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NFL Sunday Play #1 🏈
1.25u - Panthers -2.5 (-115 FD)
Fading Cooper Rush 📉
The Falcons had only 8% of their drives reach the red zone or end in a score in Week 1 compared to a 37% league avg. Rush didn’t complete a pass of 6+ air yards, so the Falcons should struggle to move the ball here.
Bijan saw 10/22 of the team’s targets, which should make this offense easier to gameplan against. The Falcons also don’t have much of a pass rush, and the Panthers just put up 37 points against a similarly rated Bears defense.
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WNBA Friday Play #2 🏀
Chennedy Carter O 12.5 Points (-106 FD)
Carter saw her most minutes (25) and highest usage (25.4%) since May in the last game without A’ja.
The Sky are an elite matchup, allowing the 3rd most RA points, where Carter scores 47% of her points. In the most recent H2H, she had 11 points in just 16 minutes.
She’s cleared this line in 6/6 games with 20+ mins played this season, averaging 21.3 PPG.
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WNBA Friday Play #1 🏀
Azura Stevens O 17.5 PR (-128 FD)
❤️ if tailing!
Love this matchup for Azura, especially with A'ja likely to be ruled out. The Aces have allowed the most PR to opposing forwards this season, and Azura just put up 31 PR against them a few days ago, even with Cardoso scoring 24 points.
Cardoso has worse road splits and isn't the most consistent player, so there's still plenty of room for Azura to have another strong performance. Azura has cleared this line in 5/6 games against similar defenses when playing 22-30 mins.
Without A'ja, the Aces' defense takes a big hit. Stewie just put up 25 points and 11 rebounds against this team. The Aces also went small with Loyd in the starting lineup, which should create more rebounding opportunities for Azura.
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WNBA Friday Play #2 🏀
Chennedy Carter O 12.5 Points (-106 FD)
Carter saw her most minutes (25) and highest usage (25.4%) since May in the last game without A’ja.
The Sky are an elite matchup, allowing the 3rd most RA points, where Carter scores 47% of her points. In the most recent H2H, she had 11 points in just 16 minutes.
She’s cleared this line in 6/6 games with 20+ mins played this season, averaging 21.3 PPG.
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WNBA Friday Play #1 🏀
Azura Stevens O 17.5 PR (-128 FD)
❤️ if tailing!
Love this matchup for Azura, especially with A'ja likely to be ruled out. The Aces have allowed the most PR to opposing forwards this season, and Azura just put up 31 PR against them a few days ago, even with Cardoso scoring 24 points.
Cardoso has worse road splits and isn't the most consistent player, so there's still plenty of room for Azura to have another strong performance. Azura has cleared this line in 5/6 games against similar defenses when playing 22-30 mins.
Without A'ja, the Aces' defense takes a big hit. Stewie just put up 25 points and 11 rebounds against this team. The Aces also went small with Loyd in the starting lineup, which should create more rebounding opportunities for Azura.
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3-2 Profitable day 💰
Leonie Fiebich U 3.5 REB ✅
Kayla Thornton U 5.5 REB ✅
Jessica Shepard U 25.5 PR ✅
Jessica Shepard U 11.5 REB ❌
Sarah Barker U 4.5 REB ❌
Very close to a 4-1 day with Sarah going over in OT.
Leonie Fiebich U 3.5 REB ✅
Free money, she ends with 0 🔥
WNBA Sunday Play #1 🏀
Leonie Fiebich U 3.5 REB (-128 DK)
With Stewie, Jones and Betnijah on the court this season, Fiebich averages only 0.9 rebounds per 30 mins.
The Valkyries are also a tough matchup, allowing the 5th fewest rebounds to forwards and ranking dead last in pace. Against teams ranking bottom 6 in pace, Fiebich has gone under this line in 6/6 games.
Fiebich has gone from averaging 3.5 rebounds to just 2.8 this season, and this is largely due to her spending more time on the 3PT line as she now scores 70% of her points from beyond the arc, up from 58% last season.
This is the perfect matchup for Fiebich to continue hovering around the 3PT line and be out of position for rebounds, as the Valkyries tend to collapse the paint and allow the 4th most spot-up points.
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WNBA Sunday Play #1 🏀
Leonie Fiebich U 3.5 REB (-128 DK)
With Stewie, Jones and Betnijah on the court this season, Fiebich averages only 0.9 rebounds per 30 mins.
The Valkyries are also a tough matchup, allowing the 5th fewest rebounds to forwards and ranking dead last in pace. Against teams ranking bottom 6 in pace, Fiebich has gone under this line in 6/6 games.
Fiebich has gone from averaging 3.5 rebounds to just 2.8 this season, and this is largely due to her spending more time on the 3PT line as she now scores 70% of her points from beyond the arc, up from 58% last season.
This is the perfect matchup for Fiebich to continue hovering around the 3PT line and be out of position for rebounds, as the Valkyries tend to collapse the paint and allow the 4th most spot-up points.
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WNBA Sunday Play #1 🏀
Leonie Fiebich U 3.5 REB (-128 DK)
With Stewie, Jones and Betnijah on the court this season, Fiebich averages only 0.9 rebounds per 30 mins.
The Valkyries are also a tough matchup, allowing the 5th fewest rebounds to forwards and ranking dead last in pace. Against teams ranking bottom 6 in pace, Fiebich has gone under this line in 6/6 games.
Fiebich has gone from averaging 3.5 rebounds to just 2.8 this season, and this is largely due to her spending more time on the 3PT line as she now scores 70% of her points from beyond the arc, up from 58% last season.
This is the perfect matchup for Fiebich to continue hovering around the 3PT line and be out of position for rebounds, as the Valkyries tend to collapse the paint and allow the 4th most spot-up points.
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Nneka Ogwumike U 8.5 REB ✅
Sweat-free 💰
WNBA Saturday POTD 🏀
Nneka Ogwumike U 8.5 REB (-130 B365)
Nneka draws a tough matchup with the Fever, who allow the fewest rebounds to forwards. In similar spots, she’s stayed under in 5/5 games this season.
She’s averaged just 7 boards over her last 4 games, while Hamby has been dominant on the glass lately, averaging 9 per game in that span and taking on much of the rebounding load.
With Caitlin Clark out, the Fever should also play at a slower pace, further reducing her rebound chances.
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Hardy retweeted
WNBA Saturday POTD 🏀
Nneka Ogwumike U 8.5 REB (-130 B365)
Nneka draws a tough matchup with the Fever, who allow the fewest rebounds to forwards. In similar spots, she’s stayed under in 5/5 games this season.
She’s averaged just 7 boards over her last 4 games, while Hamby has been dominant on the glass lately, averaging 9 per game in that span and taking on much of the rebounding load.
With Caitlin Clark out, the Fever should also play at a slower pace, further reducing her rebound chances.
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WNBA Saturday POTD 🏀
Nneka Ogwumike U 8.5 REB (-130 B365)
Nneka draws a tough matchup with the Fever, who allow the fewest rebounds to forwards. In similar spots, she’s stayed under in 5/5 games this season.
She’s averaged just 7 boards over her last 4 games, while Hamby has been dominant on the glass lately, averaging 9 per game in that span and taking on much of the rebounding load.
With Caitlin Clark out, the Fever should also play at a slower pace, further reducing her rebound chances.
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WNBA Tuesday POTD 🚨🏀
Marina Mabrey U 3.5 Assists (-135 B365)
With Allemand seeing an uptick in minutes, Mabrey has posted just 2, 7 and 3 potential assists over her last 3 games. With Allemand active, Mabrey has gone under this line in 67% of games this season.
The Fever are a difficult matchup, allowing the fewest assists to opponents. Mabrey has also lost two of her top assist targets, with 11 assists going to Sabally and 8 to Rice, both of whom are out.
Sykes has been the recipient of 9 of Mabrey's assists this season, but the Fever allow the most FTA and rank dead last in isolation defense, a matchup that should lead to more self-created offense from Sykes and fewer assist chances for Mabrey.
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Hardy retweeted
WNBA Tuesday Play #1 🏀
1u - Gabby Williams O 20.5 PRA (-120 B365)
Gabby has emerged as the focal point of the Valks' offense, posting a career-high 25.7% usage rate, and this matchup sets up well for her. The Mercury allow the most points from ATB 3s, where Gabby scores 47% of her points.
They also rank bottom 3 in defending both the mid-range and non-restricted area of the paint, which should allow her to get easy pull-ups. On top of that, the Mercury rank bottom four in both rebounds and assists allowed to opponents.
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WNBA Tuesday Play #1 🏀
1u - Gabby Williams O 20.5 PRA (-120 B365)
Gabby has emerged as the focal point of the Valks' offense, posting a career-high 25.7% usage rate, and this matchup sets up well for her. The Mercury allow the most points from ATB 3s, where Gabby scores 47% of her points.
They also rank bottom 3 in defending both the mid-range and non-restricted area of the paint, which should allow her to get easy pull-ups. On top of that, the Mercury rank bottom four in both rebounds and assists allowed to opponents.
Graph powered by @propsmadness
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