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Election twitter is dominated by 22 year old socialists and woke 40 year old prediction market traders.
@keendawg and @Domahhhh debate whether it's time to rebalance their highly-Democratic skewing portfolios.
-- Prices are moving towards Blue tsunami-level outcomes
-- Are they reflecting the view of a too online crowd...
--- Or are they accurately forecasting a GOP wiepout?
-- Is it time to take some profits --
@Domahhhh: "You constantly want to be reassessing where your bets are, what the current price is, if your price has been met and if you should move it to a better opportunity."
Trading the early vote is a trap for 90% of you. Be very careful.
@LoganR2WH: "The vast majority of people looking at this come in with an outcome they want to see and they find the evidence for that outcome.
And it is incredibly hard to do because it is a moving target based off of parameters that change wildly election to election."
Eventual retweeted
Had a great time talking with guys at @EventualNews. Hit the polling situation, early voting numbers, and the true "Bell" weather counties! Check it out and give them a follow.
TODAY:
🤠 The TX early vote. Is it really Talarico?
🗳️ OH, GA, & FL heat check
📬 Midterm mailbag
w/ @LoganR2WH, @gwfulce, @Domahhhh, and @keendawg
xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1lJQRWbAy…
The early vote in TX, OH & more | Garrett Fulce xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1lJQRWbAy…
TODAY:
🤠 The TX early vote. Is it really Talarico?
🗳️ OH, GA, & FL heat check
📬 Midterm mailbag
w/ @LoganR2WH, @gwfulce, @Domahhhh, and @keendawg
xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1lJQRWbAy…
You love to see the OGs coming home. Dabbundo, we have been here for you. We will always be here for you.
Last call for the @GinaHinojosaTX rocketship.
LOTTO play that is getting HOT.
From our OCT 6 episode:
@keendawg: "Abbott is running for his fourth term. I don't think anyone in America wants a fourth term for you unless you're George Washington."
Brian: "Gun to my head, she probably doesn't win. There are going to be Republicans who are disgusted by Paxton, but still vote for Abbott. It's just a question of how many."
Brian: "I think it's probably worth mid 30s, maybe mid 30s."
@keendawg: "I wouldn't want to get into that over 30 cents, but at a 4X multiple, that's a good way to catch a long tail of a good year for Dems."
🔼 33c on @Polymarket 🔽
Scandals change elections when they confirm what people already thought.
Vibes: You might be a scumbag
Scandal: You are a scumbag
@GaetenD has it here
And it's why Vivek is a sinking ship
Axios: Vivek Ramaswamy doubles down on explosive ad featuring rival's mother, despite backlash
Vivek Ramaswamy's campaign for Ohio governor is pouring $4 million into a bombshell ad in which his opponent's estranged mother attacks her daughter — doubling down on the message despite fierce bipartisan backlash.
axios.com/2026/10/21/ramaswa…
National pundits think Democrat Rob Sand has Iowa in the bag.
But local journalist @LauraRBelin disagrees.
“I see a lot of irrational exuberance about Rob Sand. I do not think he has this locked up at all.”
📈 Market odds: 85%
