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📊 US MARKET OUTLOOK | WEEK OF 10/26–10/30
⚠️ Market Bias: Cautious / Volatility Expected
Markets are heading into a major catalyst week with the Fed decision, inflation data, and mega-cap earnings all in focus. Expect potential whipsaws and increased volatility.
🔑 KEY CATALYSTS THIS WEEK (ET)
📅 Tuesday 10/27
• Durable Goods Orders
• Consumer Confidence
• New Home Sales
📅 Wednesday 10/28
• 🏦 2:00 PM — FOMC Rate Decision
• 🎤 2:30 PM — Fed Press Conference
• Earnings: $MSFT $GOOGL
📅 Thursday 10/29
• 🔥 8:30 AM — Q3 GDP + PCE Inflation + Jobless Claims
• Earnings: $AMZN $INTC $LLY
📅 Friday 10/30
• Employment Cost Index
• Chicago PMI
• Earnings reactions and month-end positioning
🚀 BULLISH CATALYSTS
✅ Dovish Fed commentary
✅ Cooler-than-expected inflation
✅ Strong mega-cap earnings and AI/cloud growth
✅ Oil prices pull back and yields stabilize
✅ SPY/QQQ reclaim resistance with strong volume
🐻 BEARISH CATALYSTS
❌ Hawkish Fed tone
❌ Hotter-than-expected PCE inflation
❌ Weak guidance or rising AI spending concerns
❌ Oil stays elevated, pushing inflation expectations higher
❌ SPY/QQQ lose key support levels
🎯 TRADING GAME PLAN
🔹 Monday–Tuesday: Focus on intraday setups, VWAP, and key support/resistance. Avoid forcing swings ahead of the Fed.
🔹 Wednesday: Expect potential whipsaws around 2 PM. Let the initial Fed reaction settle before chasing a move.
🔹 Thursday: GDP + PCE at 8:30 AM could create a significant opening gap. Mega-cap earnings add overnight risk.
🔹 Friday: Look for follow-through or reversal after the week's major catalysts.
⚠️ REMINDERS
• Keep position sizes controlled.
• Avoid chasing breakouts without confirmation.
• Be cautious holding options through earnings and major economic releases.
• Respect stops and take profits at predetermined levels.
📌 BOTTOM LINE: Expect an event-driven week. A dovish Fed, cooler inflation, and strong earnings could fuel a bounce. Hot inflation, hawkish commentary, or disappointing tech guidance could extend the downside.
👉 One level at a time. Protect capital first, trade the confirmation, and don't force setups.
SpaceX Earnings Q3 2026 $SPCX
EPS $0.35, est. $0.15
Revenue $14.58B, est. $12.87B, +161% Y/Y
Net Income $4.40B, est. $1.88B
Adjusted EBITDA $8.81B, est. $6.59B
Operating Income $2.79B, est. $2.24B
AI Revenue $7.56B, est. $6.3B
Connectivity Revenue $5.25B, est. $4.86B
Space Revenue $1.77B, est. $1.43B
Capex $19.59B, est. $19.6B
AI Capex $16.44B, est. $16.9B
Total Costs & Expenses $11.78B, est. $11.23
$NFLX Q3 2026 Earnings
EPS $0.87, est. $0.82
Revenue $12.87B, est. $12.87B
Free Cash Flow $2.88B, est. $3.22B
Q4 Revenue $13.44B, est. $13.51B
Q4 EPS $0.67, est. $0.73
Q4 Operating Income $3.50B, est. $3.72B
Q4 Operating Margin 26%, est. 27.6%
FY Revenue $51.1B, prior $51B–$51.4B, est. $51.23B
FY Revenue Growth +13%, prior +13% to +14%
FY Operating Margin still 31.5%, est. 31.7%
FY Free Cash Flow ~$12B, prior ~$12.5B, est. $12.64B
📊 TRADE IDEAS | WEEK OF 10/19
$NBIS 🟢 Long > $165 | 🔴 Short < $160
$MDB 🟢 Long > $337 | 🔴 Short < $330
$NVDA 🟢 Long > $215 | 🔴 Short < $213
$WMT 👀 LEAPS: Quick gap fill near $116 → Jan 2028 $130 Calls
$SPY 🟢 Long > $770 | 🔴 Sell pops below $769
📈 My take: With all the “Black Monday, White Monday, Purple Monday” fear, I wouldn’t be surprised if the market does the opposite and hits ATHs by year-end.
Trade levels, not emotions. 🎯
#Stocks #OptionsTrading #SPY #NVDA
📊 US MARKET OUTLOOK — OCT. 19–23
After last week’s tech-led selloff, markets enter the week watching mega-cap earnings, AI/semis, and Treasury yields. The economic calendar is lighter, so earnings guidance could drive direction.
🔑 KEY CATALYSTS
MON 10/19
• 10:00 AM — NAHB Housing Market Index
👀 Watch for stabilization after last week’s weakness.
TUE 10/20 🔥
• 8:30 AM — Housing Starts + Building Permits
• 10:00 AM — Pending Home Sales
• Earnings: GE, GM, NFLX, UAL
👀 Watch consumer demand and corporate guidance.
WED 10/21 🔥🔥
• Earnings after close: META, TSLA, IBM, TXN, LRCX
🟢 Strong results/guidance → potential tech recovery
🔴 Weak guidance or reduced AI spending outlook → pressure on semis
THU 10/22
• 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims
• 10:00 AM — Leading Economic Index
• Earnings: PG, LMT, HON, INTC
👀 Watch labor-market signals and earnings reactions.
FRI 10/23 🔥
• 9:45 AM — S&P Global Manufacturing + Services PMI (Flash)
• 10:00 AM — Michigan Consumer Sentiment + Inflation Expectations
🟢 Cooling price pressures → potential relief for equities
🔴 Rising inflation expectations → higher yields / pressure on growth stocks
🟢 BULLISH SETUP
• META/TSLA earnings beat with strong guidance
• Semis stabilize and QQQ regains relative strength
• Treasury yields pull back
• SPY reclaims key resistance
🔴 BEARISH SETUP
• AI/semiconductor selling continues
• META signals weaker returns on AI spending
• Yields move higher
• SPY/QQQ fail at resistance and lose support
⚠️ TRADING NOTE: Wednesday’s mega-cap earnings could be the biggest catalyst of the week. Watch how the market reacts to guidance—not just the headline EPS beat. Avoid chasing the first move and wait for confirmation.
👀 WATCH: $SPY • $QQQ • $META • $TSLA • $NVDA • Semis • 10Y Yield • VIX
KEY: 🔥 Tue Housing + NFLX | 🔥🔥 Wed META + TSLA | 🔥 Fri PMI + Sentiment
📊 US MARKET OUTLOOK | OCT 12–16
🔥 Key catalysts this week:
Tue: Bank earnings 🏦
Wed: CPI inflation 📈
Thu: PPI + Retail Sales 📊
🟢 Bullish: Cooler inflation, falling yields, strong earnings.
🔴 Bearish: Hot inflation, rising yields, weak guidance.
⚠️ Wed/Thu could bring volatility. Don’t chase the first move - wait for confirmation.
Watch: $SPY $QQQ | VIX | 10Y yields | Oil | Semis
#StockMarket #Trading
📊 US MARKET OUTLOOK — OCT. 5–9
Markets enter the week near record highs after Friday’s weak jobs report. With payroll growth slowing and rate-hike expectations easing, yields + Fed commentary will remain key for direction.
🔑 KEY CATALYSTS
MON 10/5 🔥
• 9:45 AM — S&P Services PMI
• 10:00 AM — ISM Services PMI
🟢 Softer data → lower yields / Fed relief
🔴 Strong data + sticky prices → yield pressure
TUE 10/6
• 8:30 AM — Trade Balance
• 1:00 PM — 3-Year Treasury Auction
• Fed’s Logan speaks
👀 Watch yields + dollar
WED 10/7 🔥
• 2:00 PM — FOMC Meeting Minutes
🟢 Dovish Fed tone → bullish for equities
🔴 Hawkish tone → higher yields / pressure on tech
THU 10/8
• 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims
• Fed’s Musalem speaks
• PEP earnings before open
🟢 Rising claims → less Fed pressure
🔴 Falling claims → stronger labor market / higher yields
FRI 10/9 🔥
• 10:00 AM — Michigan Consumer Sentiment
• Fed’s Schmid speaks
• DAL earnings before open
🟢 Weak sentiment → potentially lower yields
🔴 Strong sentiment → potentially higher yields
🟢 BULLISH SETUP
• QQQ/tech continues to show relative strength
• Treasury yields move lower
• FOMC minutes lean dovish
🔴 BEARISH SETUP
• Yields continue moving higher
• Oil remains elevated
• FOMC minutes come across hawkish
⚠️ TRADING NOTE: After last week’s weak jobs report, the market may continue pricing in less Fed tightening. Watch 10Y yields + QQQ relative strength closely. Don’t chase the first move. $SPY Watch $770.5 Level to hold.
KEY: 🔥 Mon ISM | 🔥 Wed FOMC Minutes | 🔥 Fri Sentiment
WATCH: SPY • QQQ • 10Y Yield • VIX • Oil
📊 Trade Ideas — Week of Oct. 5
1️⃣ $SPY
🟢 Long: Above 770.50 → 🎯 774 / 777
🔴 Short: Below 769 → 🎯 Gap Fill 765.65
2️⃣ $QQQ
🟢 Long: As long as 748 holds
🔴 Short: Below 747 → 🎯 Gap Fill 744.60
3️⃣ $TSLA
🟢 Long: Above 377 → 🎯 390 / 405
🔴 Short: Below 370
4️⃣ $SKHY
🟢 Long: Above 197
🔴 Short: Below 195
5️⃣ $NBIS
🟢 Long: Above 251
🔴 Short: Below 242
6️⃣ $SNDK
🟢 Long: Above 1,730
🔴 Short: Below 1,690
7️⃣ $MU
🟢 Long: Above 1,090
🔴 Short: Below 1,058
🚨BREAKING NEWS: Iran has agreed to halt uranium enrichment in exchange for the easing of US sanctions - Al Hadath citing sources
Trump disclosure shows 1,100 July trades, Microsoft and Amazon sales cnbc.com/2026/09/22/trump-tr…








