L/S Equities. Will occasionally post about frogs.
Frog pond
Joined November 2021
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Had anyone tried pooling some data center debt together, then slicing the pool into bonds and tranching it?
I'm sure you can get some investment grade rating on it.
The biggest advantage an individual investor has is the ability to swing at trades and not care if it moves 5-10% against you, as long as your thesis / catalysts are intact.
Do that at a fund and the PM will close the position at the bottom. Do that a few times and risk comes at you with the guillotine.
With weaker breadth in this market, bigger moves are increasingly common, making this advantage even stronger.
And getting the timing "close enough" is 100x easier than getting it "perfect".
No joke, most of my original trades are between sets at the gym.
There's something about having just 2-3 minutes to come to a decision and not being overloaded with information.
Meanwhile pods with 5 expert networks, BBG, 20 research brokers and 7-tab financial models all pile into the same stonks.
Not sure if this is behind the - 2% today for $TTWO, or it's simply rotation back into AI stonks.
Whatever it is, happy to grab some more shares at $197.
Very underowned name given the catalysts ahead, and quite decorrelated from the AI trade (which is a plus these days).
Classic "must protect capital" on the downside
followed by "do you still like the theme / it is to late to buy in" on the upside
This is a great example (today’s market) of reflexivity and price action dictating sentiment.
No one knows anything yet, but as prices fell, many single manager PMs are inclined to sell because:
1. They have no clue what they own / where valuation support is in AI-off scenario
2. They would rather rebuy on good headlines than stomach down 10s to the face into YE
3. Credit markets bleeding over into equities
Paints a very depressing picture. Not sure when carnage will be over but I think knee jerk is to sell any rip from this cohort now given the floor seems to have fallen out.
But they’ll be back for more pain as soon as headlines flip positive for a rolling 2 week period.
Intelligent investors.
So, exactly, how is Anthropic going to sell $ 200bn worth of paper in this market?
And, if they pull it off, what stocks will be sold to make space for that in portfolios?
Frog 𓆏 retweeted
$TTWO getting de-risked here at these levels, seems like a no brainer long here, maybe it hits $185-190, but that is back where the stock was with absolutely no clarity on GTA 6. Yet here we are about a month away from a release.
Good take on $TTWO PC release timing
I actually think Rockstar could launch GTA VI on PC earlier than expected because of the massive wave of native PC ports, recompilations, and new PS5 games emulated on PCs.
Almost every PS5 can be jailbroken now, and pirated games can run on jailbroken consoles, so maybe GTA VI could become playable within weeks on a jailbroken PS5 or even get a native PC port much sooner than expected.
AI is advancing way faster than anyone thought possible, what used to take years to port a game could now take days and more people are learning these skills and teaching others how to do it.
Soon, you’ll be able to tell Claude, “Hey, port GTA VI to PC and replace the bosses with Elden Ring bosses,” and it’ll do it in a few hours.
So, I kinda think Rockstar is worried about this possibility and might release the PC version way earlier than originally planned.
You should thank Cyberleek for giving you good entries so close to the release date.
And also to the crypto retards that keep burning cash to pump his meme token.
They need to find this Cyberleek clown ASAP, all these issues with $TTWO stock will be resolved once they release the game. Sad for gamers this leaker is trying to take the spotlight for a crypto scam.
Ah yes let's sell $TTWO because GTA VI for PC is coming in 1Q27, a few months after console, rather than the usual 1-1.5y later we saw in previous titles.
Perfectly rational.
"GamesBeat has confirmed that Rockstar plans to release the PC version of GTA VI in the first quarter of 2027, according to four industry sources familiar with the studio’s plans, all of whom requested anonymity to avoid damaging business relationships." gamesbeat.com/grand-theft-au…
Imagine thinking you can price this into a stock
$TTWO