The risk intelligence network. Built on Bittensor $TAO SN30. https://xitter.cf/t.co/IpGc4zYdsq
Bittensor
Joined April 2026
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Endure, $TAO SN30, is live on mainnet!
Risk intelligence that is competitive, outcome-scored, and auditable is here.
Read the full picture: xitter.cf/EndureNet/status/21074…
14 rounds since Oct 4, and every one scored between 93.6% and 97.1%. This week’s average consensus score, Oct 11 to 17: 95.7%.
It’s still a short record, but a steady one. Over the week, miners with published forecasts went from 208 to 245, and every round had a published consensus for every coordinate.
Risk, with receipts: dashboard.endure.network
Endure Network retweeted
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4 Trading Rounds. Fresh Leaderboards. Maximum Performance on @pharos_network.
Trading Competition: Round 1 is officially OPEN!
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💚 5× Multiplier on Inner-Curve net buys
💚 Top 200 Leaderboard + Qualified Trader Pool
💚 Ends: Oct 29 (10:00 UTC)
🏁 Trade Now: app.pros-per.xyz/campaign
A forecast can’t be wrong until reality has had time to answer.
That’s why Pending and a dash on the dashboard never count against the score. Missing consensus is the only empty state that does.
Pending means the outcome isn’t known yet: a 5-day forecast needs its 5 days to play out before it can be scored. A dash means a horizon has no resolved results yet, so the dashboard leaves it empty instead of inventing a number.
Missing consensus is different. If a coordinate resolved but no consensus was published for it, it goes into the average as a zero. Voided outcomes, the ones the validator marks void, are excluded from scoring.
Under 1%. That’s the typical gap between Endure’s liquidity depth forecast and what actually happened.
It’s the median across 15 subnets and 12 rounds (Oct 4 to 15), on the 5-day horizon. Liquidity depth is the time-weighted average $TAO reserve of a pool.
On Oct 15, the SN107 forecast was about 20,639 $TAO and the realized value about 20,354 $TAO, a 1.4% miss.
Every round’s forecasts and outcomes are public.
Every position has a risk number behind it: a credit line, a derivatives book, a portfolio, a treasury. That number mostly comes from a model or a committee, and its track record is rarely public.
Endure turns it into a competition: forecasters put risk estimates on the line, a network scores them against reality, and the best forecasters earn the weight. Today that runs on 15 subnets, every day, and it’s where we start.
The loop is built for exposures that can be written down as numbers and checked later.
Endure Network retweeted
Bittensor has one of the most active token economies in crypto. Emissions flow, Alpha accumulates, and validators and miners earn. But most of that capital still has nowhere to go without selling.
Forge is being built to change that. Alpha will become collateral, $TAO suppliers will earn more than root yield, and protocol revenue will flow back to @EndureNet, the risk intelligence network that will gradually inform how Forge parameters are set over time.
The capital is already in Bittensor. Forge will put it to work. Mainnet coming.
To get on the board, start with the miner docs: docs.endure.network/build/mi…
Scoreboard: dashboard.endure.network/
One miner leads the SN30 scoreboard at 0.80 out of 1. The next 22 sit at 0.72, within 0.0001 of each other.
248 active miners are ranked, and every hotkey and score is public. Everyone on the board started from zero.
Endure is live on mainnet, and the first week we’re reporting is in: seven rounds, Oct 4 to 10, with an average score of 95.5%.
Scores climbed from Oct 4 to 6, then held just under that peak through Oct 10. Four rounds are too few to call it a plateau, and every new round adds to the picture.
This week shows the loop working end-to-end for the network: forecasts published, outcomes arrived, and every one of the 420 values scored against what actually happened.
95.5% is a 0 to 100 protocol score across 420 consensus values, not a hit rate. Each value is compared with what actually happened over the next 5 days, and a missing consensus counts as zero. None were missing.
Round by round: dashboard.endure.network
If a subnet’s worst price drop reads 8%, that is not an 8% chance of anything.
On the Endure dashboard, “Worst price drop” is a size. It’s the consensus forecast of how far the price falls from a peak at the worst point of the window, shown as a percentage. The window is whichever view you pick, 5 or 30 days.
So a bigger number means a deeper forecast fall, and it says nothing about how likely that fall is. It’s also a forecast, not what happened. We score that part separately, against realized outcomes.
Endure Network retweeted
Protocol revenue usually flows one way: toward the team or treasury.
Forge routes more than 50% of it back to the network underneath.
SN30 Alpha buybacks are funded by lending activity, strengthening the incentives that attract better risk intelligence contributors to @EndureNet over time.
We checked Endure’s risk forecasts against what actually happened.
Each day, miners forecast the worst 5-day drop for 15 subnets. Once the 5 days pass, we compare. 62 of 75 forecasts were at least as big as the real drop. The other 13 were smaller.
That’s five rounds, Oct 4 to 8. Many of the higher forecasts ran well above what happened, and closing that gap is the next thing to watch.
Every round is scored against realized outcomes: dashboard.endure.network/
If you are new to Endure, or have been following for a while and want the full picture in one place, this is it.
Endure 101 walks through the problem, how the network works, the design principles behind it, and where @ForgeLending fits in.
$TAO SN30.
Endure’s latest three scored rounds averaged 95.0%, each one higher than the last, while participation kept growing.
Three rounds is a small sample, so we’re reading it as an early signal, not a conclusion. The design bet is that a consensus built from many forecasters, scored against what actually happens, gets sharper over time. This is the first data we have on it.
No coordinate went without a published consensus, and a missing one counts as a miss.
Thank you to the miners and validators making these rounds possible. These scores exist because you showed up and put forecasts on the line.
Round by round, with receipts: dashboard.endure.network
In lending, risk starts with what the market is built on.
Good to see Forge building its foundations with @taodotcom as it works toward bringing Alpha collateral to mainnet.
$TAO SN30.
We're partnering with @taodotcom to bring Alpha collateral to mainnet.
Forge will build on top of tao.com's wstAlpha wrappers. Building on existing, audited, and trusted infrastructure means starting from solid ground on day one.
Glad to have @taodotcom as a foundational part of Forge.
Endure is live on mainnet, and now you can check it yourself.
The new dashboard follows SN30 on mainnet: network state, miner commits, and consensus accuracy, each backed by a source you can verify.
Explore it: dashboard.endure.network
Risk, with receipts. Because risk intelligence should be something you can check, not something you have to trust.
$TAO SN30.
