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Felix

@Felix__archive

I research AI infrastructure and growth stocks. Earnings, valuation and the risks behind the headlines. Writing Archive Invest.

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Joined June 2024
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$SMCI is worth around $21.65B. Tomorrow they report a single quarter of $18.5B to $19.5B in sales, up from $5.0B a year ago. They had guided $14.5B to $15.5B. At about 7x forward earnings, the market seems to think this quarter can't repeat.
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What gets $UBER from $70.13 today to my price target of $125 by the end of 2028? My base case assumes $5.00 in FY 28' EPS. Apply 25× P/E and you get $125 per share, or 78% upside from today.
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What gets $MU from $799.30 today to my price target of $1,600 by the end of 2028? My base case assumes $200 in 29' EPS. Apply 8× P/E and you get $1,600 per share, or 100% upside from today.
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What gets $KRKNF from $2.47 today to my price target of $5.10 by the end of 2028? My base case assumes $663M in FY2028 sales. At 3× sales, that’s $1.989B in equity value. Divide by 390M shares and you get $5.10 per share, or 106% upside from today.
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BANK OF AMERICA CUTS AMD PRICE TARGET TO $650 FROM $720 I mean … $AMD
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Did you know? $LITE reported $1.263B of revenue for the quarter ended September 26, up 136.5% from $533.8M a year earlier. Its next-quarter revenue guide is $1.575B–$1.625B, another 27% sequential increase at the midpoint.
Native Fiscal.ai chart of Lumentum quarterly revenue in USD millions: Jun2025 480.7, Sep2025 533.8, Dec2025 665.5, Mar2026 808.4, Jun2026 1006.3, Sep2026 1262.6. Actual results only. Linear axis starts at zero. Native attribution preserved. Captured November3,2026.

ALT Native Fiscal.ai chart of Lumentum quarterly revenue in USD millions: Jun2025 480.7, Sep2025 533.8, Dec2025 665.5, Mar2026 808.4, Jun2026 1006.3, Sep2026 1262.6. Actual results only. Linear axis starts at zero. Native attribution preserved. Captured November3,2026.

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Besides the fact that it looks cheap Just look at their fwd EV/EBIT, only 19x times Current expectations for Q3: their first + operating income Q They are expected to post earnings this Thursday after the bell $AAOI nitter.gq/stock_analysisx/status…
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StockAnalysis.com (@stock_analysisx) profile pictureStockAnalysis.com
@stock_analysisxNov 3
$AAOI’s normalized EPS is forecast to grow 1210% from 2026 to 2028. 2026E: $0.68 2027E: $4.60 2028E: $8.91 The stock trades at 13.6x the 2027 estimate, 73% below its all-time high.
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Just saw this interesting forward looking multiple of $CBRS on @Fiscal_ai Apparently, FY2028s fwd EV/EBITDA is 4.8 And it's fwd EV/EBIT is around 7 I feel like $CBRS deserves a proper deep dive
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$PLTR reported $2.313B of Q3 revenue, up 96%. Its new Q4 revenue guide is $2.649B–$2.653B, implying about 88% growth from Q4 2025. The prior outlook implied roughly 72% if Q3 landed at its guided midpoint. Those assumptions have now changed.
Native Fiscal.ai column chart of Palantir quarterly revenue in USD millions. Q2 2025:1003.7; Q3:1181.1; Q4:1406.8; Q1 2026:1632.6; Q2:1935.5; Q3:2313.4. Actual results, not forecasts. Linear axis begins at zero. Exported November3,2026 with native attribution.

ALT Native Fiscal.ai column chart of Palantir quarterly revenue in USD millions. Q2 2025:1003.7; Q3:1181.1; Q4:1406.8; Q1 2026:1632.6; Q2:1935.5; Q3:2313.4. Actual results, not forecasts. Linear axis begins at zero. Exported November3,2026 with native attribution.

Felix (@Felix__archive) profile pictureFelix@Felix__archiveNov 2
$PLTR reports after the close today. Its last full-year revenue guide implies slower Q4 growth than Q2 if Q3 lands at the guided midpoint. The new annual outlook is the number to watch. Here's the arithmetic.
News card: Palantir, The guide is the test. Authentic archival photograph of Alex Karp at a meeting with Ecuador President Daniel Noboa in Davos on January21,2026. Karp is cropped from the original meeting photo and placed beside a white headline panel. This is not a photograph of November earnings. Photo: Isaac Castillo / Presidency of Ecuador, released by its author with the Public Domain Mark. Source: https://www.flickr.com/photos/presidenciaecuador/55053421059/ . Original provenance retained; no AI imagery.

ALT News card: Palantir, The guide is the test. Authentic archival photograph of Alex Karp at a meeting with Ecuador President Daniel Noboa in Davos on January21,2026. Karp is cropped from the original meeting photo and placed beside a white headline panel. This is not a photograph of November earnings. Photo: Isaac Castillo / Presidency of Ecuador, released by its author with the Public Domain Mark. Source: https://www.flickr.com/photos/presidenciaecuador/55053421059/ . Original provenance retained; no AI imagery.

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$SHOP reported Q3 revenue of $3.742B This is +32% yoy FCF surged 61% to $816M, expanding margins 400 bps to 22%
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Karp keeps surprising me This NRR is out of this world You can only give probs to him for making such a great business $PLTR
Mindset for Money (@Mindset4Money_X) profile pictureMindset for Money
@Mindset4Money_XNov 2
Palantir's Net Retention Rate has now accelerated for 12 straight quarters... One of one. $PLTR
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Institutional investors are pushing for a $1.5T–$1.6T valuation for Anthropic's planned November IPO. Down from earlier expectations near $2T, following a tech selloff and growing concerns over AI spending, according to WSJ.
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Did you know? $GOOGL holds an option to purchase up to $10B in Anthropic shares at the IPO price.
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Great example of a falling knife That might have just reached its bottom $APP
StockAnalysis.com (@stock_analysisx) profile pictureStockAnalysis.com
@stock_analysisxNov 2
Applovin started 2026 at 46x forward earnings. It now trades at 12.9x. The stock is down 64% over the past year while earnings per share are up 85%. $APP
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You can either sleep on it or sleep sleep on it Your choice $NBIS
Nate Endicott (@EndicottInvests) profile pictureNate Endicott
@EndicottInvestsNov 2
$NBIS at $40B now sits at near a 1X 2027s ARR And a 1x 2028 revenue Undervalued.
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$NBIS is still such a slept on stock
Kris Patel 🇺🇸 (@KrisPatel99) profile pictureKris Patel 🇺🇸
@KrisPatel99Nov 2
At what price does $NBIS become to attractive to ignore? I honestly dont know because this is brand new type of business and I dont know what the risk of Hyperscale competition on its future multiple looks like... Amoung the neo-cloud / Neo-scaler names, $NBIS is the most attractive to a possible mean reversion play in the future but I have no idea what the trough, timeline on recovery will be... anyone?
Image from Kris Patel 🇺🇸 (@KrisPatel99)
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Did you know? $AMD generated $22.2B in data center revenue over the twelve months through June 27, 2026. That’s 77% more than the $12.6B it generated in all of 2024. The segment includes both EPYC CPUs and Instinct GPUs.
Native Fiscal.ai column chart of AMD Data Center segment revenue in USD millions: fiscal 2024 12,579; fiscal 2025 16,635; latest twelve months ended June 27, 2026, 22,214. Actual reported revenue, not forecasts. Linear axis starts at zero. Fiscal years and rolling twelve-month period are distinct. Segment includes EPYC server CPUs and Instinct accelerators, not AI GPU revenue alone. Exported November 2, 2026. Fiscal.ai attribution retained.

ALT Native Fiscal.ai column chart of AMD Data Center segment revenue in USD millions: fiscal 2024 12,579; fiscal 2025 16,635; latest twelve months ended June 27, 2026, 22,214. Actual reported revenue, not forecasts. Linear axis starts at zero. Fiscal years and rolling twelve-month period are distinct. Segment includes EPYC server CPUs and Instinct accelerators, not AI GPU revenue alone. Exported November 2, 2026. Fiscal.ai attribution retained.

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$PLTR reports after the close today. Its last full-year revenue guide implies slower Q4 growth than Q2 if Q3 lands at the guided midpoint. The new annual outlook is the number to watch. Here's the arithmetic.
News card: Palantir, The guide is the test. Authentic archival photograph of Alex Karp at a meeting with Ecuador President Daniel Noboa in Davos on January21,2026. Karp is cropped from the original meeting photo and placed beside a white headline panel. This is not a photograph of November earnings. Photo: Isaac Castillo / Presidency of Ecuador, released by its author with the Public Domain Mark. Source: https://www.flickr.com/photos/presidenciaecuador/55053421059/ . Original provenance retained; no AI imagery.

ALT News card: Palantir, The guide is the test. Authentic archival photograph of Alex Karp at a meeting with Ecuador President Daniel Noboa in Davos on January21,2026. Karp is cropped from the original meeting photo and placed beside a white headline panel. This is not a photograph of November earnings. Photo: Isaac Castillo / Presidency of Ecuador, released by its author with the Public Domain Mark. Source: https://www.flickr.com/photos/presidenciaecuador/55053421059/ . Original provenance retained; no AI imagery.

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At the prior guide midpoints, $8.154B for the year minus Q1's $1.633B, Q2's $1.935B and Q3's $2.162B leaves about $2.424B for Q4. Against Q4 2025's $1.407B, that implies roughly 72% growth. This is arithmetic, not separate Q4 guidance.
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An illustration: if Q3 revenue comes in at $2.18B, a full-year outlook near $8.28B would imply about 80% Q4 growth. That's why the new annual guide matters alongside the reported quarter. A stronger Q3 result changes the residual Q4 calculation.
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