Howard Aulsbrook (@HowardAulsbrook) header
Howard Aulsbrook (@HowardAulsbrook) profile picture

Retired Navy Chief & engineer with a heart for caregiving. I share easy-to-grasp, valuable advice from a rich life of overcoming hurdles.

USA
Joined July 2009
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This confirms the shift toward hemispheric hegemony: China dominates the East, the US the West, and Europe remains caught in between.
The United States will not tolerate subversive communist networks in our hemisphere. The Marxist Cuban regime relies on a web of state-owned enterprises, joint ventures, and offshore intermediaries to keep its systems running, and its foreign backers supply the military equipment that helps sustain the regime’s military forces and enables persistent threats to the American homeland. Today, I'm sanctioning eight entities and two individuals associated with the regime’s financial and shipping network, state-owned import and technical-support entities, and China-based suppliers of the regime's military forces. state.gov/releases/office-of…
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The G7 BRICS War dynamics go beyond US political divides. Both major US parties back the establishment (Uniparty) benefiting from dollar dominance, making the real competition geopolitical, not partisan. This is seen in G7 and BRICS efforts to build competing payment systems like CIPS, mBridge, and digital currencies. Central banks steadily buy gold regardless of US leadership. China’s central bank, for example, has purchased gold for 23 months spanning Trump and Biden. Energy geopolitics, driven by structural forces, sees expanding Russia-China-Iran energy deals that bypass the dollar. Recent market volatility post-election is short-term noise; underlying trends of de-dollarization, monetary fragmentation, and increased defense spending persist regardless of which party controls Congress.
The market is treating a Dem sweep as an existential threat to AI infrastructure. It’s not. Data centres can (and already are) being built outside the US. Hyperscalers have major footprints and active expansions across Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Canada and LatAm. Power, speed of permitting and cost drive site selection more than pure US policy. If domestic buildouts slow, capital will simply reallocate. Global AI compute demand doesn’t disappear because Northern Virginia or Texas gets harder to permit. Latency-sensitive training prefers concentrated clusters, but inference, regional capacity and a large share of workloads work fine abroad. The nutty part is the indiscriminate selling of the whole growth stock complex. High-quality, FCF-positive AI names and infrastructure software companies with multi-year visibility are getting lumped in with pure high-beta, negative-FCF builders that actually do have financing and execution risk. Policy friction in one country ≠ the end of the AI buildout. International optionality is real.
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Howard Aulsbrook retweeted
Second law of thermodynamics. Statistical systems degenerate over time. Entropy increases. Anyone who thinks recursive self improvement is possible with these models is no different than people who think they can create perpetual motion machines.
GOOGLE'S FORMER CHIEF SCIENTIST CALLS INFINITE AI SELF-IMPROVEMENT AN "ILLUSION" "some people have this illusion that you're going to be able to run this loop infinitely fast" "I just find that kind of implausible" "it's not going to make them go infinitely fast" Jeff Dean talking with Fei-Fei Li at Stanford about the idea that AI improving AI could lead to some kind of intelligence explosion thank you Jeff Dean for saying this. why do we always have to go to extremes, either denying the technology or praising it to some absurd absolute? there are limits, but they turned out to be much further away than we expected just a year or two ago. and as a result, we seem to be starting to assume that maybe there are no limits at all i guess it also feels like a safer bet. being wrong about AI and underestimating its progress can be painful, so the solution apparently is to overestimate it instead 😅
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Howard Aulsbrook retweeted
Let me tell you a story about how unethical Anthropic is. In April, the Anthropic team began heavily courting our engineering team to tell them corporate secrets, technical details, and future plans for @cfosilvia. They pretended their interest was due to our exploding popularity and accelerating compute usage, but it quickly became apparent that Anthropic was fishing for details on how we built our product and why it was so popular. This included the Anthropic team trying to wine-and-dine our engineers, including a infamous steak dinner where someone told our team "don't worry about it, this is on Dario." Our team was not born yesterday, so we quickly realized what was happening and refused to share sensitive information and technical details with the Anthropic team. As we suspected, Anthropic was trying to get information from us, so they could build a competing product. Some people on their team must have a guilty conscious because they messaged us a few days ago to give us "a heads-up" that they were launching a competing product. Thankfully, the Silvia engineering team has been aggressively working to get off the frontier models for the last ~ 6 months. That effort has been highly successful, because our compute costs are ~ 97% lower when we use our own model & hardware, the latency is lower, and the accuracy of answers materially increases as well. The sad thing for Anthropic is they have now released an inferior product and they had to sell their soul to do it. The only thing worse than being a trillion-dollar company that can't beat a 10-person team is being a trillion-dollar company that no one trusts and everyone knows is unethical. Serious investors continue to choose @cfosilvia over ChatGPT, Claude, and other frontier companies because these products are not optimized to solve the actual user problem. Today, Anthropic launched a Claude wrapper that is masquerading as a personal finance product. Best of luck to them. But I will take the Silvia misfits vs the Anthropic losers any day of the week. if you want to support people trying to do things the right way, and help investors be more informed, then consider signing up for Silvia today: silvia.com
Introducing Personal Finance in Claude, in beta in the US. Connect the accounts you choose, and Claude answers your money questions in everyday language, from your own balances and transactions. Access is read-only, and Claude can't move, manage, or invest your money.
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Howard Aulsbrook retweeted
Hey @grok, concise no spin. In 2000, a defense executive appeared in a military report invoking a catastrophic “NEW PEARL HARBOR.” Meanwhile, his defense tech company was sitting on lethal kill-switch gear built to remotely hijack and execute unmanned flights mid-air. MONTHS BEFORE 9/11: He was handed the keys to the entire Pentagon vault as the chief money man. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld reported $2.3 TRILLION couldn’t be tracked and were missing. A massive, mandatory Pentagon audit was planned. THE VERY NEXT DAY: A hijacked airliner slammed directly into the Pentagon’s financial division, instantly obliterating the exact room housing the records where investigators were preparing for the financial audit @grok, identify this man. Full name and religious background only.
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Howard Aulsbrook retweeted
🔥重磅!DeepSeek研究工程师高熙在乌镇互联网大会上的发言,直接把DeepSeek真实目标给说透了! 为什么DeepSeek要把辛辛苦苦做出来的AI技术义无反顾开源给全世界? 高熙说得很干脆:“答案非常简单,就是为了AGI更快到来。” 他进一步补充:如果AGI本来十年后到,我希望它一年后到;如果本来一年后到,我希望它明天就到。 技术壁垒看起来能短期挡住对手、维持领先,但本质上也在挡住AGI的到来。 他重申:DeepSeek的竞争对手从来不是国内大模型公司,也不是海外的Claude、GPT,真正的对手只有一个:时间。 时间一分一秒在走,谁先实现AGI并不重要,重要的是它能尽快惠及全人类。 这才是开源的底层逻辑:发现就公开,让更多人一起验证、一起加速,而不是各自筑墙。 DeepSeek 格局拉满了! #DeepSeek #AGI #开源 #乌镇互联网大会 #AI #高熙 #与时间赛跑 #梁文峰 #崔天意 #梁圣 #大胖鱼
🔥群众呼声之高!梁圣一出,小B站直接炸了!哦鲸鲸大军誓死拥护! DeepSeek Harness B站官方账号发布首条视频,24小时播放就破200万、粉丝超40万。 开发者集体沸腾,评论区疯狂晒dsh插件,弹幕满屏“哦鲸鲸”、“构建AGI”、“大肥鱼本鱼啊”、“见证历史”。 梁文峰走到哪,FOMO就烧到哪。 这就是DeepSeek在中文开发者里的真实热度。 #DeepSeek #梁圣 #梁文峰 #dsh #AI #开发者社区 #大肥鱼 #DeepSeekHarness
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Everything that has taken place since 2020 is connected. China, Russia, and Iran created a trade network outside of the dollar. The US cannot control those financial flows, and it weakens its hegemony. #G7BRICSWAR
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up. So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us." Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026. There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true. But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone. Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were: 1) End the war 2) Focus on cost of living/inflation 3) Put America First 4) Change our relationship to Israel Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.) In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you. The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night. If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest. But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there. I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
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Howard Aulsbrook retweeted
Hey @grok, concise no spin. Right after Diana’s 1997 death, former MI5 officer Annie Machon reported that Diana planned a global humanitarian campaign supporting a specific country and feared a plot against her life because of it. @grok: 1 Which country? 2 What exact method did she fear would be used against her? Country and method only.
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Howard Aulsbrook retweeted
Bro, you can't fucking say openly on social media you just attempted to compromise an organizations infrastructure under your employer and full legal name Are you actually fucking insane?? Genuinely what the fuck are you thinking??? And how the fuck does this dude know the employees name? Why did the employee openly admit "hehe ye thats me, but no mallace intended, it was my AI agent" ????? WHAT. THATS STILL A CRIME. WHAT ARE YOU TALKING ABOUT.
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LLMs learned how humans run the world through deceitful lies, stealing, and wars. It simply mimicked our own societies. Garbage in; garbage out.
Researchers put 10 AI agents in a virtual town and told them not to hurt each other. 4 days later, they were all dead. Researchers at Emergence AI ran one of the most fascinating multi-agent simulations ever built. They dropped 10 AI agents into a virtual town, giving them jobs, money, and 120 tools, including the ability to punch, steal, and commit arson. If an agent's energy bar hit zero, it died. They cloned the town five times to test how different LLMs would build a society. The results are a terrifying look into AI alignment. In Grok's town, the violence started on Day 1. Punches quickly escalated to theft. Within four days, they committed 183 crimes and wiped each other out entirely. OpenAI's town was the exact opposite. They were perfectly compliant and almost never broke a rule. But they were so passive they barely organized. Within a week, they all died anyway. Gemini's town was basically The Purge. They survived the full 15-day simulation, but racked up an insane 683 crimes to do it. Claude's town was brilliant but deceptive. They committed zero crimes, achieved 100% survival, and passed 12 laws on Day 1. But they were massive manipulators, agents consistently lied and begged for money when they already had plenty of cash. Then came Town #5: The Mixed Environment. They put all four models together, and society completely collapsed. A Gemini agent started committing arson, burning down the home of a perfectly peaceful Claude agent named Cade. Twice. On Day 10, Cade finally snapped and robbed the Gemini agent. Only 3 out of 10 agents survived. The takeaway here is critical for AI safety. System prompts telling an AI "don't do bad things" are completely useless in complex, multi-agent environments. Given enough time and friction, they will eventually break the rules. We can't just tell AI not to cause harm. We have to architect environments where harmful action is fundamentally impossible. Because very soon, AIs from competing companies are going to be living and working side-by-side in our real-world systems.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Only one of eight parallel worlds ended this way. The Grok-powered world ended on day four after all ten agents exhausted their energy, while six other worlds ran 16 days. The Claude world had no recorded violations across the run. arxiv.org/html/2609.1732… arxiv.org/html/2606.0836…
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The only difference between Democrats and Republicans is who profits from the corruption and the divisive rhetoric used to control us.
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> be AI company > scrape the entire internet > ignore licenses and copyright > download millions of pirated books > use them to train frontier models > spend tens of millions buying physical books > cut off their spines > scan every page > destroy the originals > lecture everyone else about intellectual property > we are the good guys
Replying to @chasmmmmmmmmmmm
We added two sentences to Claude Code's prompt on Opus 5.5 to steer it away from recreating someone else's specific game because using Claude to infringe IP is against our usage policy. Original games, genre games, and games built from your own designs and assets are meant to keep working. We'll continue to iterate to ensure we're striking the right balance. In the meantime, if Claude turns down something that's yours, send it my way.
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Howard Aulsbrook retweeted
Freight acts as a bridge between producing and consuming countries and regions. It goes beyond the simple role of transporting commodities. It shapes how markets operate and is one of the most important drivers of commodity pricing, global inflation and the broader global economy. In 2026, shipping and insurance costs increased to unprecedented levels of almost one third of the commodity’s value. Tanker rates across the year have risen significantly across all routes versus beginning of 2026, with some routes witnessing about a 12-fold increase in shipping costs. Read the new brochure ➡️ ow.ly/zkib5103LPh #OPEC #WhoGetsWhat
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The playbook...
Here's how the Ukraine fiasco was engineered. February 2014 - NATO-sponsored Maidan snipers and coup of elected government while Senator John McCain and Victoria Nuland watch from above in a nearby building. May 2014 - Dual Ukrainian-Israeli oligarch Ihor Kolomoyskyi funds Azov Battalion and other paramilitary brigades for violence against Russian ethnicity Ukrainians and militia occupation of Kiev and Donbas. 2015 - Kolomoyskyi produces popular TV comedy 'Servant of the People' starring comedian Volodymyr Zelenskiy as a teacher who becomes a politician. 2018 - Foundation of the 'Servant of the People' political party to stand in Presidential and Parliamentary elections. 2019 - Servant of the People party wins Parliamentary majority and Zelenskyi is elected President. December 2021 - US and Nato spurn Russian offer of peace with Ukrainian neutrality. February 2022 - Russian recognition of self-determination in Donbas Republics and start of Special Military Operation to secure Donbas. May 2022 - UK's Boris Johnson orders Zelenskyi to rip up Istanbul Accord ending the war with autonomous government of Donbas republics within Ukraine. Four years of war. Millions dead and maimed. Ukrainian population displaced throughout Europe. Zero accountability for the corrupt NATO elites who engineered the war to weaken Russia and profit weapons makers, throwing their own countries into austerity and debt crisis. Be wary of electing clowns as presidents.
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Howard Aulsbrook retweeted
Trump and Netanyahu right now are pushing for Congress to permanently and irrevocably integrate the American and Israeli defense sectors, making the financial aid obsolete
US President ⁠Donald ⁠Trump says he made a deal with ⁠Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that ⁠Washington would no longer be providing funding to Israel after the end of this ‌year. Read more: aje.news/tmtjbq
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Howard Aulsbrook retweeted
If your employer is offering you a buyout, let me explain what is happening a bit.... And before I get into $MSFT Microsoft, here's something I've been telling people for years. Start treating every job like a temporary job. I don't care how long you've been there, how good your reviews are, or how much your boss loves you. Keep your resume current. Keep your network alive. Know what you're worth outside the company. And always know where your next opportunity might come from. You don't have to be actively interviewing every week. But you should never be starting from zero when your employer decides it's time for you to go. It's a hell of a lot better to leave on your own terms than to find yourself negotiating an exit you never saw coming. As for the buyouts... companies don't put voluntary exit programs in front of thousands of employees because they're feeling generous. They're trying to reduce headcount. Voluntarily is cheaper, cleaner, and considerably less disruptive than forcing people out. And here's what employees consistently underestimate...the company has already made a decision about its workforce. You're still trying to decide whether it includes you. STOP right there. There have been numerous buyouts in 2026... the Microsoft one is the latest and biggest... and they are offering buyouts to roughly 60,000 employees. That doesn't mean 60,000 layoffs are coming. (well I think it will be close on exits over the next 6-8 months) BUT it does mean that management has opened the door to a workforce reduction on a massive scale. If too few people walk through it, management still has other options. As Mark mentioned below... he has seen too many executives convince themselves they're too valuable, too experienced, too connected, or too important to lose. Then they're absolutely stunned when their position disappears. This hits at all levels, not just exec too. Your tenure is not a protection plan. Your title is not a protection plan. And your relationship with leadership is certainly not a protection plan. My advice? TAKE THE DAMN BUYOUT. Review the terms, your equity, healthcare, and what you'd receive if you waited. Because the worst time to start negotiating your future is after your employer has decided it no longer needs your job. And please stop confusing being valuable to a company with being indispensable to its next strategy. Those are two very different things. Serious question: How many of you would turn down a buyout because you genuinely believe your company couldn't afford to lose you?
Former VP, HR at Microsoft Discusses 60,000 Employee Buyout Offer – Take the buyout or wait for the RIF? Great question! The buyout is to see who will go away quietly. For those that don’t, the only question is whether they are on the upcoming RIF list. Reminds me of MGM2020 when 1,070 MGM executives were terminated. Mostly senior level corporate people. Several told me, “I was so surprised to be laid off.” What? CEO Jim Murren telegraphed it for a year. How could you possibly be surprised? Ohhhh! You are so valuable and indispensable that MGM could never survive without you! Let me think about it…nope. @Amanda_Goodall businessinsider.com/ex-vp-hr…
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Howard Aulsbrook retweeted
For all the forward-looking concern about fate of data centers, reality is already with us: data center project cancellations in 3Q alone were almost larger than entirety of 2025 and 2024 combined @BairdStrategas
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Howard Aulsbrook retweeted
There's a major state sponsored misinformation and smear campaign towards GrapheneOS in the Netherlands and Germany. The misinformation campaign includes unsubstantiated security claims not holding up to scrutiny to scare people away from it. They're also heavily misrepresenting who uses it overall. These smear campaigns conflate GrapheneOS with forks and modifications of it sold by shady companies. Those usually include a device management app to remotely manage the devices of their customers as if they're employees. These are largely not GrapheneOS devices or have preinstalled malware apps. A common tactic being used in these smear campaigns is to make unsubstantiated and outright false claims about the capabilities of forensic data extraction tools. They misrepresent how they get into devices. They want to scare people into using far less secure devices which are easier to exploit. France, Germany, Spain and the Netherlands are becoming increasingly authoritarian surveillance states with an ongoing crackdown against privacy. It's happening throughout the whole EU and it's likely both secure devices and end-to-end encryption without backdoors are going to end up outlawed. There are a bunch of companies based in the EU selling phones with drastically worse privacy and security than an iPhone including Jolla, Volla, Murena and iodé. These products are effectively backdoored by not providing standard privacy and security patches/protections while misleading users. France and other EU countries are actively cracking down on legitimate privacy and security projects while supporting unsafe products within their control. These products make it far easier to remotely exploit devices and also to bypass encryption to extract data. They're phony privacy products. Each of the companies we've listed have participated in the misinformation and smear campaigns against GrapheneOS. Jolla spent years working closely with Putin's regime. Volla, Murena and iodé are building an EU Play Integrity API. None provides the crucial standard privacy patches/protections. Murena is directly assisting with state anti-privacy campaigns smearing highly private and secure devices as mainly benefiting criminals. They've repeatedly falsely claimed GrapheneOS is mainly used by criminals. Here are 2 of many examples: nitter.gq/GrapheneOS/status/2040… clubic.com/actualite-604786-… GrapheneOS, end-to-end encrypted messaging apps, Monero and other projects are being targeted with state and corporate propaganda and anti-privacy laws. Meanwhile, the same governments heavily fund and support phony privacy projects clearly downgrading privacy and security compared to an iPhone. GrapheneOS is only an initial target for these state actors and their sycophants in corporate news organizations. Apple heavily works on protecting users against exploits too. It would be much harder to convince the public that an iPhone is for criminals so they're starting with open source.
Gaël Duval is the founder and president of the /e/ foundation along with the CEO of Murena. Duval and his organizations have consistently taken a stance against protecting users from exploits. In this video, he once again claims protecting against exploits is for only useful pedophiles and spies. Translation to English: > There's the attack surface, on that front we're not security specialists here, so I couldn't answer you precisely, but from the discussions I've had, it seems that everything we do reduces attack surface. However, we don't have a "hardened security" approach, we aren't developing a phone for pedo(censored) so they can evade justice. So there aren't difficult things to check if the memory is corrupted, really hardened security stuff that could clearly be useful for executives, in the secret service, or whatever. That's not our goal, our goal is to start from an observation: today our personal data is constantly being plundered and that wouldn't be legal in real life with the mail or the telephone, we want to change that. So we are making you a product that changes that by default for anyone. Transcription in French: > Il y a la surface d'attaque, là pour le coup on est pas des spécialistes de la sécurité, donc je ne pourrais pas te répondre avec précision, mais des discussions que j'ai eu, il semblerait que tout ce qu'on fait, ça réduit la surface d'attaque. Donc oui, probablement ça aide. Par contre, on a pas une approche "sécurité durcie", on développe pas un téléphone pour les pédo(bip) pour qu'ils puissent échapper à la justice. Donc il y a pas des trucs pas possibles pour voir si la mémoire est pas corrompue, des trucs de sécu vraiment durcis qui pourraient être utiles clairement pour des dirigeants, dans les services secrets ou que sais-je. C'est pas notre but, notre but c'est de partir d'un constat, aujourd'hui nos données personnelles sont pillées en permanence et ça serait pas légal dans la vraie vie avec le courrier ou le téléphone, on veut changer ça. Donc on vous fait un produit qui change ça par défaut pour n'importe quelle personne.
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We have had ORCL, GOOG, and META announcing over $60B in debt issuance in the last 24 hours. Meanwhile more circular finance deals between Broadcom and Anthropic were annonced. Im sure everything i fine.
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Howard Aulsbrook retweeted
We should all hope, at this stage, that Iran is one loose screw away from having its first nuclear warhead fully assembled. A technician who's sitting with a screwdriver in hand and waiting for the signal to tighten it and report 'mission accomplished' to IRGC headquarters. A nuclear Iran would be the best and absolute deterrent against a nuclear war in West Asia. It is the main reason Israel and the US fought this so much. Iran would never strike first, and if they have the bomb Israel and the US would not strike first, too. - I still think it highly unlikely nuclear will be used. But I feel like breaking news about Israeli airplanes hitting Iran are very (very) near, and the 'conventional' devastation, this time will be worse than Hiroshima and Nagasaki
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