Victor the Best retweeted
Micron took in $12.75 billion of customer deposits in its 2026 fiscal year, and nearly all of it is scheduled to go back to the buyers between 2029 and 2031.
The money comes back when a customer meets its minimum purchase commitment.
A customer that falls short may lose all or part of its deposit, which Micron would then book as revenue.
At 3rd September the balance stood at $12.895 billion.
At 28th May Micron's contract liabilities were $422 million, so nearly all of it arrived in one quarter.
That gives buyers a reason to keep ordering. It does not make the deposits permanent capital for Micron's owners.
The accounting is clean. Micron books the deposits under financing activities, so they did not inflate its operating cash flow.
Microns annual report does not say whether repayment means cash or a credit against invoices.
Some customers also keep bank letters of credit, $7 billion at 3 September, which Micron can draw only after specified defaults.
More may be on the way. In June Micron said the agreements concluded to date carried about $18 billion of expected cash deposits.
So itâs highly possible that Micron's non-current customer contract liabilities at the end of its December quarter come in above $12.895 billion.
The gap between the $18 billion it expected and the $12.75 billion it had received is about $5 billion. This could be wrong if the balance Micron reports for 3rd December 2026 is $12.895 billion or less.
Victor the Best retweeted
One of the best paying jobs in AI right now is building exactly what Hormozi describes here:
He says people who can build AI agents to do a teamâs work will have âtremendous earning power.â
That person is called a GTM engineer.
US job posts for the role went from 14 a month to 129 a month in a year.
Entry level pays a $113K median, and senior pays $188K.
I wrote the full step by step guide on how to become one in the article below.
Victor the Best retweeted
âWhy did you move to Latin America?â
Dude, Iâm from Madrid. I was ALREADY living in Latin America, even back home
At least now I barely pay any taxes
đ¨đŞđ¸ 2026: En Madrid, el 56,3% de la poblaciĂłn menor de 45 aĂąos ya serĂa de origen extranjero.
đ EspanAtlas.es/origenes
#EspanAtlas
Victor the Best retweeted
Opus 5.5 cost 10B USD. Really? Anthropicâs overall training cost since inception till Q2 2026 were around 16B. I find it hard to believe.
Rear of the points make sense.
Interesting remarks Anthropic made in a meeting with the sell side:
- Anthropic has the stability and the better talent that open source lacks.
- The AI market is winner take all. As long as we execute properly, we will take all of it.
- The contract with SpaceX will not be extended beyond the middle of next year.
- Developing Opus 5.5 cost more than $10 billion.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
The remarks are unverified second-hand notes from a Barclays analyst call on Anthropic meetings, not official statements. Poster corrected $10B cost to full Claude 5.5 family; filings show SpaceX deals extend to 2029 but terminable after early 2027 on 90 days notice.
x.com/jukan05/statusâŚ
fourweekmba.com/ai-anthropics-âŚ
sec.gov/Archives/edgarâŚ
Interesting remarks Anthropic made in a meeting with the sell side:
- Anthropic has the stability and the better talent that open source lacks.
- The AI market is winner take all. As long as we execute properly, we will take all of it.
- The contract with SpaceX will not be extended beyond the middle of next year.
- Developing Opus 5.5 cost more than $10 billion.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
The remarks are unverified second-hand notes from a Barclays analyst call on Anthropic meetings, not official statements. Poster corrected $10B cost to full Claude 5.5 family; filings show SpaceX deals extend to 2029 but terminable after early 2027 on 90 days notice.
x.com/jukan05/statusâŚ
fourweekmba.com/ai-anthropics-âŚ
sec.gov/Archives/edgarâŚ
Victor the Best retweeted
The shift away from financing GPU clusters with offtake agreements to prepayments means that OCF to EBITDA is the most important metric.
Moves the diligence burden from private credit funds evaluating the creditworthiness of offtaker to the actual customer of the GPU making the prepayment.
Dock to live and historic cluster stability levels will be the most important metrics to customers who are increasingly paying nearly 100% upfront.
Also significantly improves the payback period on GPUs.
Victor the Best retweeted
yup out of funds into SPVs. Lucky for my LPs you get both! Actually 4-5x more SPVs than the fund.
Victor the Best retweeted
Polly Tearooms in Marlborough closes after 114 years. For the same reasons that all businesses are struggling: NI rise, minimum wage, taxes, regulations.
Our rulers canât begin to imagine what itâs like to run a small enterprise within tight profit margins.
Victor the Best retweeted
use muse ember to save millions
pay $0.10 / $0.50 / Mtok and save millions of dollars on legal clerical errors
We put Muse Ember from @AIatMeta to work untangling conflicting records in a $12.6 million private-fund capital call.
Across 13 documents in Box, Ember catches a $2.48 million misallocation and a missed $250,000 credit, recalculates each investorâs obligation, and produces a source-cited review for Fund Operations.
Customers can build custom agents for their own document-heavy financial workflows with Box AI Studio.
Victor the Best retweeted
I think creator economy platforms are the future.
One of the smartest ways to get people to keep using and loving your platform is to build something that doesnât just offer them value, but also gives them an opportunity to make money from using it.
Look at TikTok. People come to watch videos, create content, go live, receive gifts and earn.
Look at YouTube. People create content, build an audience and earn from their work.
The interesting thing is that people arenât just using these platforms for what they offer. Theyâre also building something for themselves within them.
Thatâs something Iâve been thinking about lately. Building platforms where the users donât just benefit from the product, but can actually make money from being part of the ecosystem.
Victor the Best retweeted
There are only two systems that make sense
1. Centralize everything under a benevolent dictator, Ă la Singapore đ¸đŹ
2. Give people freedom to fend for themselves
The middle is where it all falls apart
In much of the West you pay up to 50% of your income for public healthcare and a pension you'll probably never see
And then you STILL need private health insurance and your own investments to retire
You pay for the state system⌠and then you have to pay again to replace it
Plato warned about this. Sophists sell you promises, and democracies buy them until they collapse under the weight of their lies
This is whatâs going on in the West. We need to pick a directionâŚ
And those who want your money wonât ever leave you alone
Victor the Best retweeted
We encourage all seedstrapped founders to go deep on a vertical for this reason.
here's something most companies building ai agents should probably worry about:
your competitors can access the same models, the same APIs and pretty much the same tools you do.
so what actually gives you an advantage?
the experience your agents accumulate while handling your business.
the edge cases, corrections, failed tasks and decisions your team makes every day.
@neosigma_ai is building infrastructure to turn that experience into private evaluation environments, helping companies continuously test and improve their agents.
the real moat might not be the model you use.
it might be everything your business has taught it.
explore neosigma: neosigma.ai/ @gauri__gupta
Victor the Best retweeted
building a company these days is basically a loop:
acquire valuable context
orchestrate agents to build on it
feed the data back in
call humans like an api
repeat
the best context/faster loop wins
Victor the Best retweeted
FedWatch's Ben Emons says 4.81% is big support on the 10-year, and December hike odds just flipped back up
"I think 481 is a big support level in the 10 year"
"I did notice that also the odds for a rate hike in December actually went back up again"
"It is a relief rally, but it's also about relief potential to the economy"
Emons says the post-midterm rally bought political certainty, but rates may reverse higher if the economy stays strong and data-center build risks ease ($TLT $SPY $QQQ)
A relief rally that still has to clear a 4.81% ceiling on the 10-year
via @CNBCFastMoney
Top-quartile venture beat top-quartile buyout through the internet buildout and again through mobile and cloud, and a16z's Jen Kha argues we're at the start of the next wave.
Tech buyouts have long been the "safe" bet in private markets. Now the stress is showing:
- In the first half of 2026, venture funds marked their tech holdings up 16%, while buyout funds marked theirs down 4%
- 70% of the debt foreclosed in 2025 and 2026 came from deals done in 2021 or 2022
- A typical buyout now needs 10 to 12% EBITDA growth a year to make 2.5x in five years, up from about 5% in 2015
- Top 5% venture funds from 2007-16 returned 5.3x their capital in cash, versus 3.5x for top 5% buyout funds
"Tech buyout is a late-cycle asset class. It's most effective once a technology wave has settled and when business models are predictable enough to borrow against. When a new technology wave drops, all bets are off. By contrast, that's when venture shines."
Full piece from a16z's Jen Kha: a16z.news/p/is-private-equitâŚ
Not an offer or solicitation. None of the above should be taken as investment advice or an advertisement for investment services. Please see a16z.com/disclosures for more information.
Victor the Best retweeted
LATEST: Metaâs $15bn US bond sale, priced on 3rd November, would add about $990mn in annual cash interest once issued.
Principal repayments are scheduled from 2031 to 2056. Interest payments begin on 15 May 2027.
In Q3 2026, Meta generated $32.8bn in operating cash. Capital spending, including principal repayments on leased assets, reached $34.9bn.
Meta held $82.45bn in cash and marketable securities on 30 September. The interest must still be paid whether its new investments earn a return or not.
Settlement is expected on 5th November.
$META
Victor the Best retweeted
I get a call once a week from a former CMO clientâŚ
âWhen are you starting the Ampush of LLM ads?â
I have an answer now: by year end we will launch it!!
I have $1-2M check ready to go. We will seedstrap from there.
Email me your profile and why you should be on the founding team!!
Victor the Best retweeted
Shopify president Harley Finkelstein says Shopify has captured nearly half of all new US e-commerce dollars since the start of 2025
"Shopify has actually captured nearly half of all incremental e-commerce dollars in the US, despite only representing 14%"
"GMV was 119 billion, that's up 29.5%. Revenue was 3.7 billion, which is up 32%"
"This is on very, very small volume, but it is growing quite quickly"
$SHOP is down sharply today after Q3 GMV and subscription revenue missed estimates, even as orders from AI channels grew 3.3x
Wall Street sold the miss, Shopify is selling the share grab
via @SquawkStreet, featuring @harleyf





































