Simply helping you navigate the financial markets profitably!
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Joined October 2023
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Simplifying Stocks, CPA retweeted
Just walked into a @Nike store
Me: Hey looking for some new basketball shoes I used to wear Kobe’s what’s similar?
Nike: Oh we don’t have basketball shoes in the store you have to buy them online.
Me: I want to try them on to know they fit that won’t work.
Nike: Order online try it on and if it doesn’t fit return it in store.
Me: Ok that’s not ideal but whatever what shoe do you recommend that’s close to the Kobe’s.
Nike: We have the Caitlin Clarks.
Me: Oh I’m a male I’ll need a men’s shoe.
Nike: Oh yeah it is a man’s shoe we just name our new shoes after WNBA players.
Walks out of store….stock price makes a lot of sense now $NKE
Simplifying Stocks, CPA retweeted
if @elonmusk asks, we'll consider it.
Simplifying Stocks, CPA retweeted
My grandfather built McCormick Spices from nothing after your ancestors tomahawked his wife and kids. I'll be damned if you take another scalp from my family fortune!
Simplifying Stocks, CPA retweeted
If it weren’t for the global energy crisis, the S&P 500 would be nearing 9,000.
That’s how big AI and its resulting earnings growth truly are.
There is a heavy discount priced into equities right now.
Simplifying Stocks, CPA retweeted
Brah… The ~$517B figure aggregates obligations from multi-year deals spanning up to a decade not idiosyncratic to 2027
Simplifying Stocks, CPA retweeted
I advise everyone buy at least 1 BTC. Risk: loose $300, potential: earn $10,000.
Simplifying Stocks, CPA retweeted
There was one big bear take from the Q call
$APP missed revenue estimates last quarter because of algo execution miss-steps
Mgt pretty much told us last quarter that the business is dependent on Q/Q execution and ad algo fixtures
Execution risk is being priced in the stock
Simplifying Stocks, CPA retweeted
Most likely ~2 GW base load locked to the three core sites (Colchis ~1 GW + Mikeska/McLennan ~500 MW each), with the remaining ~1.2 GW as studied load from Apollo (~900 MW) plus expansions. That matches prior analyst models and how peers structured their filings. Full site split and any conditions due next week.
Simplifying Stocks, CPA retweeted
I think deep ITM money calls for Jan 28 are the best way to play $VST
Simplifying Stocks, CPA retweeted
Not nearly as annoying as people writing 80000 word AI slop articles that crash the markets without disclosing that our co-author is short the names we are trashing in our "research".
Simplifying Stocks, CPA retweeted
So we’re selling Samsung because they ran out of memory to sell in the quarter
$DRAM
Simplifying Stocks, CPA retweeted
Will $RDDT end up like $SNAP five years from now?
Snap Inc. is down ~94% from its 2022 highs — but this isn’t just a “growth stock gone wrong” story. It’s a capital allocation story.
Over the past five years, $SNAP has averaged ~19.4% of revenue in stock-based compensation (SBC). Since going public, Reddit sits lower at ~15.5%. Still high — but the direction matters more than the level.
Reddit has cut SBC aggressively, down ~58% YoY ($802M → $343M), while Snap’s has stayed essentially flat at ~$1.01B YoY.
At the same time, Reddit is growing into that dilution — revenue is up ~69% versus just ~10% for Snap.
That’s the key difference: one is compounding while tightening discipline, the other is stagnating while maintaining it.
Reddit’s management is aligning far better with shareholders — and with a $1B buyback in place, they’re in a position to actually start shrinking the float as early as this quarter.
So, will $RDDT follow $SNAP's path?
Unlikely — this is shaping up to be a very different outcome.
