Eric Roseman (@EricMRoseman) header
Eric Roseman (@EricMRoseman) profile picture

Thoughts my own. SVP Sales & Partnerships, Fmr CRO @Xealenergy (Electric Vehicle software), Fmr @LPC_Ventures, Fmr @CBRE, ✡️, Writer, Biker 🏂🚵🏻🏕🌌🌃

Always Outside My Swim Lane
Joined February 2009
Photo by Eric Roseman (@EricMRoseman)Photo by Eric Roseman (@EricMRoseman)Photo by Eric Roseman (@EricMRoseman)Photo by Eric Roseman (@EricMRoseman)Photo by Eric Roseman (@EricMRoseman)Photo by Eric Roseman (@EricMRoseman)Photo by Eric Roseman (@EricMRoseman)Photo by Eric Roseman (@EricMRoseman)Photo by Eric Roseman (@EricMRoseman)Photo by Eric Roseman (@EricMRoseman)
If you want to sound smart, start every sentence with “Fundamentally…”
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The single most conclusive, summative and empathetic statement: ‘IYKYK’
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Eric Roseman retweeted
I need to buy more stock in this company. I’ve never seen such a commitment to making money regardless of the consequences.
Jacob is correct here—we really do earnestly believe AI could kill all humans! I personally think it is >10% within the next decade. I believe Anthropic is trying its best, but we do not yet have a plan to solve alignment for superintelligence and are not clearly on track to.
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Eric Roseman retweeted
We are partnering with Palantir to bring trusted AI cloud infrastructure to Palantir’s commercial customers. Palantir has named Nebius its preferred sovereign AI infrastructure partner. Nebius compute and inference endpoints will run inside the Palantir enterprise perimeter – giving customers control over their compute, data, and models. The partnership is based on a shared vision that open models, continually adapted using customers’ own data, can deliver better domain-specific intelligence while improving control and security. Read the full press release: nebius.com/newsroom/palantir…
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Asked ChatGPT to identify "7 Anti-Powers" (in the vein of Hamilton Helmer's framework) that explain why certain types of businesses and industries generate persistently subnormal returns on capital (where the subnormal returns should, in theory, spur individual and collective responses that improve the situation, but this fails to happen). Great list here:
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Eric Roseman retweeted
Everyone is talking about what Cybercab and autonomous vehicles means for the future of transportation. I want to talk about what it means for real estate. Here is a site plan of a 76 unit apartment project we just finished in Dallas. It is leasing up now. Look at the site plan. Half the land is surface parking. That is how many small(ish) apartment buildings have been designed for decades. Cities used to require it. Many, including Dallas, are now getting rid of parking minimums. But that does not change much on its own. We will keep building as much parking as our renters demand. So will every other developer. Renters bring cars (especially in Texas). So the parking stays until the cars change. Here is what we did differently. The building and the parking lot are two legally separate tax parcels. If the parking is no longer needed, we can build on the lot without touching the building. On this site that means another 70 to 80 apartments. No new land. No acquisition cost. Same property, roughly double the units. And you may not even need robotaxis to get there. You just need cars smart enough to park themselves. Door to door. Bumper to bumper. Drop me off under the porte cochere, then go park yourself in a parking structure in a cheaper part of town. Half the parking field disappears right there. Now run that across a whole city. Every surface lot. Every oversized parking field. Every empty corner of a multifamily site. Each one becomes a development opportunity if the need for parking change drastically. More housing. Less asphalt. More housing where people want to live. Waymo, Zoox, and Robotaxi arriving in Dallas matters more than most people think. Robot cars do not just change how people move. They may change what we build and where it is built.
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Happy 50th birthday to one of my all-time favorite investors And business minds, @chamath I first started following Chamath during his SPAC days and didn't think much of him other than a ruthless capitalist, but then I started listening to the All-In podcast on a weekly basis and was immediately drawn to Chamath's worldview. I love how ruthlessly candid he is and how articulate he is at explaining super complex concepts. I love his reframing of the things that are most important in whatever topic they're discussing. Chamath has such a strong grip on complexity and his ability to focus on the main thing. His rags-to-riches American dream story is truly inspiring, and admittedly, whenever I feel self loathing or pity, his learn-from-mistakes-and-move-on mentality quickly reframe my worldview. He's a true lifelong learner. I'm inspired by his curiosity, and one of the highlights of 2024 was getting a chance to FaceTime him in Vegas while playing a poker hand with Jason Kuhn. I'll never forget that! lnkd.in/guah2PzE Happy birthday my man!
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Remember when you invited someone to a meeting ‘to take notes’
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Eric Roseman retweeted
I will believe AI is driving productivity gains in the old economy when a front desk person checks me into a hotel with less than fifteen hundred keystrokes and mouse clicks.
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Eric Roseman retweeted
There's a physicist at Stanford named Safi Bahcall who modeled this exact principle and the math is wild. He calls it "phase transitions in human networks." When you're stationary, your probability of a lucky event is limited to your existing surface area: the people you already know, the places you already go, the ideas you've already been exposed to. Your opportunity window is fixed. When you move, your collision rate with new nodes in a network increases nonlinearly. Double your movement (new conversations, new cities, new projects) and your probability of a serendipitous encounter doesn't double. It roughly quadruples. Because each new node connects you to their entire network, not just to them. Richard Wiseman ran a 10-year study at the University of Hertfordshire tracking self-described "lucky" and "unlucky" people. The single biggest differentiator wasn't IQ, education, or family money. Lucky people scored significantly higher on one trait: openness to experience. They talked to strangers more, varied their routines more, and said yes to invitations at nearly twice the rate. The "unlucky" group followed the same routes, ate at the same restaurants, and talked to the same 5 people. Their networks were closed loops. No new inputs, no new collisions. Luck isn't random. Luck is surface area. And surface area is a function of movement. The lobster emoji is doing more work than most people realize. Lobsters grow by shedding their shell when it gets too tight. The growth requires a period of total vulnerability. No protection, no armor, soft body exposed to the ocean. That's the cost of movement nobody posts about. You have to be uncomfortable first. The new shell only hardens after you've already moved.
a moving man will meet his luck 🥀
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Eric Roseman retweeted
Alex Honnold taking a selfie at the top of Taipei 101 after free soloing the skyscraper. UNBELIEVABLE!!! #SkyscraperLIVE
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Eric Roseman retweeted
We've talked a lot about this on the Pod, but the Great SaaS Meltdown has started and there's no going back. What exactly is happening? In short, hi growth, low/no profitability SaaS is no longer a winning strategy because the big question mark is the durability of that growth in the short term and, because of AI, the lack of profits in the long term. Every SaaS company has sold the dream (to investors and employees) that they will growth quickly now, and harvest lots of cash later. With AI, this assumption may be completely out the window. Now the threshold question is whether their growth will be overtaken by a much cheaper AI-developed solution? If you are a venture supported SaaS startup and are a legacy Heuristics+APIs+CRUD product, it is likely that a new AI oriented workflow is coming for you. Investors in private markets can see this now and think that money to fund short term growth will not be rewarded. Investors in public markets no longer believe long term profitability is possible. They would rather pivot into something they think is more resilient. This is a change in the risk calculus that has existed for the past 15 years and why the chart below is the chart below. Good luck to all the players!
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I’d like to know the sales numbers for 1H’24 for VPN products in Texas
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Nothing lights you up more than talking Oil & Gas @fortworthchris (You were kid in a candy store talking to George Young) I think you like it more than RE
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My kid is Houdini getting out of a swaddle
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I think the thing that will be the catalyst to tipping the margin for most home owners to sell in 2024: They no longer can afford home insurance and their property taxes This will be the story of Spring 2024
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Useful goal: make 20 calls today. Useless goal: make $100k this year Work your tail off and see where it leads you.
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Why I never understood getting an MBA for any other reason than meeting more people @SahilBloom
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Scariest thing about watching @netflix World War II doc is that I don’t think current world leaders learned the lesson…
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