external forces." ✅ The cooperative locals: A benevolent proconsul rewards “friends” who help pacify the resistance. "Friends of the Chinese Embassy" awards honor cooperative local media figures as well as other civic, business and education leaders. Last year, officials of the Federation of Filipino-Chinese Associations of the Philippines took their oaths of office directly from China's previous ambassador. His successor, Jing Quan, summoned executives from 8 Chinese-language news outlets to the embassy just after arriving, where they pledged to "cooperate closely" with the embassy. At Ateneo University just days ago, Ambassador Jing urged the assembled representatives of universities, Confucius Institutes, Chinese-language schools and community groups to "resolutely do the right thing". ✅ The promised peace: "We love peace," Jing proclaimed, just a week after his coast guard spent nearly 10 hours forcibly obstructing a medical evacuation from Ayungin Shoal--before graciously giving the Philippines "permission" to evacuate its own sailor from its own outpost inside its own exclusive economic zone. Beijing has long pledged to make the South China Sea "a sea of peace, friendship and cooperation," and now calls for a "new narrative" of peace. But peace, in the new-narrative imperial vocabulary, means exactly what it meant for Rome: Philippine waters will be "at peace" when Filipinos stop resisting China's claims to its waters and the legions deployed to pacify them. A diplomat seeks to persuade a sovereign government through respectful negotiation. A proconsul pacifies a population under the ever-present threat of violent action. The Philippine Department of Foreign Affairs noted that the ambassador's "poor choice of words" would "seem to convey a thinly veiled threat of the use of force." The DFA was being very diplomatic. Jing's words were hardly a one-off slip of the tongue. In January, the embassy warned Filipinos to "think about Ukraine, Venezuela, Gaza, and Greenland," and said "the Philippines should feel fortunate to have a neighbor like China." In May, Jing himself made the same argument in print, and this month he said it on camera. That's because in a pacification campaign, the threat of force is central to the message. Pacification follows occupation, and China's occupation of the West Philippine Sea is real and accelerating. The attached maps clearly show the China Coast Guard's sovereignty assertions blanketing the sea across the West Philippine Sea, and now even enveloping the Philippines' northernmost province of Batanes. Beijing is turning to the population on shore to persuade them to accept this maritime occupation as permanent, and to be grateful it isn't even more violent. The Philippines is a sovereign country with its own internationally recognized exclusive economic zone and a binding UN-sanctioned arbitration ruling that upholds its maritime entitlements. Officials who defend these rights are not troublemakers, and Filipinos owe no gratitude to the imperial power that stole their sea. "The Chinese Embassy is not a guest," the embassy wrote this week. "It is the representative of China." I’ve worked in embassies, and we always understood that we were always to speak and behave accordingly, as guests of the countries that accepted our credentials. President Marcos accepted Jing Quan's credentials last December. He was accredited as ambassador to a sovereign nation, not appointed as imperial proconsul to pacify a renegade province.
“We may easily win,” but China says it chooses peace. Chinese amb Jing Quan rejects “troublemaker” tag: “We should feel fortunate enough that you have a neighbor like China in this region. If we want to use force, we may easily win. But no, we’ll not use force. We love peace.”
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The Philippine Coast Guard, together with the Philippine Navy and the Philippine Marine Corps, has successfully removed unauthorized fishing vessels that loiter inside the 12-nautical mile territorial waters off the coast of Kota Island in the West Philippine Sea. This comes as they said vessels were to conduct illegal fishing activities in the area, prompting Philippine authorities to conduct an appropriate course of action to repel the vessels and escort them outside the territorial waters of the island considered part of the Kalayaan Island Group. The actions conducted by the Philippine authorities highlight its mandate for protecting both the maritime domain and the biodiverse marine life that is within Kota Island, while maintaining an active presence in its operations within the Kalayaan Island Group and the West Philippine Sea at-large. #PDA #PitzDefAnalysis #PhilippineCoastGuard #KotaIsland #WestPhilippineSea #KalayaanIslandGroup Image (c) Philippine Coast Guard abs-cbn.com/news/nation/2026…
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Pitz Defense Analysis retweeted
FV101 Scorpion loaded onto a transporter. 12 units will be reactivated to serve both as a training platform and a complement for the bigger and more modern ASCOD 2 Sabrah. The FV101 is light enough to be able to run around and engage in anti-insurgency operations nationwide.
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Official: The Philippine Navy has just renamed the BRP 'Ilocos Norte' into BRP 'Laoag City', corroborating previous reports presented on our social media channels. This come as a Philippine Coast Guard vessel already bears the name of BRP Ilocos Norte, which likely prompted the necessary change of the name on the Philippine Navy's third landing platform dock. Bearing LD603, Indonesian shipbuilder PT PAL aims to accomplish the construction of this ship before the year ends. #PDA #PitzDefAnalysis #PhilippineNavy #PTPAL #BRPLaoagCity (C) @Andy_Febriandy, X (formerly Twitter)
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Images: After 2 years of intensive maintenance and repairs, the sole ship BRP Conrado Yap (PS30) of the Pohang class corvettes bought from South Korea is seen mooring in Macabalan Port, Cagayan de Oro. This suggest that the vessel is now returning back to service after its two years of inactivity, and is now active and ready to serve the Philippine Navy's offshore combat force fleet. There are no details on its area of responsibility for its patrolling, the fact that it is now operational increases the availability of ships needed for deployment. #PDA #PitzDefAnalysis #PhilippineNavy #BRPConradoYap #PohangClassCorvette Images from CDODev.Com Facebook page.
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Does that mean we can't call you "Beijing Annie" anymore?
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It is agreeable that the miniscule of a fleet size of ISR aircraft can only do too much for the Philippine Air Force to operate, something that China can exploit. But this also entails the risk of an escalatory move, which to be honest they already did under the gray zone form of tactics, but it is only a matter of time when the PLAAF will pull something akin to the 2001 incident where a Chinese military jet did hit a US PL-3 surveillance aircraft in the greater South China Sea area, resulting to a full standoff. This means that while China can disrupt or degrade ISR planes, it would do so by risking their aircraft and even an international incident based on a previous precedent already took place. #PDA #PitzDefAnalysis
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