Global markets for the smart money.

Joined March 2009
🇺🇸 FOMC decision in one hour. Markets expect a hold, but our poll’s top pick is three or more dissenters. Spicy! Let’s see how divided the Fed is. Follow the statement and Warsh’s press conference with us: forexfactory.com/?utm_source…
🇺🇸 Markets expect the Fed to hold rates tomorrow. But will the vote be unanimous? How many FOMC voters will dissent?
20%None
16%One
26%Two
38%Three or more
69 votes • Final results
1
23
7,539
🇪🇺 The ECB's rate decision is on deck following last meeting's hike to 2.65%. With a hold widely expected, EUR is likely to react most strongly to the language of the statement and press conference. Limited pass through of energy inflation reduced the urgency for immediate hikes; will the ECB keep a December hike in play?
1
1
13
6,165
🇺🇸 Tomorrow, US Core PCE and Advance GDP arrive together. Today’s FOMC Statement and Press Conference will frame tomorrow’s releases, with inflation likely to remain the central concern. That puts PCE in focus, but traders will also be watching GDP for signs of stronger or weaker growth.
1
3
26
6,490
🇨🇦 First the decision, then the explanation. The Bank of Canada announces rates in one hour, followed by Macklem’s press conference. Follow along on Forex Factory for full coverage: forexfactory.com/?utm_source…
🇨🇦 Markets expect the BoC to hike rates for the first time since 2023. Hawkish comments from Macklem on Oct 17 helped push hike odds from 30% to around 80%, despite weaker than expected inflation. Will the BoC deliver on market expectations?
2
2
16
6,344
🇬🇧 UK Budget in one hour. Expect headlines throughout Healey’s speech, alongside new economic and borrowing forecasts. Follow the news as it unfolds: forexfactory.com/?utm_source…
🇬🇧 The UK's Annual Budget is expected tomorrow afternoon in London. Last November's budget lifted GBP, helped by a larger than expected fiscal buffer. Higher gilt yields have put further pressure on UK finances. Can Healey deliver enough credibility to push the pound higher?
1
15
6,581
We're not done yet! 🇳🇿 NZD/USD was sharply lower following the RBNZ's unexpected hold at 2.75%. With the press conference coming up at the top of the hour, will policymakers shed light on the surprise decision? Watch and follow along: forexfactory.com/calendar/40…
1
12
6,467
⏳🇳🇿 A busy hour for AUD and NZD traders: Australia’s CPI first, then the RBNZ rate decision. Plenty to watch on both sides of the Tasman Sea!
🇳🇿 The RBNZ's OCR decision is on deck. The September meeting's guidance suggested no rush. Now, a hike is widely expected as inflation risks build. Kiwi traders will be watching whether the RBNZ signals more urgency or sticks to gradual tightening.
4
20
6,637
⏳🇦🇺 Australia’s CPI is due in one hour!
🇦🇺 Australia's CPI is up next: 0.7% m/m expected vs. 0.4% prior. The RBA's recent hawkish comments have put a November hike firmly in play. Will inflation strengthen the case for another hike, or give the RBA room to wait?
26
6,820
🇺🇸 Markets expect the Fed to hold rates tomorrow. But will the vote be unanimous? How many FOMC voters will dissent?
20%None
16%One
26%Two
38%Three or more
69 votes • Final results
2
1
2
8
10,576
🇺🇸 Markets expect the Fed to hold rates tomorrow, putting the odds of a hike at roughly 10%. Despite recent higher than expected inflation, Fed officials have signaled patience, with markets expecting a hike in December. Traders will look to Warsh's press conference for clarity on how much patience the Fed has with persistent energy price pressures.
2
5
56
10,541
🇨🇦 Markets expect the BoC to hike rates for the first time since 2023. Hawkish comments from Macklem on Oct 17 helped push hike odds from 30% to around 80%, despite weaker than expected inflation. Will the BoC deliver on market expectations?
1
14
8,722
🇬🇧 The UK's Annual Budget is expected tomorrow afternoon in London. Last November's budget lifted GBP, helped by a larger than expected fiscal buffer. Higher gilt yields have put further pressure on UK finances. Can Healey deliver enough credibility to push the pound higher?
1
1
23
9,026
🇳🇿 The RBNZ's OCR decision is on deck. The September meeting's guidance suggested no rush. Now, a hike is widely expected as inflation risks build. Kiwi traders will be watching whether the RBNZ signals more urgency or sticks to gradual tightening.
5
1
18
9,443
🇦🇺 Australia's CPI is up next: 0.7% m/m expected vs. 0.4% prior. The RBA's recent hawkish comments have put a November hike firmly in play. Will inflation strengthen the case for another hike, or give the RBA room to wait?
2
1
1
15
9,696
🏛️ It's central bank week! Five major policy decisions on the Calendar. No shortage of opinions. What are you watching most closely?
47%Rate decisions
8%Forward guidance
16%Inflation outlooks
28%Market reactions
106 votes • Final results
1
20
8,841
🇳🇿 New Zealand banks will be closed Monday, Oct 26, for Labor Day. Any impact should be modest and mostly limited to thinner NZD liquidity as the trading week gets underway.
2
2
24
9,307
⏰ Clocks move back one hour in Switzerland, the eurozone, and the UK on Sunday, Oct 25. The US follows on Nov 1. For one week, London and New York will be four hours apart instead of five. Same sessions. Different time gap. Check your trading schedule!
2
5
27
8,569
Iran headlines had cooled heading into the US election. So had the comments. Then came reports of plans to move US embassy staff and families out of the Gulf: 272 comments, this week’s most-discussed story. More smoke, or is the lull about to end? forexfactory.com/news/143284…
2
23
9,073
🇺🇸 60 minutes until Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment. One more check on consumers' mood, with sentiment near a record low and inflation still on their minds.
🇺🇸 The Revised University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey is out soon, expected to hold at 46.3. The preliminary reading was just 1.5 points above May's all-time low, while year-ahead inflation expectations rose to 4.7%. A brighter outlook would be a change of pace.
22
9,002