Pinned Tweet
Die acht Todsünden bei der Analyse der #Energiewende
rmi.org/the-eight-deadly-sin…
Helmut Lehmeyer retweeted
Schätzeken, du hast nur ein Problem.
Du gerätst mit @DerClue und mir halt an die falschen wenn es um die "Tabuisierung" von Kernkraft geht. Uns geht es rein um die nackten ökonomischen Zahlen und der Selbstbeschiss der Atombubble.
Ihr könntet halt mal anfangen sozu argumentieren, dass Atomkraft eine fossil-freie Option ist (ggü. Gas/Wasserstoff), die der Staat "nun mal" tragen muss.
An Themen wie Sektorenkopplung ändert sich NULL. Im Team Atomkraft redet NIE einer von Elektrifizierung und DAS IST EUER PROBLEM.
Und so macht ihr euch zu Bückstücken der fossilen Lobby. Denn die Kapitalbindung und Bauzeit sind einfach EUER Killer. Immer. Und werden sie auch immer bleiben. Also ehrlich machen und weniger Äpfel / Birnen Vergleiche sind der erste Schritt zur Selbsterkenntnis.
Übrigens insbesondere in Zeiten wo Batteriespeicher euch noch mehr den Rang ablaufen und es am Ende nur noch um 4-5 Tage Dunkelflaute im Jahr gehen wird.
Noch mal: Wir sind nicht gegen Atomkraft. Wir sind aber gegen Selbstbeschiss. Punkt.
Zur Sache:
xitter.cf/42tw1tter1sd3ad/status…
"Es zeigt, dass ohne massive Subventionen im SMR Bereich nichts geht, dass ist aus meiner Sicht auch ok, dass das nötig ist, aber deren Advokaten sollen dann auch Subventionen in EE akzeptieren."
So ist es.
atomrechner.netlify.app
SMR sind eine Totgeburt, wenn Atomis nicht die Unwirtschaftlichkeit anerkennen.
Helmut Lehmeyer retweeted
🇺🇦 Ungarn, Tschechien und die Slowakei verweigern die Haftung für den neuen EU-Kredit an die Ukraine und verlangen ausgerechnet jetzt Milliarden aus dem EU-Haushalt.
Wir hatten am Mittwoch über die 70-Milliarden-Lücke berichtet, die der Ukraine 2027 fehlt. Der neue Kredit soll bis zu 45 Milliarden Euro tragen. Die drei Länder wollen wie beim 90-Milliarden-Kredit von allen Zahlungen und Garantien befreit werden. Bulgarien hat am Dienstag ebenfalls abgesagt.
Berlin reagiert scharf. Ein deutscher Diplomat spricht von Realitätsverlust beim EU-Haushalt und fragt, warum deutsche Steuerzahler auch nur einen Euro Kohäsionsgeld an Länder überweisen sollten, die sich der Verteidigung gegen die größte Bedrohung für Europas Sicherheit entziehen. Kohäsionsgelder sind Zuschüsse für ärmere Regionen in der EU, und Deutschland zahlt dafür den größten Anteil.
Für die Menschen in der Ukraine hängt an diesen Verhandlungen, ob 2027 der Staatshaushalt und der Ausbau der Drohnenproduktion bezahlt sind. Über die eingefrorenen russischen Staatsvermögen, aus denen der neue Kredit zurückgezahlt werden könnte, gibt es bisher keinen Beschluss. Der Streit belastet zugleich die Verhandlungen über den EU-Haushalt.
Quellen: Welt, Politico, Berliner Zeitung, exxpress
Helmut Lehmeyer retweeted
Das rechtlich-finanzielle Instrument dahinter ist der steuerliche #Querverbund.
Z.B. für Schwimmbäder.
Nicht dass ich das schlecht finde, aber offenbar wird es missbraucht. UND es verzerrt die Diskussion um den angeblich so hohen #Strompreis in #Deutschland gewaltig!
#Subvention
Helmut Lehmeyer retweeted
Replying to @Helmut_Lehmeyer
Das muss man differenzierter ansehen,dann sieht man, dass die Geringverdiener seit der Jahrtausendwende deutlich die Verlierer sind und die Gutverdiener von damals unverhältnismäßig zugelegt haben.
Mit der Spreizung beginnt leise der Untergang der SPD und der Aufstieg der AFD.
Die Arbeit beantwortet die Frage, warum selbstbewusste Idioten die Welt regieren.
Die Forscher testeten die Teilnehmer i.d. Bereichen Logik, Grammatik und Humor, um die Diskrepanz zwischen tatsächlicher Leistung und Selbstwahrnehmung zu messen.
Verblüffend, nicht überraschend:
👇
This paper answers why confident idiots run the world.
Cornell University published a psychological paper that explains every terrible boss, every loud influencer, and every broken corporate hierarchy.
It’s called “Unskilled and Unaware of It.”
they tested participants across logic, grammar, and humor to measure the gap between actual performance and self-perception.
And the results are wild.
participants scoring in the bottom 12th percentile consistently believed they were operating in the 62nd percentile.
they were not lying. they were literally incapable of recognizing their own incompetence.
the paper revealed a brutal paradox:
the exact skills required to master a domain are the exact same skills required to accurately evaluate your own competence in that domain.
if you lack the skill, you inherently lack the cognitive capacity to realize you are failing.
this creates a dangerous systemic loop.
the incompetent are blessed with absolute, blinding certainty. their brain protects them from their own ignorance, allowing them to speak first, demand authority, and never second-guess their decisions.
meanwhile, the actual experts suffer the exact inverse.
top performers in the study consistently underestimated their rank. because a task was easy for them, they falsely assumed it was easy for everyone else.
they hesitate. they obsess over nuance. they assume they have nothing unique to add.
we are biologically wired to confuse confidence with competence.
the loudest person in the room gets promoted, gets funded, and gets the microphone, not because they know what they are doing, but because they are physically incapable of seeing what they don't.
the only defense mechanism is building systems that stop rewarding absolute certainty and start demanding proof of work.
Helmut Lehmeyer retweeted
This paper answers why confident idiots run the world.
Cornell University published a psychological paper that explains every terrible boss, every loud influencer, and every broken corporate hierarchy.
It’s called “Unskilled and Unaware of It.”
they tested participants across logic, grammar, and humor to measure the gap between actual performance and self-perception.
And the results are wild.
participants scoring in the bottom 12th percentile consistently believed they were operating in the 62nd percentile.
they were not lying. they were literally incapable of recognizing their own incompetence.
the paper revealed a brutal paradox:
the exact skills required to master a domain are the exact same skills required to accurately evaluate your own competence in that domain.
if you lack the skill, you inherently lack the cognitive capacity to realize you are failing.
this creates a dangerous systemic loop.
the incompetent are blessed with absolute, blinding certainty. their brain protects them from their own ignorance, allowing them to speak first, demand authority, and never second-guess their decisions.
meanwhile, the actual experts suffer the exact inverse.
top performers in the study consistently underestimated their rank. because a task was easy for them, they falsely assumed it was easy for everyone else.
they hesitate. they obsess over nuance. they assume they have nothing unique to add.
we are biologically wired to confuse confidence with competence.
the loudest person in the room gets promoted, gets funded, and gets the microphone, not because they know what they are doing, but because they are physically incapable of seeing what they don't.
the only defense mechanism is building systems that stop rewarding absolute certainty and start demanding proof of work.
Helmut Lehmeyer retweeted
The claim nuclear is more reliable than renewables is a myth.
WindWaterSolar has not only met a higher percent (12.8%) of demand during its worst 5 minutes in all of 2026 than nuclear during its best 5 minutes (12.0%), but has also met seasonal & daily demand better than nuclear from 2023-26 on the @CaliforniaISO grid.
WWS output (left) is predictably consistent all year, peaking in early summer close to demand (late summer)
Nuclear output is flat most of the year (not following demand). The rest of the year (1-2 months), it decreases by 50%.
P.S., WWS' peak 5-minute output in 2026 is 165% of demand, or 13.75 times that of nuclear's peak output vs demand (12.0%).
Helmut Lehmeyer retweeted
My most favourite video about the #WealthInequalityinAmerica on youtube from 2013 just got an update! Thank you #politizane!!!#MidTerms #DumpTrump #FuckElon #NoKINGS youtube.com/watch?v=2GxlL5-0…
Helmut Lehmeyer retweeted
Stell dir mal vor, du bist gegen Überfremdung und Islamisierung, wählst deshalb die AfD, um dann zu lesen, dass sie sogar mit der Hisbollah zusammenarbeiten... 😂
GB will dem fossilen Gas nicht mehr die Preishoheit am Strommarkt überlassen:
#MeritOrder
UK to decouple #gas and #power prices .
Under the current system, gas sets the wholesale electricity price whenever it is needed alongside #wind, #solar, and many #renewables generators are paid gas-linked prices.
observer.co.uk/news/national…
Helmut Lehmeyer retweeted
UK to decouple #gas and #power prices .
Under the current system, gas sets the wholesale electricity price whenever it is needed alongside #wind, #solar, and many #renewables generators are paid gas-linked prices.
observer.co.uk/news/national…
Helmut Lehmeyer retweeted
Bösartigkeit sehe ich sogar als Hauptgrund, die @AfD zu wählen. Neben Dummheit.
Weil echte Probleme wird diese Partei garantiert nicht lösen - im Gegenteil.
Helmut Lehmeyer retweeted
🚨 CHINA IS FACING A GENERATIONAL CRISIS, AND THE NUMBERS ARE ABSOLUTELY TERRIFYING.
China's economy is struggling so badly that millions of young people are finding it almost impossible to build a stable future.
According to The Wall Street Journal, a generation that grew up believing hard work guaranteed success is now facing unemployment, layoffs, falling wages and growing financial pressure.
And the numbers are shocking.
• Youth unemployment among 16–24 year olds has reached nearly 19%, almost double the U.S. rate of 9%.
• Unemployment among 25–29 year olds stands at 7.5%, compared with China's overall rate of around 5%.
• A record 12.7 MILLION students graduated from Chinese colleges this year, entering an already struggling job market.
• China's urban employment is estimated to be 37 MILLION JOBS BELOW where it would have been if pre-pandemic job growth had continued.
• One Chinese economist estimates that the country's broader unemployment rate could actually be around 10%, nearly double the official figure.
But unemployment is only part of the problem.
China's property market collapse has destroyed jobs in construction, real estate and related industries.
Major technology companies, including Alibaba and ByteDance, have reportedly been cutting staff.
And now AI is making the situation even worse.
According to the WSJ, some of China's biggest employers privately estimated that AI could eliminate 30% OR MORE of their existing jobs.
A study covering 700 MILLION job postings found that AI has hit hiring demand particularly hard for workers with just 1–3 years of experience.
Even entry level jobs that once helped graduates start their careers are disappearing.
Meanwhile, the number of Chinese workers in temporary and gig jobs is expected to jump from 280 MILLION in 2025 to 320 MILLION in 2026.
That would represent more than 40% of urban employment.
And the impact is already spreading beyond the job market.
Young people are delaying marriage, avoiding having children and moving back in with their parents because they cannot afford to live independently.
Some are even giving up on traditional careers altogether.
China spent decades building an economy where each generation expected to become wealthier than the last.
Now millions of young people are questioning whether years of education and hard work are even worth it.
This is a serious problem for the world's second largest economy.
Weak employment means weaker consumer spending, fewer families being formed and even more pressure on China's already struggling property market.
The biggest danger for China isn't just slowing economic growth. It's an entire generation losing confidence in its economic future.
And if millions of young people continue to struggle to find stable jobs, China's economic problems could become much harder to fix.
Helmut Lehmeyer retweeted
Einkommensentwicklung wenn man die Bevölkerung in 10 gleich große Teile einteilt.
1. Dezil = Niedrigste 10% der Haushaltseinkommen:
98,2% im Vergleich zu 1991
10. Dezil = Höchste 10% der Haushaltseinkommen:
147% im Vergleich zu 1991
5/
diw.de/de/diw_01.c.842375.de…
Helmut Lehmeyer retweeted
In welcher Gesellschaft wollen wir zukünftig leben?
Man muss nicht den Kapitalismus abschaffen oder eine hoch komplexe Vermögensteuer fordern um zu sehen, der Demokratie und dem Gemeinwohl, kann solch eine Verteilung nicht zuträglich sein.
1/🧵



























