Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting. #economy #macroeconomics #businessclimate #eurointegration
Kyiv, Ukraine
Joined March 2011
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🇺🇦 Ukraine’s real GDP grew by 1% y/y in April, according to IER estimates.
The March estimate was also revised upward, from -0.3% to +0.8%.
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But several sectors remained under pressure:
🔴 Electricity generation & gas distribution: -7% y/y, despite partial recovery after repairs.
🔴 Transport: -7% y/y due to higher fuel prices, lower iron ore & oil shipments, and ongoing Russian attacks.
More details on Ukraine’s macroeconomic situation are available in issue 256 of #MEMU:
ier.com.ua/en/institute/news…
Meanwhile, disruptions to electricity, water, or heat supply continue to ease for the third month in a row, falling from 4th to 6th place at 21%.
Overall picture: labour constraints dominate, while energy-related issues are less acute than earlier in the war.
More in the April #NRES report: ier.com.ua/en/institute/news…
Business sentiment in Ukraine weakened in April.
The Business Activity Recovery Index (BARI) fell below zero to -0.11, signaling a deterioration in how 🇺🇦 firms assess the current situation.
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Short-term planning is becoming dominant:
more firms report “just-in-time” operations (29%) and 1–2 month order horizons (33%), while long-term orders (6–11 months) nearly halved to 10%.