GrainCast (@GrainCast) header
GrainCast (@GrainCast) profile picture

GrainCast

@GrainCast

The most accurate yield forecasts in the market. Friend of farmers and #agtwitter Newsletter: https://nitter.gq/t.co/WirHmwEwkW

 Michigan, USA
graincast.substack.com
Joined February 2019
  • Tweets1.4K
  • Following139
  • Followers6.1K
192Media
Photo by GrainCast (@GrainCast)Photo by GrainCast (@GrainCast)Photo by GrainCast (@GrainCast)Photo by GrainCast (@GrainCast)Photo by GrainCast (@GrainCast)Photo by GrainCast (@GrainCast)Photo by GrainCast (@GrainCast)Photo by GrainCast (@GrainCast)Photo by GrainCast (@GrainCast)Photo by GrainCast (@GrainCast)
The FINAL GrainCast 2022 #corn yield forecast is 170.1 bpa. Good luck with harvest, everyone!
Image from GrainCast (@GrainCast)
4
10
72
Corn will make above trend, also be nice to arlan
1
13
5,588
Well you have all had an eventful week now, haven't you?! Haven't done a forecast in a while but if I did one now I bet it would be big. I bet you can just ask the AI now and get a pretty good forecast. Good luck out there! 🤞
1
4,502
171.9 today, and average adjustment from October to January final is 187mbu or about 2bpa
Karen Braun (@kannbwx) profile pictureKaren Braun
@kannbwx12 Oct 2022
U.S. #corn yield falls 0.6 bu/acre from last month's forecast to 171.9. Illinois is expected to tie it's prior record, though lower yields in the Plains - Nebraska, South Dakota, Kansas - brought down the average.
Image from Karen Braun (@kannbwx)
3
Sounds like these magic seeds are really going to mess up the yield model
The Associated Press (@AP) profile pictureThe Associated Press
@AP13 Sep 2022
To combat rising hunger, Bill Gates argues for what he calls "magic seeds," which are modified to increase yields or resist pests. But some experts warn the technology is too slow to develop and conflicts with goals to reduce emissions. apnews.com/article/russia-uk…

Bill Gates: Technological innovation would help solve hunger

Bill Gates says the global hunger crisis is so immense that food aid cannot fully address the problem.

apnews.com
4
1
8
Crop Consultant Dr. Michael Cordonnier cut his corn yield forecast by 3 bu. to 170 bpa amid the continued decline in crop condition ratings, persistent dry conditions in areas of the western Corn Belt & confirmation of lower yields from recent crop tours, including ours. #pfnews
1
13
27
I'm going to have to do export reports too, aren't I?
1
1
35
These guys follow a proprietary model with multiple variables. Most folks’ “guesstimates” are based on biased inputs most of the time 😉 This is one of the few that are not Much respect for their work 🤙🏻 Disclosure: My own *guess* is a 170-173 *final* yield #corn #harvest22
GrainCast (@GrainCast) profile pictureGrainCast@GrainCast29 Aug 2022
Finally some good developments from the yield model. Today's #corn yield forecast has risen to 170.7 bpa
Image from GrainCast (@GrainCast)
1
2
16
Finally some good developments from the yield model. Today's #corn yield forecast has risen to 170.7 bpa
Image from GrainCast (@GrainCast)
5
10
2
48
Fairly tight agreement among yield estimates should probably lead to a little more confidence they're in the right range This was true last year
You’re unable to view this Post because this account owner limits who can view their Posts. Learn more
2
7
But you, my friends, knew that already! 168.1!!
Karen Braun (@kannbwx) profile pictureKaren Braun
@kannbwx26 Aug 2022
Pro Farmer pegs U.S. #corn yield at 168.1 bu/acre and #soybeans at 51.7 bu/acre. USDA was 175.4 and 51.9 earlier this month. Pro Farmer puts the corn crop at 13.759 bln bu and soy at 4.535 bln bu.
3
1
1
19
I'm ready, let's see what you got #pftour22
3
10
In an hour, I meant
4
Replying to @DuaneLowry @GrainCast
I don’t disagree with you Duane. I’m more in the 172-175 camp than in the sun 172 camp. However, I like Graincast’s neutral approach & respect their work, so can’t discount it, even though I don’t see eye to eye currently.
2
1
3
If I were invited to do a podcast or commentary, I would say 2 things: 1) people are discounting the impact of late planting, and, 2) every single factor in our model; weather, rainfall, and several others, is negative this year. trend: 180, everything else subtracts.
GrainCast (@GrainCast) profile pictureGrainCast@GrainCast22 Aug 2022
Happy #pftour22 everyone. Our latest #corn yield forecast is 169.8. Warm weather in August has continued to take the best potential out of the crop.
Image from GrainCast (@GrainCast)
2
6
23
Usually it's a mix. some factors add yield, some subtract. this year, everything subtracts.
2
12
Happy #pftour22 everyone. Our latest #corn yield forecast is 169.8. Warm weather in August has continued to take the best potential out of the crop.
Image from GrainCast (@GrainCast)
9
23
8
120
It is a good time to reiterate that GrainCast has no bias about the crop or the market. It's simply a statistical model that you plug numbers in to, and it spits out a number. Today, this is the number it's spitting out. All the best to all the producers out there this year.
21
That 170.7 doesn't seem so crazy now with these #pftour22 results so far
GrainCast (@GrainCast) profile pictureGrainCast@GrainCast12 Aug 2022
Acreage changes in today's report added a fraction of a bushel to our forecast, it's now 170.7. we will see how the rest of the growing season plays out, bit it's pretty well baked by now.
2
4
31
Acreage changes in today's report added a fraction of a bushel to our forecast, it's now 170.7. we will see how the rest of the growing season plays out, bit it's pretty well baked by now.
GrainCast (@GrainCast) profile pictureGrainCast@GrainCast11 Aug 2022
Latest #corn yield forecast is 170.3. I expect the USDA number to come down tomorrow, but who knows. #oatt
Image from GrainCast (@GrainCast)
2
14
Load more