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🗳️ Midterms AI trade-ийг эрсдэлд оруулах уу?
Америкийн midterms-ийн дараах зах зээлийн уналт, дата төвийн бодлого, AI-ийн эрэлт ба хөрөнгө оруулалтын дараагийн алхам. Gina Hinojosa, Tom Lee, Cathie Wood, Ron Baron нарын ярилцлага болон миний дүгнэлт.
Мөлжүүртэй Булан
moljuurtei.com
ACM Research ($ACMR) reported $367.7 million in Q3 sales on November 5, up 36.6%, and said it had shipped a production panel plater in October. The August thesis was that more of the equipment budget would follow the way chips are assembled: every new layer adds surfaces to clean and connections to plate, and rectangular carriers give some large packages a better fit at the edge. The quarter added evidence on both fronts. Cleaning went from a 14.2% Q2 decline to 16.1% Q3 growth, while plating, furnaces and other tools grew 82.9%. Management raised 2026 sales guidance to $1.24–$1.28 billion, but GAAP gross margin fell to 41.5% from 42.0%. The case for a broader equipment business is stronger. Repeat panel orders, new tool qualification and steadier margins are the tests ahead. China concentration, export controls and the terms on which cash can move from the Shanghai subsidiary still matter to Nasdaq shareholders.
moljuurtei.com/blog/acmr-bey…
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Засгийн газрын танилцуулсан захидалд Оюу толгой 2027 онд ногдол ашиг хуваарилахаар төлөвлөж буйг дурджээ. Эзэмшлийн хувиар хуваарилахад төрийн 34%-д 3 их наяд ₮ ногдвол нийт дүн 8.8 их наяд ₮ орчим болно. Дараагийн баримт: баталсан дүн, төлөх огноо.
mongolia.gov.mn/news/view/27…
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On Holding-ийн III улирлын борлуулалт 17.2% өсөж, 931.4 сая швейцар франкт хүрлээ. Нийт ашгийн хувь 72.6%, АНУ-ын гаалийн татварын буцаан олголтыг хасвал 66.9% байв.
moljuurtei.com/news/news-on-…
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Барааны худалдааны ашиг эхний 10 сард $6.89 тэрбумд хүрчээ. ГЕГ-ын ес, аравдугаар сарын тайланг тулгахад аравдугаар сард $413 саяар нэмэгдсэн нь эхний есөн сарын дунджаас ($719 сая) 43% бага байна.
gov.mn/news/n/e4a7
gov.mn/news/n/c8fe
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Sell your $NVDA guys since it is such a bubble and Jensen is such a bad person.
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Enkhmanal 🟠 retweeted
Reasons not to hike rates at all, let alone 50bps:
1. Oil just crashed 20%
2. CPI is backward-looking
3. Inflation is at the average of the last 40 years
4. Stocks crashed last week
5. It's one print. An ugly print, but one print, and the Fed shouldn't be making decisions based on one data point
6. Inflation was a lot higher in 2021 and there was no urgency then, why, I wonder, does everyone have religion about this all of a sudden?
7. You never hike into a supply shock
8. Everyone knows this is about politics
9. Everyone knows Warsh is strongly disliked
10. And Warsh is a proxy for Trump
11. Copper just broke the uptrend
12. A 50bp move is for emergencies. Nothing here constitutes an emergency.
13. See my previous tweet
Nope, it was a fake breakout. Ideally, we want $SPY to avoid even touching $745.
Looks like the market is starting to resolve higher from the wedge. $SPY
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If $NVDA somehow drops to $150, I think it would be an amazing buying opportunity.
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Historically, November has been a strong month for Bitcoin miners. $MARA is showing some impressive strength today, up over 10%.
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