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SingAsia
Joined August 2019
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WΞKα🦧 🦍🐺 retweeted
Tom DeMark of @DeMarkAnalytics on ethereum:native
"We expect, last week’s sharp one-day rally was a likely preview of the pending advance.”
👀👀👀👀
Replying to @BitMNR
3/
Tom DeMark, founder of DeMark Analytics and a capital markets advisor to Bitmine is expecting ETH to make a sharp upward move in coming weeks.
According to Tom DeMark,
➡️ “In August, ETH moved sideways without a downside break and the 12-day metric expired, which implies a renewal of the upside move.
➡️ We believe this further supports the continuation of the prior uptrend.
➡️ We expect, last week’s sharp one-day rally was a likely preview of the pending advance.”
WΞKα🦧 🦍🐺 retweeted
Replying to @liron
I take the opposite side of that.
My basic reasons are that I am quite optimistic about cybersecurity in the long term and I see the primary problem as being getting the transition, and I expect BTC to handle at least any issues that do not require social consensus well (upgrading clients, mining pools, etc to deal with network-layer hacks is in this category) (and I think the probability of actual breaks on hashes or PoW is tiny)
I would offer a bet, but given what my holdings are I'm basically taking this bet (I assume you believe the same re ETH) with ~90% of my net worth already 😀
WΞKα🦧 🦍🐺 retweeted
Replying to @danroberts0101 @IREN_Ltd
I think the $25-$30b capex figure could have been better communicated at the EC.
The real funding “gap” is just $3-$8b once you account for customer prepayments & GPU related financing. Yet nowhere on the presentation slide was that figure highlighted.
The figure with the largest font and most visual presence was the $25-$30b capex headline, which is what most people naturally gravitate towards if you highlight it in that way.
And since $IREN is perceived as this dilution machine, many investors predictably jump to the wrong conclusions as a result.
This might appear trivial but you gotta understand that $IREN is looked upon with a great deal of skepticism from Wall Street and investors at large. We can argue about why that’s the case, but it’s irrefutable.
MS doesn’t even cover you guys, while JPM just recently published a terrible report on $IREN. I have come across plenty of anecdotal testimonials from Wall Street folks who claim most of their colleagues don’t take you guys serious at all.
If that’s the setup you are facing, you should go above and beyond to “own the narrative” and spoon feed the market. Don’t leave anything up for imagination, because most investors will assume the worst.
This also relates to IREN’s consecutive ARR misses at Prince George that have gone completely unaddressed by management.
As a result the wide spread perception is that IREN isn’t up to par with the rest of the industry and is perceived as “slow” or unreliable in terms of giving guidance. Same story for the H1 delivery delay that originally was targeted for Q2.
The irony is that hidden in the recent 10k filing you named “delays in NVIDIA related equipment” as the reason for the H1 delay. Why wasn’t that communicated to investors as early as the May EC, when you moved the Horizon delivery timeline up one quarter?
I understand that you don’t want to throw your supply chain partners under the bus, but not saying anything is even worse. The market is skeptical and a complete lack of transparency on these matters REALLY doesn’t help.
$IREN continues to fall short on the IR / comms front. I (and many others) have raised that issue for over a year and nothing has changed since.
From an optics / IR perspective, $IREN is bottom of the barrel, which is a shame since it has all the right ingredients to craft a much stronger investor perception.
I think when the stock rallied aggressively last year, you mistook that for your IR / comms effort working. That was clearly not the case. 2025 was a retail driven rally spearheaded by a vocal retail shareholder base that spread the good word on your behalf.
It’s getting painfully obvious to anyone, but $IREN management themselves, that IR has to step up its game.
OWN THE NARRATIVE!
Dan just addressed every $IREN bear concern directly.
$684M loss - mostly non-cash. Cost of retiring Bitcoin miners as sites convert to AI Cloud.
$25-30B FY27 capex - not an equity number. Customer prepayments cover ~half the GPU capex. Lenders fund most of the rest. Only ~$3B of $19B raised in 12 months was equity.
87% gross margins on the cloud business ex D&A.
$4B contracted ARR. Three sites commissioning by EOY.
2026 is the setup. 2027 is the ramp.
It’s delivery time.
A few people have Thursday's numbers tangled, so let me untangle them.
The majority of the $684m loss is the cost of retiring Bitcoin miners as we convert those sites to AI Cloud. Non-cash. The cloud business underneath ran ~87% gross margins (ex D&A).
Every megawatt that comes off mining goes back on at multiples of the revenue. Recent 3-year AI Cloud contracts are at >$20m per MW (IT), more than double late last year.
And the $25-30bn of forecasted FY27 capex isn't an equity number. Customer prepayments can cover about half the GPU capex. Lenders can fund most of the rest. We raised ~$19bn over the last twelve months and only ~$3bn of it was equity. We haven't borrowed a dollar against the data centers yet either.
$4bn of ARR is contracted, with three sites commissioning between now and year end to bring it online. And that's the 2026 story. The real ramp is 2027, when Sweetwater and the next wave of capacity come into play.
It's delivery time.
WΞKα🦧 🦍🐺 retweeted
I still believe Applied Optoelectronics $AAOI could be trading at around $400-500 in 1 year if the management execution is sound and they deliver on their guidance of $471M monthly revenue by mid-2027 (or $5.65B ARR).
Dilution has always been a risk, they have done multiple ATM offerings already this year so it should not come as a surprise, and I bet they'll be doing atleast one more in 2026.
The upside is massive, but the risks are also present. It's why I'm not oversizing on $AAOI in my port, despite being bullish on it.
WΞKα🦧 🦍🐺 retweeted
Every new AI data center creates more demand for AI, not less. That's what people referring to past booms keep getting wrong about this one.
Better AI needs more computing power to run. Cheaper AI gets used more, not less. And every step change in capability creates use cases that didn't exist a year ago.
Demand grows at the speed of software, but supply cannot. Supply grows at the speed of the real world: power connections, transmission lines, concrete, steel, and the thousands of people it takes to build.
In past booms, technology helped supply catch up. This time, technology is on the other side of the equation. It's fueling exponential demand, and the real world can't build fast enough to keep up.
WΞKα🦧 🦍🐺 retweeted
Well well well, I guess my "rumor" was backed by evidence after all, right @jiahanjimliu ?
$IREN DELIVERED HORIZON 1 LAST WEEK AND $MSFT ACCEPTED IT TODAY AFTER THE TEAM FIXED A MICROSCOPIC LAST ITEM IN 1 DATA HALL FOR INSURANCE PURPOSES.
GPUs HAVE BEEN RUNNING ALL THE TIME 🔥
WΞKα🦧 🦍🐺 retweeted
Something I haven't seen anyone mention on the memory trade that should be noted.
Both $SKHY (000660) and Samsung (005930) laid down serious weekly hammer candles two weeks ago, but more importantly it was on the highest weekly volume in 5 years. This is significant.
WΞKα🦧 🦍🐺 retweeted
🚨 $AAOI options flow, the whole story.
FinTwit is melting down over one $540K put bought today, calling it the smart-money bear signal.
So I pulled every print over $475k this week (June 15-June 18.) The tape is NOT bearish. It’s overwhelmingly BULLISH🟢 and the put everyone’s panicking about is a lottery ticket. 👀
Let me walk you through it. 🧵
WΞKα🦧 🦍🐺 retweeted
LMAO, $sats liability is GONE. GONE! 😎
Just in 30 mins ago.
TLDR:
🔸$sats owe FCC $2.9 Billion.
🔸If Auction 113 raises ~$2.921 billion or more, EchoStar owes $0
It’s $3.1 Billion now 😎
Project out the rest of the spectrum echostar owns. Markets are pricing in ZERO 😂
Once in a blue moon, market hands you free money.
Do a simple search on $sats and the amount of attention is stock getting is minimal.
This is what you want.
When consensus agrees, you get out.
WΞKα🦧 🦍🐺 retweeted
New $IREN Deep Dive
Our new $IREN deep dive is finally live!
It's honestly the most comprehensive report we have ever released and something I'm firmly convinced will age like fine wine.
Even though it goes into great depth, it's written in a way that virtually every investor can understand. I purposefully went light on industry and finance jargon, and whenever I did use technical terms I made sure to explain them properly.
This time around I've also unlocked the entire first chapter for free Substack subscribers to read.
So if you're on the fence, I encourage you to read the first pages to get a sense of the depth and analytical quality you can expect from the rest of the deep dive.
I'm sure every $IREN shareholder, analyst, or investor curious about the company will derive great value from this deep dive.
I very much appreciate everyone's patience. This one took a while.
Enjoy! ✌️
agrippa.investments/p/irens-…
WΞKα🦧 🦍🐺 retweeted
$IREN I think people are missing the bigger picture a bit here.
The NVDA rights only vest as 600k GPUs are actually deployed, so it’s not like IREN just handed away value upfront for nothing. NVIDIA only really benefits if IREN successfully scales.
And NVDA isn’t just some passive investor. They influence chip supply, deployment timelines, technical support, customer conversations, ecosystem credibility, and even financing confidence. That alignment can materially impact both the probability and pace of value creation.
Also worth thinking about the counterfactual. What is IREN worth without this level of NVIDIA alignment? The AI infra space has other players trying to scale into the ecosystem. Having NVIDIA strategically aligned potentially creates a real competitive advantage around access, execution speed, credibility, and customer acquisition.
Keeping 100% ownership of a slower, less certain path isn’t necessarily better than owning slightly less of a platform that scales much faster and more successfully.
So the real question isn’t just dilution in isolation, it’s whether partnering closely with NVIDIA meaningfully increases the odds of IREN becoming a top-tier AI infrastructure platform. I think it clearly does.
CONGRATS TO TEAM IREN!
WΞKα🦧 🦍🐺 retweeted
So far so good for #Ethereum.
WΞKα🦧 🦍🐺 retweeted
That’s oil on left and S&P futures on right. Half-life of Trump jawboning is about 30 seconds now.
WΞKα🦧 🦍🐺 retweeted
This is the biggest story in finance. Yet few are aware what's happening.
Record day for $STRC.
$409M - Daily Traded Volume (highest ever)
3% - 30D Volatility (lowest ever)
$99.78 - 1M VWAP (highest ever)









































